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Uconn vs Villanova Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 74-66
33-32 41-34
Position#29
Record13-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game58.6
Uconn 🏆
USA
vs
Villanova
USA
Position#196
Record7-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game67.1
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Uconn v Villanova
24 Jan 2026
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VILL67
13 Mar 2025
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VILL56
18 Feb 2025
UCON66
VILL59
24 Feb 2024
UCON78
VILL54
28 Dec 2022
UCON74
VILL66
22 Feb 2022
UCON71
VILL69
28 Jan 2021
UCON v VILL
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uconn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Villanova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Wilmington
#58
W
86-50
86
50
+36
H19/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
95-60
95
60
+35
H20/11
NCAA
Oregon
#140
W
83-59
83
59
+24
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A26/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H28/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H01/12
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
75-54
75
54
+21
A08/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
114-61
114
61
+53
H10/12
NCAA
Butler
#256
W
68-46
68
46
+22
A18/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
40-28
46-22
57-24
38-36
39-28
44-31
35-30
47-37
38-28
33-25
48-31
26-33
36-23
39-31
62-27
52-34
28-20
40-26
47-40
37-33
141.9Avg total
83.2Scored
58.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.658.6142.2+25.0100%
Season at home (9)86.659.6146.1+27.0100%
Season away (4)77.056.5133.5+20.5100%
Last 10 (10)83.258.7141.9+24.5100%
Last 5 (5)83.059.6142.6+23.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)68.967.3136.1+1.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)78.061.3139.3+16.787%
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware State
#359
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H14/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
71-73
71
73
-2
A19/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
H24/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A27/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Penn
#147
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H08/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
77-56
77
56
+21
A10/12
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A17/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-27
36-23
24-34
47-39
34-34
33-33
27-35
44-48
31-35
36-39
30-32
40-34
36-26
34-33
40-30
37-26
32-35
39-29
35-31
43-32
138.3Avg total
71.4Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)71.667.1138.7+4.558%
Season at home (7)72.767.1139.9+5.671%
Season away (5)70.067.0137.0+3.040%
Last 10 (10)71.466.9138.3+4.560%
Last 5 (5)73.261.6134.8+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)50.044.094.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (20)72.370.0142.2+2.365%
vs Weaker (9)71.160.6131.7+10.689%
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-19-9+0+9+191st half1st half: +15.1+15.11st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +9.4+9.42nd half: +5.3+5.3
-19-9+0+9+191st half1st half: +15.1+15.11st half: -0.6-0.62nd half2nd half: +9.4+9.42nd half: +5.3+5.3
UconnVillanova
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Wilmington
#58
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H19/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
57-24
57
24
+33
H20/11
NCAA
Oregon
#140
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A26/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H28/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H01/12
NCAA
Florida
#205
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A08/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
62-27
62
27
+35
H10/12
NCAA
Butler
#256
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A18/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H20/12
NCAA
70.9Avg total
43.0Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.929.266.1+7.773%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.628.969.5+11.689%-
Last 30 away (12)31.429.560.9+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)43.027.970.9+15.1100%-
Last 5 (5)44.228.272.4+16.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)29.730.360.0-0.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)39.128.867.9+10.378%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware State
#359
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H14/11
NCAA
Michigan State
#108
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A19/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H24/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H25/11
NCAA
Oregon
#140
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A27/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#229
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H03/12
NCAA
Penn
#147
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H08/12
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A10/12
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A17/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#185
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H21/12
NCAA
63.2Avg total
31.3Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.630.162.7+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (19)32.227.659.7+4.668%-
Last 30 away (11)33.434.467.7-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)31.331.963.2-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.630.865.4+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)27.020.047.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (20)33.131.965.1+1.245%-
vs Weaker (9)32.027.059.0+5.078%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Uconn wins
4
Villanova wins
DateGameScore
12/03/22Villanova v Uconn63-60
23/02/22Uconn v Villanova71-69
05/02/22Villanova v Uconn85-74
20/02/21Villanova v Uconn68-60
18/01/20Villanova v Uconn61-55
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/22HGeorgetown84-73
18/12/22AButler68-46
10/12/22HLIU Sharks114-61
08/12/22AFlorida75-54
01/12/22HOklahoma State74-64
28/11/22HIowa State71-53
26/11/22AAlabama82-67
25/11/22AOregon83-59
20/11/22HDelaware State95-60
19/11/22HNC Wilmington86-50
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22HSt. John's (N.Y.)78-63
17/12/22ASaint Josephs Hawks71-64
10/12/22ABoston College77-56
08/12/22HPenn70-59
03/12/22HOklahoma70-66
27/11/22AOregon67-74
25/11/22HPortland71-83
24/11/22HIowa State79-81 OT
19/11/22AMichigan State71-73
14/11/22HDelaware State60-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uconn
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.686.677.0
Allowed / game58.659.656.5
Point differential+25.0+27.0+20.5
Avg total142.2146.1133.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Villanova
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW58%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game71.672.770.0
Allowed / game67.167.167.0
Point differential+4.5+5.6+3.0
Avg total138.7139.9137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn13130100%83.658.6+25.0
2 St. John's (N.Y.)1411379%77.670.0+7.6
3 Providence1310377%81.369.6+11.7
4 Xavier1310377%83.873.6+10.2
5 Marquette1410471%82.470.2+12.2
6 Butler138562%71.364.8+6.5
7 Villanova127558%71.667.1+4.5
8 Creighton148657%76.767.9+8.8
9 Seton Hall147750%68.663.9+4.8
10 DePaul136746%72.075.5-3.5
11 Georgetown135838%75.077.1-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Uconn334174
Villanova323466
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