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Uconn vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 76-72
36-37 40-35
Position#63
Record5-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game63.2
Uconn 🏆
USA
vs
Position#149
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uconn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#67
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H07/04
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H09/04
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
92-56
92
56
+36
H07/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
92-53
92
53
+39
H10/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
90-49
90
49
+41
H14/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
81-46
81
46
+35
H20/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
H25/11
NCAA
Colorado
#278
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A26/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A28/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
99-45
99
45
+54
H01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
44-40
42-32
36-30
39-30
46-31
46-25
35-24
57-29
38-19
52-30
42-20
39-26
40-40
42-42
40-32
32-41
34-41
33-44
40-18
59-27
148.9Avg total
85.1Scored
63.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.263.2149.5+23.062%
Season at home (6)91.858.0149.8+33.883%
Season away (2)69.579.0148.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)85.163.8148.9+21.370%
Last 5 (5)83.269.6152.8+13.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)82.092.0174.0-10.00%
vs Weaker (28)82.460.6143.0+21.993%
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#18
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A16/03
NCAA
Colgate
#44
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H22/03
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
64-72
64
72
-8
H24/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
63-101
63
101
-38
A05/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H10/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
104-67
104
67
+37
H13/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
104-41
104
41
+63
H18/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
W
99-98 OT
99
98
+1
A22/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A23/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
91-60
91
60
+31
H27/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
35-41
54-34
38-33
25-35
39-37
30-49
33-52
42-33
30-34
54-37
50-30
56-13
48-28
30-44
47-33
20-47
42-30
50-23
41-37
153.9Avg total
81.3Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.073.0158.0+12.071%
Season at home (4)92.858.8151.5+34.0100%
Season away (3)74.792.0166.7-17.333%
Last 10 (10)81.372.6153.9+8.760%
Last 5 (5)92.068.6160.6+23.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.083.7155.7-11.733%
vs Similar ◀ (17)76.971.8148.6+5.165%
vs Weaker (7)87.065.1152.1+21.986%
This opponent (Uconn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.0+10.01st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +11.5+11.52nd half: +4.8+4.8
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.0+10.01st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +11.5+11.52nd half: +4.8+4.8
UconnBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#67
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H07/04
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H09/04
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H07/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H10/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H14/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
W
42-20
42
20
+22
H20/11
NCAA
Memphis
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/11
NCAA
Colorado
#278
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A26/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A28/11
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#355
W
40-18
40
18
+22
H01/12
NCAA
69.0Avg total
39.5Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.328.667.9+10.687%-
Last 30 at home (21)39.127.166.3+12.095%-
Last 30 away (9)39.632.171.7+7.467%-
Last 10 (10)39.529.569.0+10.080%-
Last 5 (5)39.230.269.4+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (2)37.040.577.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (28)39.427.867.2+11.693%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa State
#18
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A16/03
NCAA
Colgate
#44
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H22/03
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H24/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A05/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#118
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H10/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H13/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
56-13
56
13
+43
H18/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A22/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
L
20-47
20
47
-27
A23/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#365
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H27/11
NCAA
73.8Avg total
38.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.770.6+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.932.872.7+7.265%-
Last 30 away (13)30.537.367.8-6.823%-
Last 10 (10)38.835.073.8+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)42.032.874.8+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.740.769.3-12.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.035.171.1+0.947%-
vs Weaker (7)41.728.970.6+12.971%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Uconn wins
0
Baylor wins
No previous meetings.
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HMd.-East. Shore99-45
28/11/24ADayton67-85
26/11/24AColorado72-73
25/11/24HMemphis97-99 OT
20/11/24HTX A&M Commerce81-46
14/11/24HLe Moyne90-49
10/11/24HNew Hampshire Wildcats92-53
07/11/24HSacred Heart92-56
09/04/24HPurdue75-60
07/04/24HAlabama86-72
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/24HNew Orleans91-60
23/11/24ATennessee62-77
22/11/24ASt. John's (N.Y.)99-98 OT
18/11/24HTarleton104-41
13/11/24HSam Houston St.104-67
10/11/24HArkansas72-67
05/11/24AGonzaga63-101
24/03/24HClemson64-72
22/03/24HColgate92-67
16/03/24AIowa State62-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uconn
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW62%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %62%83%0%
Points / game86.291.869.5
Allowed / game63.258.079.0
Point differential+23.0+33.8-9.5
Avg total149.5149.8148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%17%0%
Baylor
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game85.092.874.7
Allowed / game73.058.892.0
Point differential+12.0+34.0-17.3
Avg total158.0151.5166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 DePaul770100%88.064.3+23.7
2 Marquette880100%84.563.6+20.9
3 Xavier98189%75.865.4+10.3
4 Georgetown87188%78.863.1+15.6
5 Butler87188%76.663.9+12.8
6 St. John's (N.Y.)86275%82.166.6+15.5
7 Providence96367%71.463.2+8.2
8 Uconn85362%86.263.2+23.0
9 Creighton85362%77.669.1+8.5
10 Villanova95456%76.765.9+10.8
11 Seton Hall84450%57.256.6+0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kansas770100%82.765.9+16.9
2 Arizona State98189%80.071.1+8.9
3 Utah Utes76186%90.463.7+26.7
4 Cincinnati76186%81.757.7+24.0
5 Texas Tech76186%88.465.0+23.4
6 Iowa State65183%86.865.0+21.8
7 Brigham Young86275%84.567.4+17.1
8 Kansas State86275%81.667.0+14.6
9 Colorado86275%76.571.5+5.0
10 UCF Knights86275%81.177.8+3.4
11 Baylor75271%85.073.0+12.0
12 West Virginia75271%78.470.0+8.4
13 Oklahoma State64267%81.779.2+2.5
14 Houston74357%78.959.3+19.6
15 TCU74357%72.464.3+8.1
16 Arizona73443%85.073.7+11.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Uconn364076
Baylor373572
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