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Uganda vs Mali Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-84
17-23 31-22 13-24 12-15
Position#86
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Mali 🏆
Position#25
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game77.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Kamal Shalaby Hall
Other2027
Meetings · Uganda v Mali
28 Feb 2026
UGAN73
MALI84
01 Jul 2022
UGAN20
MALI0
30 Jun 2018
UGAN80
MALI95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Uganda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mali winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UgandaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mali
#49
W
20-0
20
0
+20
H01/07
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A02/07
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A03/07
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
62-84
62
84
-22
A26/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
80-91
80
91
-11
H27/08
World Cup
Guinea
#59
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A28/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
49-82
49
82
-33
H24/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
44-89
44
89
-45
A25/02
World Cup
Guinea
#59
L
47-88
47
88
-41
H26/02
World Cup
Angola
#23
L
68-90
68
90
-22
A26/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
23-25
20-19
9-18
26-25
13-20
18-29
24-24
17-18
12-26
15-30
13-14
22-14
19-27
31-19
13-18
17-27
15-20
18-11
18-16
18-29
9-17
19-17
10-25
11-23
10-31
11-19
13-17
10-22
16-25
20-20
9-25
2-18
13-27
14-18
19-28
22-17
136.7Avg total
58.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.090.0158.0-22.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.090.0158.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)58.977.8136.7-18.910%
Last 5 (5)55.485.0140.4-29.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)62.281.4143.6-19.214%
vs Similar (7)77.680.0157.6-2.429%
vs Weaker (1)80.066.0146.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Mali) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ivory Coast
#45
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A24/02
World Cup
Nigeria
#6
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A25/08
AfroBasket
Ivory Coast
#3
L
67-90
67
90
-23
H27/08
AfroBasket
Kenya
#14
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A29/08
AfroBasket
Uganda
#71
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H26/11
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A27/11
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A28/11
World Cup
Uganda
#71
L
0-20
0
20
-20
A01/07
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
L
0-20
0
20
-20
H02/07
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H26/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
11-18
10-13
13-12
12-28
31-16
10-27
20-10
14-27
14-22
14-19
25-22
18-22
11-11
16-22
21-17
17-9
19-21
25-19
15-17
15-16
24-14
16-23
15-19
17-12
16-18
14-19
17-9
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
26-22
20-12
23-16
17-27
117.6Avg total
55.1Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)55.162.5117.6-7.430%
Last 5 (5)44.049.493.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)54.471.1125.6-16.76%
vs Similar (5)79.072.2151.2+6.8100%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)66.662.1128.7+4.457%
This opponent (Uganda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.8-9.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -9.8-9.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -6.3-6.3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
UgandaMali
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UgandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cape Verde
#45
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A02/07
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A03/07
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
27-56
27
56
-29
A26/08
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H27/08
World Cup
Guinea
#59
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A28/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H24/02
World Cup
Ivory Coast
#21
L
21-50
21
50
-29
A25/02
World Cup
Guinea
#59
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H26/02
World Cup
Angola
#23
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A26/02
World Cup
77.3Avg total
32.9Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)34.840.274.9-5.432%-
Last 30 at home (10)38.639.978.5-1.340%-
Last 30 away (18)32.640.372.9-7.728%-
Last 10 (9)32.944.477.3-11.622%-
Last 5 (5)29.041.070.0-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.142.075.1-8.920%-
vs Similar (7)38.136.074.1+2.157%-
vs Weaker (1)44.033.077.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Mali) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ivory Coast
#45
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A24/02
World Cup
Nigeria
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A25/08
AfroBasket
Ivory Coast
#3
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H27/08
AfroBasket
Kenya
#14
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A29/08
AfroBasket
Uganda
#71
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H26/11
World Cup
Nigeria
#30
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A27/11
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A28/11
World Cup
Egypt
#53
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H26/02
World Cup
71.8Avg total
35.0Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)30.834.865.6-4.029%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.934.965.7-4.029%-
Last 30 away (14)30.734.865.5-4.129%-
Last 10 (8)35.036.871.8-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.631.468.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)26.636.463.0-9.712%-
vs Similar (5)33.431.264.6+2.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.333.573.8+6.867%-
This opponent (Uganda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Uganda wins
3
Mali wins
DateGameScore
01/07/22Uganda v Mali20-0
26/11/21Mali v Uganda76-66
30/06/18Uganda v Mali80-95
24/02/18Mali v Uganda79-76
Ugandalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26AAngola68-90
26/02/23HGuinea47-88
25/02/23AIvory Coast44-89
24/02/23HAngola49-82
28/08/22AGuinea69-76
27/08/22HIvory Coast80-91
26/08/22AAngola62-84
03/07/22ANigeria72-91
02/07/22ACape Verde78-87
01/07/22HMali20-0
Malilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HEgypt86-77
02/07/22HNigeria0-20
01/07/22AUganda0-20
28/11/21ACape Verde64-58
27/11/21ANigeria70-72
26/11/21HUganda76-66
29/08/21AKenya66-72
27/08/21HIvory Coast67-90
25/08/21ANigeria73-81
24/02/19AIvory Coast49-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Uganda
World Cup 2027
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game90.0-90.0
Point differential-22.0--22.0
Avg total158.0-158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Mali
World Cup 2027
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Croatia770100%94.369.6+24.7
4 Angola110100%90.068.0+22.0
5 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
6 Canada330100%100.382.7+17.7
7 Uruguay330100%79.362.0+17.3
8 Turkey330100%86.769.7+17.0
9 Brazil330100%84.770.7+14.0
10 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
11 Ivory Coast110100%90.080.0+10.0
12 Mali110100%86.077.0+9.0
13 D.R. Congo110100%87.079.0+8.0
14 Australia330100%85.378.7+6.7
15 Poland330100%86.381.0+5.3
16 Colombia220100%83.078.0+5.0
17 Netherlands75271%80.474.4+6.0
18 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
19 Philippines32167%82.762.0+20.7
20 Argentina32167%76.359.3+17.0
21 Slovenia32167%95.378.7+16.7
22 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
23 Germany32167%86.775.3+11.3
24 Greece32167%77.366.3+11.0
25 Italy32167%83.773.0+10.7
26 Portugal32167%83.373.3+10.0
27 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
28 Lebanon32167%84.074.7+9.3
29 Qatar32167%86.377.0+9.3
30 Japan32167%83.374.7+8.7
31 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
32 Saudi Arabia32167%73.367.3+6.0
33 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
34 France32167%76.372.3+4.0
35 Estonia32167%91.389.0+2.3
36 South Korea32167%78.376.3+2.0
37 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
38 Finland32167%78.777.0+1.7
39 Jamaica32167%95.093.7+1.3
40 Serbia32167%80.780.0+0.7
41 Iceland32167%83.783.7+0.0
42 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
43 Montenegro32167%69.774.3-4.7
44 Czech Republic32167%84.390.3-6.0
45 Switzerland138562%74.267.8+6.4
46 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
47 Hungary74357%81.174.7+6.4
48 Romania116555%76.276.8-0.6
49 Dominican Republic21150%90.087.0+3.0
50 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
51 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
52 Austria115645%84.678.8+5.8
53 Latvia31233%82.079.3+2.7
54 Israel31233%78.076.0+2.0
55 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%75.775.7+0.0
56 Lithuania31233%85.085.3-0.3
57 New Zealand31233%75.076.3-1.3
58 China31233%79.783.3-3.7
59 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
60 Chinese Taipei31233%71.378.3-7.0
61 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
62 Georgia31233%76.384.3-8.0
63 Great Britain31233%78.388.7-10.3
64 Panama31233%75.386.0-10.7
65 Bahamas31233%87.3100.3-13.0
66 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
67 Denmark72529%74.481.6-7.1
68 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
69 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
70 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
71 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
72 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
73 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
74 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
75 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
76 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
77 Puerto Rico3030%89.095.0-6.0
78 Venezuela2020%81.087.0-6.0
79 Belgium3030%71.379.0-7.7
80 Madagascar1010%79.087.0-8.0
81 Egypt1010%77.086.0-9.0
82 Senegal1010%80.090.0-10.0
83 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
84 Sweden3030%80.093.0-13.0
85 Chile3030%68.782.0-13.3
86 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
87 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
88 Uganda1010%68.090.0-22.0
89 Cuba3030%66.089.7-23.7
90 India3030%60.385.0-24.7
91 Guam3030%65.791.7-26.0
92 Nicaragua1010%72.099.0-27.0
93 Cyprus3030%59.392.3-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Uganda1731131273
Mali2322241584
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