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Uconn vs Northwestern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:45
Final 75-58
40-18 35-40
Position#5
Record32-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game64.1
Uconn 🏆
USA
vs
Northwestern
USA
Position#86
Record22-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game68.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uconn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northwestern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#36
W
81-53
81
53
+28
H17/02
NCAA
Creighton
#43
L
66-85
66
85
-19
A21/02
NCAA
Villanova
#174
W
78-54
78
54
+24
H25/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H03/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#114
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A10/03
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H14/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H15/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H16/03
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
91-52
91
52
+39
H22/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-26
39-27
29-43
37-42
31-21
47-33
44-29
47-32
42-31
32-36
42-24
32-36
34-33
53-27
52-47
43-43
26-24
47-33
52-19
39-33
144.9Avg total
81.0Scored
63.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)81.764.1145.8+17.791%
Season at home (21)85.161.0146.1+24.1100%
Season away (14)76.768.6145.4+8.179%
Last 10 (10)81.063.9144.9+17.190%
Last 5 (5)84.063.8147.8+20.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)76.063.0139.0+13.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)80.664.8145.4+15.890%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#216
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A18/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H23/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A29/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H02/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H10/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
61-70
61
70
-9
H15/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
W
77-65 OT
77
65
+12
A22/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-27
39-36
34-27
26-36
34-26
42-46
37-34
39-28
29-24
39-37
37-36
43-51
25-20
24-33
53-41
37-25
29-33
32-37
19-20
39-38
136.7Avg total
70.5Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)73.868.9142.7+4.967%
Season at home (19)78.568.8147.3+9.784%
Season away (14)67.469.0136.4-1.643%
Last 10 (10)70.566.2136.7+4.360%
Last 5 (5)71.468.2139.6+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)85.489.0174.4-3.660%
vs Similar (15)71.368.5139.9+2.853%
vs Weaker (10)73.261.4134.6+11.880%
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +7.4+7.42nd half: -0.7-0.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +9.7+9.71st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +7.4+7.42nd half: -0.7-0.7
UconnNorthwestern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#36
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H17/02
NCAA
Creighton
#43
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Villanova
#174
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H25/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H03/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#114
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A10/03
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H14/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H15/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H16/03
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
52-19
52
19
+33
H22/03
NCAA
69.1Avg total
39.4Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.230.569.7+8.780%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.628.568.1+11.194%-
Last 30 away (12)38.733.572.2+5.258%-
Last 10 (10)39.429.769.1+9.790%-
Last 5 (5)41.229.470.6+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)45.034.079.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)39.030.469.4+8.679%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State
#216
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H11/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A18/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H23/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A29/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H02/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
25-20
25
20
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H10/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H15/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
19-20
19
20
-1
A22/03
NCAA
61.4Avg total
32.6Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.665.9+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.233.471.6+4.881%-
Last 30 away (14)29.929.559.4+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)32.628.861.4+3.880%-
Last 5 (5)32.630.062.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.637.067.6-6.420%-
vs Similar (15)34.431.165.5+3.367%-
vs Weaker (10)36.029.665.6+6.480%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Uconn wins
0
Northwestern wins
No previous meetings.
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24HStetson91-52
16/03/24HMarquette73-57
15/03/24HSt. John's (N.Y.)95-90
14/03/24HXavier87-60
10/03/24AProvidence74-60
07/03/24AMarquette74-67
03/03/24HSeton Hall91-61
25/02/24HVillanova78-54
21/02/24ACreighton66-85
17/02/24HMarquette81-53
Northwesternlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24AFlorida Atlantic77-65 OT
15/03/24HWisconsin61-70
10/03/24HMinnesota90-66
07/03/24AMichigan State49-53
02/03/24HIowa80-87
29/02/24AMaryland68-61
23/02/24HMichigan76-62
18/02/24AIndiana76-72
15/02/24ARutgers60-63
11/02/24HPenn State68-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uconn
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games352114
Win %91%100%79%
Points / game81.785.176.7
Allowed / game64.161.068.6
Point differential+17.7+24.1+8.1
Avg total145.8146.1145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%81%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northwestern
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW67%
HomeWWLWL84%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331914
Win %67%84%43%
Points / game73.878.567.4
Allowed / game68.968.869.0
Point differential+4.9+9.7-1.6
Avg total142.7147.3136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%53%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)86% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %15%11%21%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn3532391%81.764.1+17.7
2 Marquette3627975%78.669.9+8.7
3 Creighton3425974%80.669.5+11.1
4 Seton Hall32201262%72.870.2+2.6
5 Providence34211362%72.969.0+3.9
6 St. John's (N.Y.)33201361%78.871.9+6.9
7 Butler32181456%77.273.7+3.5
8 Villanova33181555%70.565.5+5.0
9 Xavier35161946%74.674.5+0.1
10 Georgetown3292328%70.877.9-7.0
11 DePaul323299%64.781.8-17.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue3531489%83.969.5+14.4
2 Illinois3628878%84.673.4+11.2
3 Nebraska34231168%77.770.9+6.8
4 Northwestern33221167%73.868.9+4.9
5 Oregon36241267%75.672.3+3.3
6 Wisconsin36221461%74.770.0+4.7
7 Ohio State33201361%74.969.5+5.4
8 Indiana33191458%72.374.3-2.0
9 Michigan State35201557%72.966.1+6.8
10 Iowa32181456%82.979.0+3.9
11 Minnesota32181456%75.471.8+3.7
12 Washington32171553%80.677.1+3.5
13 Maryland33161748%69.065.9+3.2
14 Penn State33161748%75.173.4+1.7
15 UCLA33161748%66.065.5+0.5
16 Rutgers32151747%65.466.5-1.2
17 USC33151845%74.174.3-0.2
18 Michigan3282425%72.979.0-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Uconn403575
Northwestern184058
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