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Uconn vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:39
Final 82-52
40-31 42-21
Position#5
Record33-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game63.9
Uconn 🏆
USA
vs
San Diego State
USA
Position#48
Record26-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uconn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#43
L
66-85
66
85
-19
A21/02
NCAA
Villanova
#174
W
78-54
78
54
+24
H25/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H03/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#114
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A10/03
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H14/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
95-90
95
90
+5
H15/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H16/03
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
91-52
91
52
+39
H22/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H24/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-43
37-42
31-21
47-33
44-29
47-32
42-31
32-36
42-24
32-36
34-33
53-27
52-47
43-43
26-24
47-33
52-19
39-33
40-18
35-40
144.8Avg total
80.4Scored
64.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)81.663.9145.4+17.792%
Season at home (22)84.660.9145.5+23.8100%
Season away (14)76.768.6145.4+8.179%
Last 10 (10)80.464.4144.8+16.090%
Last 5 (5)84.263.4147.6+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)76.063.0139.0+13.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)80.164.7144.8+15.490%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#17
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
73-41
73
41
+32
A25/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H28/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A06/03
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
H09/03
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
74-71 OT
74
71
+3
A14/03
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
86-70
86
70
+16
A16/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H16/03
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H22/03
NCAA
Yale
#51
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H25/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-31
37-37
42-16
31-25
29-22
43-42
28-33
30-29
31-33
41-39
22-27
43-38
36-39
50-31
30-36
31-32
35-29
34-36
45-21
40-36
136.3Avg total
71.8Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)74.766.2141.0+8.572%
Season at home (21)77.163.7140.9+13.490%
Season away (15)71.369.8141.1+1.547%
Last 10 (10)71.864.5136.3+7.360%
Last 5 (5)75.066.2141.2+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)78.576.5155.0+2.050%
vs Similar (18)71.167.5138.6+3.656%
vs Weaker (9)76.960.1137.0+16.8100%
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +3.5+3.5
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.3+10.31st half: +3.7+3.72nd half2nd half: +5.7+5.72nd half: +3.5+3.5
UconnSan Diego State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#43
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Villanova
#174
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H25/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H03/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#114
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A10/03
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H14/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H15/03
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H16/03
NCAA
Stetson
#97
W
52-19
52
19
+33
H22/03
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
40-18
40
18
+22
H24/03
NCAA
68.1Avg total
39.2Scored
28.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.930.068.9+8.980%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.127.766.8+11.394%-
Last 30 away (12)38.733.572.2+5.258%-
Last 10 (10)39.228.968.1+10.390%-
Last 5 (5)40.828.269.0+12.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)45.034.079.0+11.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)38.729.968.6+8.879%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#17
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
42-16
42
16
+26
A25/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H28/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H09/03
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A14/03
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A16/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H16/03
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H22/03
NCAA
Yale
#51
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H25/03
NCAA
61.1Avg total
32.4Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.930.465.3+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.728.865.4+7.981%-
Last 30 away (14)32.932.265.1+0.729%-
Last 10 (10)32.428.761.1+3.740%-
Last 5 (5)33.630.464.0+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)33.036.069.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (18)32.731.864.6+0.933%-
vs Weaker (9)39.126.765.8+12.4100%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Uconn wins
1
San Diego State wins
DateGameScore
04/04/23San Diego State v Uconn76-59
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HNorthwestern75-58
22/03/24HStetson91-52
16/03/24HMarquette73-57
15/03/24HSt. John's (N.Y.)95-90
14/03/24HXavier87-60
10/03/24AProvidence74-60
07/03/24AMarquette74-67
03/03/24HSeton Hall91-61
25/02/24HVillanova78-54
21/02/24ACreighton66-85
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24HYale85-57
22/03/24HUAB69-65
16/03/24HNew Mexico61-68
16/03/24AUtah State86-70
14/03/24AUNLV74-71 OT
09/03/24HBoise State77-79 OT
06/03/24AUNLV58-62
28/02/24HSan Jose State72-64
25/02/24AFresno State73-41
21/02/24AUtah State63-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uconn
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362214
Win %92%100%79%
Points / game81.684.676.7
Allowed / game63.960.968.6
Point differential+17.7+23.8+8.1
Avg total145.4145.5145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%82%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW72%
HomeWLLWW90%
AwayLWLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362115
Win %72%90%47%
Points / game74.777.171.3
Allowed / game66.263.769.8
Point differential+8.5+13.4+1.5
Avg total141.0140.9141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)75% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %14%14%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn3633392%81.663.9+17.7
2 Marquette3627975%78.669.9+8.7
3 Creighton3425974%80.669.5+11.1
4 Seton Hall32201262%72.870.2+2.6
5 Providence34211362%72.969.0+3.9
6 St. John's (N.Y.)33201361%78.871.9+6.9
7 Butler32181456%77.273.7+3.5
8 Villanova33181555%70.565.5+5.0
9 Xavier35161946%74.674.5+0.1
10 Georgetown3292328%70.877.9-7.0
11 DePaul323299%64.781.8-17.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon3530586%79.167.0+12.1
2 Utah State3528780%79.771.3+8.3
3 Nevada3426876%75.966.9+9.0
4 New Mexico36261072%81.070.7+10.3
5 San Diego State36261072%74.766.2+8.5
6 Colorado State36251169%75.267.3+7.9
7 Boise State33221167%75.167.3+7.8
8 UNLV31191261%73.267.8+5.4
9 Wyoming32151747%72.874.5-1.6
10 Fresno State33122136%67.773.9-6.2
11 Air Force3192229%66.272.4-6.2
12 San Jose State3292328%69.675.1-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Uconn404282
San Diego State312152
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