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North Carolina vs Arkansas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-72
35-38 52-34
Position#19
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game68.4
vs
Position#224
Record4-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · North Carolina v Arkansas
01 Dec 2026
NORT v ARKA
upcoming
24 Nov 2023
NORT87
ARKA72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#36
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H25/02
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
57-62
57
62
-5
H04/03
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H09/03
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#220
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
90-68
90
68
+22
H12/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H18/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
91-69
91
69
+22
H22/11
NCAA
Villanova
#174
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-26
29-37
43-25
34-41
31-33
26-29
43-29
42-32
24-25
35-43
46-41
40-29
43-34
47-34
37-26
40-26
35-41
56-28
34-32
34-36
143.6Avg total
77.4Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.068.4153.4+16.680%
Season at home (5)85.068.4153.4+16.680%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.466.2143.6+11.270%
Last 5 (5)85.068.4153.4+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)72.973.1146.0-0.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)80.764.9145.6+15.893%
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#55
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A11/03
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H16/03
NCAA
Kansas
#23
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A18/03
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
65-88
65
88
-23
A23/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
93-59
93
59
+34
H07/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H11/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H14/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H18/11
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
H23/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-25
23-42
36-26
37-37
27-35
45-36
29-46
36-42
46-22
47-37
48-36
38-32
37-31
49-46
24-38
48-40
22-20
37-39
37-42
42-42
149.3Avg total
76.4Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.273.3155.5+8.867%
Season at home (5)82.871.2154.0+11.680%
Season away (1)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)76.472.9149.3+3.560%
Last 5 (5)80.076.2156.2+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)70.882.5153.3-11.70%
vs Similar (17)74.369.9144.2+4.459%
vs Weaker (7)74.065.6139.6+8.471%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: +4.8+4.82nd half: +0.9+0.9
North CarolinaArkansas
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#36
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H25/02
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
43-25
43
25
+18
A28/02
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H04/03
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H09/03
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A10/03
NCAA
Radford
#220
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H12/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H18/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H22/11
NCAA
Villanova
#174
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H23/11
NCAA
69.0Avg total
37.8Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.732.468.1+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.432.370.7+6.172%-
Last 30 away (12)31.732.664.2-0.942%-
Last 10 (10)37.831.269.0+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.873.8+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)33.634.167.6-0.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.130.668.7+7.686%-
This opponent (Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas A&M
#55
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A11/03
NCAA
Illinois
#114
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H16/03
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A18/03
NCAA
Uconn
#29
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A23/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#268
W
46-22
46
22
+24
H07/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H11/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H14/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#80
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H18/11
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H23/11
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A23/11
NCAA
66.5Avg total
34.4Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.031.165.1+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.129.764.7+5.467%-
Last 30 away (15)32.932.665.5+0.360%-
Last 10 (10)34.432.166.5+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.467.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)30.836.867.7-6.017%-
vs Similar (17)34.631.265.8+3.471%-
vs Weaker (7)35.326.061.3+9.386%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Carolina wins
0
Arkansas wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23HVillanova81-83 OT
22/11/23HNorthern Iowa91-69
18/11/23HUC Riverside77-52
12/11/23HLehigh90-68
07/11/23HRadford86-70
10/03/23AVirginia59-68
09/03/23HBoston College85-61
04/03/23HDuke57-62
28/02/23AFlorida State77-66
25/02/23HVirginia71-63
Arkansaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23AMemphis79-84
23/11/23HStanford77-74 OT
18/11/23HNC Greensboro72-78
14/11/23HOld Dominion86-77
11/11/23HGardner Webb86-68
07/11/23HAlcorn State93-59
23/03/23AUconn65-88
18/03/23AKansas72-71
16/03/23HIllinois73-63
11/03/23ATexas A&M61-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWL80%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games55-
Win %80%80%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game68.468.4-
Point differential+16.6+16.6-
Avg total153.4153.4-
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%80%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %20%20%-
Arkansas
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %67%80%0%
Points / game82.282.879.0
Allowed / game73.371.284.0
Point differential+8.8+11.6-5.0
Avg total155.5154.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NC State440100%81.863.5+18.2
2 Clemson440100%77.066.2+10.8
3 Miami (FL)65183%84.872.5+12.3
4 Virginia65183%65.353.8+11.5
5 Pittsburgh54180%90.665.6+25.0
6 Duke54180%84.864.6+20.2
7 Virginia Tech54180%83.465.8+17.6
8 North Carolina54180%85.068.4+16.6
9 Florida State54180%83.273.8+9.4
10 SMU Mustangs64267%74.564.8+9.7
11 Syracuse64267%78.271.5+6.7
12 Boston College64267%74.570.5+4.0
13 Notre Dame53260%66.267.2-1.0
14 Stanford63350%83.878.5+5.3
15 Georgia Tech42250%74.277.5-3.2
16 Wake Forest52340%79.876.4+3.4
17 Louisville52340%74.474.0+0.4
18 California62433%74.373.0+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alabama440100%101.866.5+35.2
2 Oklahoma550100%86.657.8+28.8
3 Mississippi St.550100%76.258.8+17.4
4 South Carolina550100%76.666.0+10.6
5 Ole Miss550100%72.267.0+5.2
6 Texas A&M65183%80.369.5+10.8
7 Kentucky54180%89.670.2+19.4
8 Auburn54180%82.466.4+16.0
9 Florida54180%85.470.6+14.8
10 Texas54180%81.268.0+13.2
11 Tennessee64267%73.761.5+12.2
12 Arkansas64267%82.273.3+8.8
13 Missouri64267%74.766.5+8.2
14 LSU53260%78.268.0+10.2
15 Vanderbilt53260%72.672.0+0.6
16 Georgia52340%69.472.6-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina355287
Arkansas383472
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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