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Northwestern vs Minnesota Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 90-66
53-41 37-25
Position#86
Record20-10
FormWWWLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Position#163
Record18-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Northwestern v Minnesota
03 Jan 2027
NORT v MINN
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
NORT78
MINN84
09 Mar 2024
NORT90
MINN66
28 Jan 2023
NORT81
MINN61
06 Mar 2022
NORT75
MINN62
10 Mar 2021
NORT46
MINN51
23 Feb 2020
NORT57
MINN83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Northwestern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NorthwesternUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#8
L
96-105 OT
96
105
-9
A31/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
L
66-75 OT
66
75
-9
A03/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H11/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
76-72
76
72
+4
A18/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H23/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A29/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H02/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-47
42-34
27-27
34-34
47-31
33-37
29-27
39-36
34-27
26-36
34-26
42-46
37-34
39-28
29-24
39-37
37-36
43-51
25-20
24-33
142.8Avg total
71.9Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)73.669.1142.6+4.567%
Season at home (17)78.868.9147.7+9.988%
Season away (13)66.769.3136.0-2.638%
Last 10 (10)71.970.9142.8+1.050%
Last 5 (5)69.867.0136.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.595.0182.5-7.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.768.4139.1+2.357%
vs Weaker (12)72.261.2133.4+11.183%
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#86
W
75-66 OT
75
66
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H07/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A16/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H23/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
55-73
55
73
-18
A25/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
97-105
97
105
-8
A29/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H02/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-27
34-34
27-32
32-24
51-38
34-52
43-35
33-49
37-37
44-33
42-34
46-45
20-28
35-45
45-48
52-57
30-42
45-28
25-30
33-40
151.2Avg total
74.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.071.0147.0+5.060%
Season at home (20)77.566.1143.6+11.580%
Season away (10)72.980.7153.6-7.820%
Last 10 (10)74.976.3151.2-1.450%
Last 5 (5)74.679.4154.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.088.3165.3-11.30%
vs Similar ◀ (15)73.171.0144.1+2.160%
vs Weaker (12)79.366.6145.9+12.875%
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -1.9-1.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -1.9-1.9
NorthwesternMinnesota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NorthwesternLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Purdue
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A03/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H08/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H11/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A15/02
NCAA
Indiana
#153
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A18/02
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H23/02
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A29/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H02/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
W
25-20
25
20
+5
A07/03
NCAA
63.7Avg total
33.8Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.531.566.0+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.432.569.8+4.982%-
Last 30 away (13)30.730.260.9+0.546%-
Last 10 (10)33.829.963.7+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)32.428.060.4+4.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.541.274.8-7.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.529.863.3+3.771%-
vs Weaker (12)35.930.266.2+5.775%-
This opponent (Minnesota) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinnesotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#86
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H03/02
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H07/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A11/02
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A16/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H18/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H23/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
20-28
20
28
-8
A25/02
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A29/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H02/03
NCAA
Indiana
#153
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H07/03
NCAA
69.8Avg total
34.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.270.1+1.743%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.731.968.7+4.855%-
Last 30 away (10)34.338.873.1-4.520%-
Last 10 (10)34.735.169.8-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.436.468.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.040.079.0-1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)31.734.366.0-2.727%-
vs Weaker (12)40.432.773.1+7.867%-
This opponent (Northwestern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Northwestern wins
6
Minnesota wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24AMichigan State49-53
02/03/24HIowa80-87
29/02/24AMaryland68-61
23/02/24HMichigan76-62
18/02/24AIndiana76-72
15/02/24ARutgers60-63
11/02/24HPenn State68-63
08/02/24HNebraska80-68
03/02/24AMinnesota66-75 OT
31/01/24APurdue96-105 OT
Minnesotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HIndiana58-70
02/03/24HPenn State75-70
29/02/24AIllinois97-105
25/02/24ANebraska55-73
23/02/24HOhio State88-79
18/02/24HRutgers81-70
16/02/24APurdue76-84
11/02/24AIowa85-90
07/02/24HMichigan State59-56
03/02/24HNorthwestern75-66 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Northwestern
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %67%88%38%
Points / game73.678.866.7
Allowed / game69.168.969.3
Point differential+4.5+9.9-2.6
Avg total142.6147.7136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%53%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)86% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %13%12%15%
Minnesota
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL60%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games302010
Win %60%80%20%
Points / game76.077.572.9
Allowed / game71.066.180.7
Point differential+5.0+11.4-7.8
Avg total147.0143.7153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue3027390%84.470.2+14.2
2 Illinois3022873%84.373.3+11.0
3 Nebraska3021970%76.569.3+7.2
4 Northwestern30201067%73.669.1+4.5
5 Oregon31201165%75.872.6+3.3
6 Wisconsin30191163%74.669.5+5.1
7 Michigan State30181260%73.765.9+7.8
8 Minnesota30181260%76.071.0+5.0
9 Iowa30181260%83.878.9+5.0
10 Ohio State30181260%74.569.6+4.9
11 Indiana30171357%73.174.5-1.4
12 Washington31171455%80.877.0+3.8
13 Maryland30151550%69.665.0+4.6
14 Rutgers30151550%66.366.4-0.0
15 Penn State30141647%75.674.5+1.1
16 UCLA30141647%66.266.3-0.1
17 USC30131743%74.674.8-0.1
18 Michigan3082227%73.679.2-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Northwestern533790
Minnesota412566
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