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Uconn vs Villanova Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 75-67 (OT)
27-31 34-30 14-6
Position#11
Record18-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game63.3
Uconn 🏆
USA
vs
Villanova
USA
Position#46
Record15-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game68.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Uconn v Villanova
24 Jan 2026
UCON75
VILL67
13 Mar 2025
UCON73
VILL56
18 Feb 2025
UCON66
VILL59
24 Feb 2024
UCON78
VILL54
28 Dec 2022
UCON74
VILL66
22 Feb 2022
UCON71
VILL69
28 Jan 2021
UCON v VILL
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uconn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Villanova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H10/12
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H13/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H17/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A21/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
90-67
90
67
+23
A31/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H04/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
A08/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H10/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A14/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-32
38-41
43-34
28-29
39-25
40-35
33-30
39-24
43-28
47-39
37-29
36-28
37-47
52-42
37-27
35-33
35-22
34-42
32-28
32-34
142.8Avg total
77.0Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.563.3141.7+15.295%
Season at home (11)79.359.6138.9+19.691%
Season away (8)77.468.2145.6+9.1100%
Last 10 (10)77.065.8142.8+11.2100%
Last 5 (5)76.268.2144.4+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.073.7146.7-0.733%
vs Similar (7)72.669.4142.0+3.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)78.561.6140.2+16.995%
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#282
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H13/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
76-66 OT
76
66
+10
H20/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A24/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H31/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A03/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H08/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A10/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A13/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H18/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-32
38-29
35-22
21-34
31-27
33-29
28-32
43-34
30-33
55-34
34-30
38-46
44-38
32-35
46-34
42-48
35-36
44-50
26-23
40-28
144.0Avg total
75.6Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.968.6146.6+9.379%
Season at home (12)80.967.6148.5+13.383%
Season away (7)72.970.4143.3+2.471%
Last 10 (10)75.668.4144.0+7.280%
Last 5 (5)76.273.6149.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)67.080.0147.0-13.050%
vs Similar (11)72.369.1141.4+3.255%
vs Weaker (17)76.565.1141.6+11.588%
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +1.9+1.9
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +1.9+1.9
UconnVillanova
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H10/12
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H13/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H17/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A21/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A31/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H04/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A08/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H10/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A14/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A17/01
NCAA
67.7Avg total
37.5Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.230.868.1+6.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.928.767.6+10.276%-
Last 30 away (13)35.133.668.7+1.554%-
Last 10 (10)37.530.267.7+7.390%-
Last 5 (5)35.630.666.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.332.767.0+1.733%-
vs Similar (7)34.738.172.9-3.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.528.066.5+10.585%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#282
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H13/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A24/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H31/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H08/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A10/01
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A13/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H22/01
NCAA
65.7Avg total
35.0Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.631.767.3+3.870%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.330.468.6+7.982%-
Last 30 away (13)32.033.565.5-1.554%-
Last 10 (10)35.030.765.7+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.269.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)28.542.571.0-14.050%-
vs Similar (11)35.031.166.1+3.964%-
vs Weaker (17)36.830.967.6+5.976%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Uconn wins
3
Villanova wins
DateGameScore
14/03/25Uconn v Villanova73-56
18/02/25Uconn v Villanova66-59
08/01/25Villanova v Uconn68-66
25/02/24Uconn v Villanova78-54
21/01/24Villanova v Uconn65-66
05/03/23Villanova v Uconn59-71
28/12/22Uconn v Villanova74-66
12/03/22Villanova v Uconn63-60
23/02/22Uconn v Villanova71-69
05/02/22Villanova v Uconn85-74
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AGeorgetown64-62
14/01/26ASeton Hall69-64
10/01/26HDePaul72-60
08/01/26AProvidence103-98 OT
04/01/26HMarquette73-57
31/12/25AXavier90-67
21/12/25ADePaul72-54
17/12/25HButler79-60
13/12/25HTexas71-63
10/12/25HFlorida77-73
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HGeorgetown66-51
18/01/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)79-86
13/01/26AProvidence88-82
10/01/26AMarquette76-73
08/01/26HCreighton72-76
03/01/26AButler85-67
31/12/25HDePaul71-66
24/12/25ASeton Hall64-56
20/12/25HWisconsin76-66 OT
13/12/25HPittsburgh79-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uconn
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %95%91%100%
Points / game78.579.377.4
Allowed / game63.359.668.2
Point differential+15.2+19.6+9.1
Avg total141.7138.9145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%73%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)50% (2)100% (5)
Overtime %5%0%12%
Villanova
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW79%
HomeWWLLW83%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %79%83%71%
Points / game77.980.972.9
Allowed / game68.667.670.4
Point differential+9.3+13.3+2.4
Avg total146.6148.5143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%75%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn1918195%78.563.3+15.2
2 Villanova1915479%77.968.6+9.3
3 Seton Hall1914574%72.263.9+8.3
4 St. John's (N.Y.)2114767%81.973.5+8.3
5 Butler2013765%83.575.9+7.7
6 Creighton2012860%79.074.3+4.7
7 DePaul1911858%73.669.9+3.7
8 Xavier1911858%78.376.6+1.6
9 Providence1991047%89.786.3+3.4
10 Georgetown1991047%75.373.7+1.6
11 Marquette2171433%75.979.1-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Uconn27341475
Villanova3130667
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