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Uconn vs Alabama Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 00:49
Final 86-72
44-40 42-32
Position#5
Record35-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game63.3
Uconn 🏆
USA
vs
Position#67
Record25-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game81.1
USANCAANCAA - Semi-finals· State Farm Stadium
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uconn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#108
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H03/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#114
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A10/03
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H14/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H15/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H16/03
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
91-52
91
52
+39
H22/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H24/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
82-52
82
52
+30
H28/03
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H30/03
NCAA
1H
2H
44-29
47-32
42-31
32-36
42-24
32-36
34-33
53-27
52-47
43-43
26-24
47-33
52-19
39-33
40-18
35-40
40-31
42-21
28-23
49-29
142.8Avg total
81.9Scored
60.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)81.463.3144.7+18.292%
Season at home (24)84.260.1144.3+24.1100%
Season away (14)76.768.6145.4+8.179%
Last 10 (10)81.960.9142.8+21.0100%
Last 5 (5)79.654.2133.8+25.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)76.063.0139.0+13.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)80.463.7144.2+16.793%
This opponent (Alabama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#50
L
95-117
95
117
-22
A24/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
103-88
103
88
+15
A29/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H03/03
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
87-105
87
105
-18
A06/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
H09/03
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
88-102
88
102
-14
H16/03
NCAA
Charleston
#23
W
109-96
109
96
+13
H22/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H24/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
89-87
89
87
+2
A29/03
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H31/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-58
53-59
39-42
64-46
41-39
33-42
35-44
52-61
36-42
38-32
33-48
55-54
51-34
58-62
38-30
34-31
46-54
43-33
35-32
54-50
180.5Avg total
89.8Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)90.681.1171.8+9.569%
Season at home (20)93.075.7168.7+17.385%
Season away (16)87.787.9175.6-0.250%
Last 10 (10)89.890.7180.5-0.960%
Last 5 (5)89.485.6175.0+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)80.088.2168.2-8.225%
vs Similar (15)87.585.5173.0+2.153%
vs Weaker (11)94.876.0170.8+18.8100%
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +12.1+12.11st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +8.9+8.92nd half: +1.4+1.4
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +12.1+12.11st half: -2.7-2.72nd half2nd half: +8.9+8.92nd half: +1.4+1.4
UconnAlabama
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#108
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H03/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#114
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A10/03
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H14/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H15/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H16/03
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
52-19
52
19
+33
H22/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
40-18
40
18
+22
H24/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H28/03
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H30/03
NCAA
67.9Avg total
40.0Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.629.668.2+9.183%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.227.565.7+10.795%-
Last 30 away (11)39.433.172.5+6.364%-
Last 10 (10)40.027.967.9+12.1100%-
Last 5 (5)37.223.060.2+14.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)45.034.079.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)38.429.467.8+9.083%-
This opponent (Alabama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#50
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A24/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A29/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H03/03
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A06/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H09/03
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H16/03
NCAA
Charleston
#23
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H22/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#10
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H24/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A29/03
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H31/03
NCAA
81.9Avg total
39.6Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.380.8+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.834.776.5+7.175%-
Last 30 away (14)41.244.585.7-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)39.642.381.9-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.680.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)43.543.286.8+0.250%-
vs Similar (15)40.439.780.1+0.747%-
vs Weaker (11)42.437.279.5+5.273%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Uconn wins
0
Alabama wins
DateGameScore
26/11/22Alabama v Uconn67-82
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24HIllinois77-52
28/03/24HSan Diego State82-52
24/03/24HNorthwestern75-58
22/03/24HStetson91-52
16/03/24HMarquette73-57
15/03/24HSt. John's (N.Y.)95-90
14/03/24HXavier87-60
10/03/24AProvidence74-60
07/03/24AMarquette74-67
03/03/24HSeton Hall91-61
Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/24HClemson89-82
29/03/24ANorth Carolina89-87
24/03/24HGrand Canyon72-61
22/03/24HCharleston109-96
16/03/24HFlorida88-102
09/03/24HArkansas92-88 OT
06/03/24AFlorida87-105
03/03/24HTennessee74-81
29/02/24AOle Miss103-88
24/02/24AKentucky95-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uconn
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382414
Win %92%100%79%
Points / game81.484.276.7
Allowed / game63.360.168.6
Point differential+18.2+24.1+8.1
Avg total144.7144.3145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%83%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alabama
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362016
Win %69%85%50%
Points / game90.693.087.7
Allowed / game81.175.787.9
Point differential+9.5+17.4-0.2
Avg total171.8168.7175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%65%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn3835392%81.463.3+18.2
2 Marquette37271073%78.169.8+8.2
3 Creighton35251071%80.469.9+10.5
4 Seton Hall32201262%72.870.2+2.6
5 Providence34211362%72.969.0+3.9
6 St. John's (N.Y.)33201361%78.871.9+6.9
7 Butler32181456%77.273.7+3.5
8 Villanova33181555%70.565.5+5.0
9 Xavier35161946%74.674.5+0.1
10 Georgetown3292328%70.877.9-7.0
11 DePaul323299%64.781.8-17.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Auburn3527877%83.168.3+14.8
2 South Carolina3426876%72.167.6+4.5
3 Tennessee3627975%78.867.4+11.4
4 Kentucky33231070%89.079.7+9.3
5 Alabama36251169%90.681.1+9.5
6 Florida36241267%85.679.2+6.4
7 Oklahoma32201262%75.468.8+6.6
8 Ole Miss32201262%74.973.9+1.0
9 Texas34211362%75.468.9+6.5
10 Mississippi St.35211460%74.169.1+5.0
11 Texas A&M36211558%76.072.0+4.0
12 LSU32171553%76.374.7+1.7
13 Georgia33171652%74.874.6+0.2
14 Arkansas33161748%77.879.8-2.0
15 Vanderbilt3292328%67.975.9-8.0
16 Missouri3282425%72.276.2-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Uconn444286
Alabama403272
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