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Uconn vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 87-76
44-39 43-37
Position#5
Record7-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game61.6
Uconn 🏆
USA
vs
Position#19
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uconn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#122
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H02/04
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A04/04
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
95-52
95
52
+43
H06/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
107-67
107
67
+40
H11/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
87-53
87
53
+34
H15/11
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
77-57
77
57
+20
A19/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A21/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#351
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H24/11
NCAA
New Hampshire
#100
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H28/11
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-24
35-35
24-36
35-40
47-30
48-22
52-30
55-37
44-27
43-26
37-30
40-27
46-33
35-38
49-32
41-28
45-30
39-34
31-38
34-31
144.5Avg total
81.7Scored
62.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.861.6147.4+24.188%
Season at home (5)92.659.2151.8+33.4100%
Season away (3)74.365.7140.0+8.767%
Last 10 (10)81.762.8144.5+18.980%
Last 5 (5)79.464.2143.6+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)79.757.3137.0+22.3100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)78.966.5145.4+12.470%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#221
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H09/03
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#220
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H12/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H18/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H22/11
NCAA
Villanova
#174
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H24/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
100-92
100
92
+8
H30/11
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-29
42-32
24-25
35-43
46-41
40-29
43-34
47-34
37-26
40-26
35-41
56-28
34-32
34-36
35-38
52-34
61-39
39-53
29-35
49-35
153.9Avg total
83.4Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.272.0158.2+14.288%
Season at home (8)86.272.0158.2+14.288%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.470.5153.9+12.980%
Last 5 (5)87.477.2164.6+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (16)74.673.9148.5+0.844%
vs Weaker (14)80.066.1146.1+13.993%
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.2+10.21st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +8.7+8.72nd half: +8.4+8.4
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.2+10.21st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +8.7+8.72nd half: +8.4+8.4
UconnNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#122
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H02/04
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A04/04
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H06/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H11/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#369
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H15/11
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A19/11
NCAA
Texas
#112
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A21/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#351
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H24/11
NCAA
New Hampshire
#100
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H28/11
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A02/12
NCAA
72.2Avg total
41.2Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.230.870.0+8.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.029.270.2+11.882%-
Last 30 away (13)36.932.869.7+4.262%-
Last 10 (10)41.231.072.2+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.632.674.2+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)35.733.769.3+2.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)39.630.470.1+9.274%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston College
#221
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H09/03
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#220
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H12/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H18/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H22/11
NCAA
Villanova
#174
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#224
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H24/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H30/11
NCAA
Florida State
#196
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H02/12
NCAA
72.7Avg total
38.7Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.133.069.0+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.433.471.8+4.963%-
Last 30 away (11)32.132.264.3-0.145%-
Last 10 (10)38.734.072.7+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.075.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (16)35.734.269.9+1.544%-
vs Weaker (14)36.531.668.1+4.971%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Uconn wins
0
North Carolina wins
No previous meetings.
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23AKansas65-69
28/11/23HNew Hampshire84-64
24/11/23HManhattan90-60
21/11/23ATexas81-71
19/11/23AIndiana77-57
15/11/23HMiss. Valley St.87-53
11/11/23HStonehill107-67
06/11/23HNorthern Arizona95-52
04/04/23ASan Diego State59-76
02/04/23HMiami (FL)72-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HFlorida State78-70
30/11/23HTennessee100-92
24/11/23HArkansas87-72
23/11/23HVillanova81-83 OT
22/11/23HNorthern Iowa91-69
18/11/23HUC Riverside77-52
12/11/23HLehigh90-68
07/11/23HRadford86-70
10/03/23AVirginia59-68
09/03/23HBoston College85-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uconn
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game85.892.674.3
Allowed / game61.659.265.7
Point differential+24.1+33.4+8.7
Avg total147.4151.8140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWLWWW88%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games88-
Win %88%88%-
Points / game86.286.2-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential+14.2+14.2-
Avg total158.2158.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%62%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%12%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn87188%85.861.6+24.1
2 Creighton87188%84.063.4+20.6
3 Butler97278%82.167.9+14.2
4 Providence97278%74.364.6+9.8
5 Marquette86275%79.267.0+12.2
6 Seton Hall75271%78.066.7+11.3
7 St. John's (N.Y.)75271%79.771.9+7.9
8 Georgetown85362%79.072.9+6.1
9 Villanova106460%74.065.6+8.4
10 Xavier114736%71.570.6+0.9
11 DePaul71614%71.478.6-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson770100%80.368.7+11.6
2 Virginia98189%68.053.2+14.8
3 North Carolina87188%86.272.0+14.2
4 Miami (FL)86275%80.572.4+8.1
5 NC State75271%78.471.3+7.1
6 SMU Mustangs96367%74.462.0+12.4
7 Virginia Tech96367%74.468.6+5.9
8 Syracuse96367%76.971.1+5.8
9 Boston College96367%76.370.8+5.6
10 Pittsburgh85362%82.966.1+16.8
11 Duke85362%80.967.1+13.8
12 Wake Forest74357%78.972.7+6.1
13 Florida State74357%78.973.6+5.3
14 Georgia Tech74357%71.173.3-2.1
15 Stanford84450%80.276.0+4.2
16 Louisville84450%75.474.6+0.8
17 Notre Dame84450%64.966.0-1.1
18 California83538%74.672.9+1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Uconn444387
North Carolina393776
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