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Ukraine vs Poland Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 86-94
21-24 24-18 22-27 19-25
Position#13
Record7-4
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Poland 🏆
Position#18
Record6-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game78.8
EuropeEuroBasket
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukraine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUkraine
Date
Competition
Georgia
#32
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
H01/07
World Cup
North Macedonia
#63
W
73-68
73
68
+5
no box
A04/07
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
H07/07
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
89-97
89
97
-8
no box
H24/08
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Great Britain
#14
W
90-61
90
61
+29
no box
H02/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
H05/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
79-99
79
99
-20
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
85-90
85
90
-5
no box
A08/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
24-14
13-10
19-22
35-21
12-16
10-16
16-15
19-20
20-20
21-17
16-20
19-19
26-15
22-38
22-25
19-14
22-22
14-27
25-17
22-17
20-15
24-12
24-17
15-21
18-14
23-26
18-12
16-21
22-21
19-15
27-16
20-23
26-16
11-32
22-28
21-21
21-24
25-22
18-23
161.2Avg total
81.7Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.173.6152.7+5.564%
Season at home (5)74.865.6140.4+9.280%
Season away (6)82.780.3163.0+2.350%
Last 10 (10)81.779.5161.2+2.250%
Last 5 (5)82.479.2161.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.575.5149.0-2.025%
vs Similar (15)77.881.8159.6-4.027%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.466.6146.0+12.782%
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Estonia
#55
W
70-68
70
68
+2
no box
H28/02
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
no box
H30/06
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Croatia
#7
L
69-72
69
72
-3
66avg 78
H25/08
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
91-55
91
55
+36
90avg 78
A28/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
W
99-84
99
84
+15
no box
H02/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
59-89
59
89
-30
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
H05/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
75-69
75
69
+6
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
69-96
69
96
-27
no box
A08/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
26-21
17-14
15-12
18-12
24-24
15-19
21-23
19-19
17-21
20-17
27-36
15-11
16-10
16-28
22-23
25-8
11-17
29-10
26-20
29-18
17-28
23-17
30-21
16-26
14-18
14-20
15-25
23-16
16-17
29-23
17-20
19-20
12-20
17-15
27-14
14-28
19-24
17-20
19-24
157.7Avg total
79.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.778.8158.5+0.955%
Season at home (5)86.281.0167.2+5.260%
Season away (6)74.377.0151.3-2.750%
Last 10 (10)79.078.7157.7+0.360%
Last 5 (5)77.482.8160.2-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)75.583.4158.9-7.927%
vs Similar (11)82.575.1157.6+7.573%
vs Weaker (4)74.869.0143.8+5.875%
This opponent (Ukraine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
UkrainePoland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UkraineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#32
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/07
World Cup
North Macedonia
#63
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/07
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H07/07
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/08
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A27/08
World Cup
Great Britain
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H02/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H05/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A06/09
EuroBasket
Croatia
#12
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A08/09
EuroBasket
79.4Avg total
42.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.236.274.4+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.532.468.9+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)39.940.079.9-0.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.037.479.4+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.839.573.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (15)38.638.176.7+0.553%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.332.471.6+6.973%-
This opponent (Poland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estonia
#55
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H28/02
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H30/06
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A03/07
World Cup
Croatia
#7
W
31-21
31
21
+10
H25/08
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A28/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#32
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H02/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A03/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H05/09
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A06/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A08/09
EuroBasket
74.1Avg total
36.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.177.1-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.138.277.3+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)36.740.176.8-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)36.237.974.1-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.843.078.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.940.977.8-4.133%-
vs Similar (11)39.736.476.1+3.464%-
vs Weaker (4)37.040.077.0-3.025%-
This opponent (Ukraine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukrainetheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.0
48.7%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws16.011.0
68.8%
-11.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ukraine wins
0
Poland wins
No previous meetings.
Ukrainelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/09/22ACroatia85-90
06/09/22AGreece79-99
05/09/22HItaly84-73
03/09/22AEstonia74-73
02/09/22HGreat Britain90-61
27/08/22AIceland88-91 OT
24/08/22HItaly89-97
07/07/22HSpain76-77
04/07/22ANorth Macedonia73-68
01/07/22HGeorgia79-66
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/09/22ASerbia69-96
06/09/22ANetherlands75-69
05/09/22HIsrael85-76
03/09/22AFinland59-89
02/09/22HCzech Republic99-84
28/08/22AAustria91-55
25/08/22HCroatia69-72
03/07/22AGermany83-93
30/06/22HIsrael90-85 OT
28/02/22HEstonia70-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukraine
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL64%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%80%50%
Points / game79.174.882.7
Allowed / game73.665.680.3
Point differential+5.5+9.2+2.3
Avg total152.7140.4163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poland
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL55%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game79.786.274.3
Allowed / game78.881.077.0
Point differential+0.9+5.2-2.7
Avg total158.5167.2151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%20%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia119282%89.274.4+14.8
2 Greece119282%83.277.5+5.7
3 Spain129375%86.275.8+10.3
4 Slovenia129375%85.278.2+7.0
5 Belgium1611569%79.472.7+6.7
6 Russia64267%76.767.5+9.2
7 Denmark1812667%79.576.6+2.9
8 France128467%77.875.8+2.0
9 Italy117464%83.577.3+6.3
10 Croatia117464%77.571.6+5.8
11 Ukraine117464%79.173.6+5.5
12 Bosnia & Herzegovina117464%79.174.6+4.5
13 Israel117464%80.178.0+2.1
14 Great Britain1911858%75.775.7-0.1
15 North Macedonia148657%78.177.2+0.9
16 Finland116555%80.078.8+1.2
17 Poland116555%79.778.8+0.9
18 Belarus84450%78.073.9+4.1
19 Germany126650%84.080.9+3.1
20 Lithuania126650%85.582.5+3.0
21 Armenia42250%74.874.0+0.8
22 Turkey126650%78.477.7+0.8
23 Portugal126650%74.275.0-0.8
24 Montenegro126650%74.976.5-1.6
25 Romania147750%73.778.5-4.8
26 Georgia115645%80.885.6-4.8
27 Sweden104640%74.374.6-0.3
28 Iceland83538%79.981.9-2.0
29 Slovakia83538%75.078.5-3.5
30 Czech Republic114736%81.587.6-6.1
31 Hungary114736%74.584.0-9.5
32 Switzerland145936%82.084.3-2.3
33 Austria103730%74.578.4-3.9
34 Estonia113827%75.280.6-5.5
35 Netherlands113827%69.476.3-6.9
36 Bulgaria113827%77.688.1-10.5
37 Luxembourg82625%72.583.4-10.9
38 Latvia61517%79.080.0-1.0
39 Cyprus1221017%66.376.8-10.4
40 Kosovo81712%78.883.6-4.9
41 Albania8080%65.283.1-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 41 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukraine2124221986
Poland2418272594
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