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Iowa State vs Baylor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 76-62
35-27 41-35
Position#18
Record25-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game61.9
vs
Position#58
Record23-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Iowa State v Baylor
07 Feb 2026
IOWA72
BAYL69
04 Jan 2025
IOWA74
BAYL55
15 Mar 2024
IOWA76
BAYL62
31 Dec 2022
IOWA77
BAYL62
01 Jan 2022
IOWA72
BAYL77
02 Jan 2021
IOWA65
BAYL76
29 Jan 2020
IOWA53
BAYL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Iowa State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baylor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Iowa StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#111
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H10/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A14/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H17/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A20/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H24/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H29/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#180
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A02/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A09/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
W
76-57
76
57
+19
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-22
41-37
34-26
34-33
38-24
44-50
23-28
42-45
40-30
31-34
25-20
33-25
36-29
24-23
27-38
41-25
24-28
34-37
34-27
42-30
128.8Avg total
67.7Scored
61.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)75.861.9137.7+13.878%
Season at home (20)79.957.6137.5+22.395%
Season away (12)68.869.1137.9-0.250%
Last 10 (10)67.761.1128.8+6.680%
Last 5 (5)64.056.4120.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)65.569.0134.5-3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)76.062.1138.0+13.981%
This opponent (Baylor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#63
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H14/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
94-81
94
81
+13
A17/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
76-82 OT
76
82
-6
H24/02
NCAA
TCU
#111
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Kansas
#63
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H02/03
NCAA
Texas
#112
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H05/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A09/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H15/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-34
33-30
40-27
39-35
42-34
52-47
37-42
34-36
25-41
44-28
25-23
37-31
35-34
47-40
40-48
53-37
27-40
41-38
24-26
44-30
146.8Avg total
75.4Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.171.1152.2+10.172%
Season at home (19)86.068.8154.8+17.289%
Season away (13)74.074.3148.3-0.346%
Last 10 (10)75.471.4146.8+4.060%
Last 5 (5)74.669.4144.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)73.075.0148.0-2.050%
vs Similar (17)76.974.8151.7+2.259%
vs Weaker (11)87.163.7150.8+23.491%
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +7.2+7.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +7.2+7.2
Iowa StateBaylor
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Iowa StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TCU
#111
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H10/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A14/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H17/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A20/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H24/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H29/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#180
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A02/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H07/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A09/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#151
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H14/03
NCAA
58.3Avg total
31.1Scored
27.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.528.464.0+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.126.464.5+11.694%-
Last 30 away (12)31.831.463.2+0.342%-
Last 10 (10)31.127.258.3+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)29.228.457.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)29.031.560.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)36.528.064.5+8.681%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#63
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A10/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H14/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A17/02
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H24/02
NCAA
TCU
#111
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A27/02
NCAA
Kansas
#63
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H02/03
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A09/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#134
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H15/03
NCAA
67.2Avg total
32.3Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.533.269.7+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.531.871.2+7.771%-
Last 30 away (13)32.635.167.7-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)32.334.967.2-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)30.234.264.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)32.534.567.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (17)34.236.170.3-1.935%-
vs Weaker (11)40.828.569.3+12.482%-
This opponent (Iowa State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Iowa State wins
7
Baylor wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Baylor v Iowa State70-68
09/03/23Baylor v Iowa State72-78
04/03/23Baylor v Iowa State58-73
31/12/22Iowa State v Baylor77-62
05/03/22Baylor v Iowa State75-68
01/01/22Iowa State v Baylor72-77
24/02/21Baylor v Iowa State77-72
02/01/21Iowa State v Baylor65-76
30/01/20Iowa State v Baylor53-67
16/01/20Baylor v Iowa State68-55
Iowa Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24HKansas State76-57
09/03/24AKansas State58-65
07/03/24HBrigham Young68-63
02/03/24AUCF Knights60-52
29/02/24HOklahoma58-45
24/02/24HWest Virginia71-64
20/02/24AHouston65-73
17/02/24HTexas Tech82-74
14/02/24ACincinnati68-59
10/02/24HTCU71-59
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24HCincinnati68-56
09/03/24ATexas Tech68-78
05/03/24HTexas93-85
02/03/24HKansas82-74
27/02/24ATCU62-54
24/02/24HHouston76-82 OT
21/02/24ABrigham Young71-78
17/02/24AWest Virginia94-81
14/02/24HOklahoma79-62
10/02/24AKansas61-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Iowa State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322012
Win %78%95%50%
Points / game75.879.968.8
Allowed / game61.957.669.1
Point differential+13.8+22.3-0.2
Avg total137.7137.5137.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%70%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)75% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Baylor
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW72%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayLWLWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %72%89%46%
Points / game81.186.074.0
Allowed / game71.168.874.3
Point differential+10.1+17.2-0.3
Avg total152.2154.8148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%53%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)67% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %12%11%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3330391%74.056.6+17.4
2 Iowa State3225778%75.861.9+13.8
3 Arizona3325876%87.972.2+15.7
4 Baylor3223972%81.171.1+10.1
5 Colorado3223972%80.371.7+8.7
6 Brigham Young33231070%81.869.9+11.9
7 Texas Tech33231070%75.669.3+6.2
8 Kansas32221069%75.268.7+6.6
9 TCU33211264%79.271.2+8.0
10 Cincinnati34201459%74.667.9+6.7
11 Utah Utes33191458%78.172.6+5.4
12 Kansas State33191458%71.970.5+1.4
13 UCF Knights32171553%71.567.5+4.1
14 Arizona State32141844%69.074.0-5.0
15 Oklahoma State32122038%71.072.7-1.7
16 West Virginia3292328%69.876.8-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Iowa State354176
Baylor273562
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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