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UCF Knights vs Oklahoma State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 104-111 (OT)
0-0 40-45 0-0 54-49 10-17
Position#92
Record20-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game77.8
UCF Knights
USA
vs
Oklahoma State 🏆
USA
Position#140
Record17-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game81.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UCF Knights v Oklahoma State
03 Mar 2026
UCF 104
OKLA111
05 Mar 2025
UCF 83
OKLA70
12 Mar 2024
UCF 77
OKLA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#183
W
95-86
95
86
+9
A24/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A05/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A08/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H14/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
97-84
97
84
+13
A25/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H01/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
49-47
0-0
46-39
0-0
35-39
0-0
44-37
0-0
44-40
0-0
44-40
0-0
19-33
0-0
36-46
0-0
28-40
0-0
44-52
0-0
29-28
0-0
38-46
0-0
42-28
0-0
40-43
0-0
41-36
0-0
32-35
0-0
52-28
0-0
45-56
0-0
42-56
0-0
44-31
159.4Avg total
79.4Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.177.8159.9+4.471%
Season at home (19)84.676.0160.6+8.679%
Season away (9)77.081.4158.4-4.456%
Last 10 (10)79.480.0159.4-0.660%
Last 5 (5)81.077.4158.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.083.2164.2-2.250%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.978.5162.4+5.373%
vs Weaker (5)82.667.4150.0+15.2100%
This opponent (Oklahoma State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#34
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H24/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A31/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H05/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
47-84
47
84
-37
A07/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A11/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
H14/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
69-81
69
81
-12
H19/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A21/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
91-84 OT
91
84
+7
H25/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A28/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
21-51
0-0
50-33
0-0
40-39
0-0
41-30
0-0
41-41
0-0
58-51
0-0
22-40
0-0
25-44
0-0
34-39
0-0
42-46
0-0
34-39
0-0
50-45
0-0
29-43
0-0
40-38
0-0
34-42
0-0
35-41
0-0
46-33
0-0
31-44
0-0
33-51
0-0
35-40
161.1Avg total
76.3Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.381.8165.1+1.559%
Season at home (19)88.881.5170.3+7.474%
Season away (10)72.782.4155.1-9.730%
Last 10 (10)76.384.8161.1-8.530%
Last 5 (5)77.886.8164.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.085.8164.8-6.838%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.378.5162.8+5.864%
vs Weaker (3)89.073.0162.0+16.0100%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -8.4-8.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -8.4-8.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
UCF KnightsOklahoma State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado
#183
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H28/01
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/01
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
19-33
19
33
-14
A05/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A08/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H14/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H18/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A22/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A25/02
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
42-56
42
56
-14
H01/03
NCAA
75.6Avg total
38.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.275.9+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.337.477.6+2.963%-
Last 30 away (11)35.937.072.9-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.137.575.6+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.276.4+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.336.772.0-1.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.739.779.4+0.153%-
vs Weaker (5)42.231.073.2+11.280%-
This opponent (Oklahoma State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#34
L
21-51
21
51
-30
H24/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H05/02
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A07/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A11/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H14/02
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H19/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A21/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H25/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A28/02
NCAA
75.2Avg total
33.4Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.079.1-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (20)40.439.379.7+1.155%-
Last 30 away (10)36.341.577.8-5.230%-
Last 10 (10)33.441.875.2-8.420%-
Last 5 (5)35.241.676.8-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.743.879.5-8.115%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.635.976.6+4.764%-
vs Weaker (3)46.043.089.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
UCF Knights wins
2
Oklahoma State wins
DateGameScore
07/01/26Oklahoma State v UCF Knights87-76
06/03/25UCF Knights v Oklahoma State83-70
20/02/25Oklahoma State v UCF Knights104-95
12/03/24UCF Knights v Oklahoma State77-62
29/02/24Oklahoma State v UCF Knights71-77
19/11/22Oklahoma State v UCF Knights56-60 OT
UCF Knightslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HBaylor86-87
25/02/26ABrigham Young97-84
22/02/26AUtah Utes73-71
18/02/26HTCU82-71
14/02/26HWest Virginia67-74
08/02/26ACincinnati72-92
05/02/26AHouston55-79
31/01/26HTexas Tech88-80
28/01/26HArizona State79-76
24/01/26AColorado95-86
Oklahoma Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26ACincinnati68-91
25/02/26HWest Virginia91-84 OT
21/02/26AColorado69-83
19/02/26HKansas69-81
14/02/26HTCU92-95 OT
11/02/26AArizona State76-85
07/02/26AArizona47-84
05/02/26HBrigham Young99-92
31/01/26AUtah Utes81-69
24/01/26HIowa State71-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWLWL79%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games28199
Win %71%79%56%
Points / game82.184.677.0
Allowed / game77.876.081.4
Point differential+4.4+8.6-4.4
Avg total159.9160.6158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%42%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)83% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oklahoma State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL59%
HomeLWLLW74%
AwayWLLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %59%74%30%
Points / game83.388.872.7
Allowed / game81.881.582.4
Point differential+1.5+7.4-9.7
Avg total165.1170.3155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%47%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona3028293%86.668.2+18.4
2 Houston2924583%77.562.3+15.2
3 Iowa State3023777%81.166.3+14.8
4 Texas Tech2922776%82.072.2+9.8
5 Kansas2921872%76.168.7+7.4
6 UCF Knights2820871%82.177.8+4.4
7 Brigham Young2920969%85.075.3+9.7
8 TCU29191066%78.371.9+6.4
9 West Virginia29171259%69.964.7+5.1
10 Oklahoma State29171259%83.381.8+1.5
11 Cincinnati29161355%73.267.5+5.7
12 Colorado29161355%79.578.7+0.8
13 Baylor29151452%82.777.0+5.7
14 Arizona State29151452%77.978.2-0.3
15 Kansas State29111838%79.580.9-1.4
16 Utah Utes29101934%74.578.1-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
UCF Knights04005410104
Oklahoma State04504917111
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