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Ullern W vs Baerum W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 59-44
20-15 6-11 18-11 15-7
Position#2
Record17-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game54.6
Ullern W 🏆
Norway
vs
Baerum W
Norway
Position#4
Record10-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game61.0
Allowed / game68.5
NorwayKvinneligaen WKvinneligaen Women - 3rd place· Froya Arena
Women2023-24
Meetings · Ullern W v Baerum W
17 Mar 2024
ULLE59
BAER44
14 Feb 2024
ULLE79
BAER49
03 Dec 2023
ULLE71
BAER51
01 Mar 2023
ULLE51
BAER63
03 Dec 2022
ULLE54
BAER66
23 Jan 2022
ULLE45
BAER69
21 Feb 2021
ULLE v BAER
upcoming
15 Nov 2020
ULLE53
BAER89
19 Jan 2020
ULLE55
BAER56
06 Oct 2019
ULLE71
BAER53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ullern W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baerum W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ullern WNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ulriken W
#1
L
59-86
59
86
-27
47avg 64
A20/01
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
71-30
71
30
+41
60avg 64
A21/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
89-36
89
36
+53
88avg 64
H24/01
Kvinneligaen W
Baerum W
#4
W
57-44
57
44
+13
45avg 64
A28/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
52-69
52
69
-17
42avg 64
H10/02
Kvinneligaen W
Baerum W
#4
W
79-49
79
49
+30
73avg 64
H14/02
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
87-75
87
75
+12
73avg 64
A28/02
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
86-36
86
36
+50
78avg 64
H02/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
94-43
94
43
+51
86avg 64
A09/03
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
59-63
59
63
-4
56avg 64
H16/03
Kvinneligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
18-26
16-11
11-22
10-11
30-3
18-5
13-11
28-9
15-2
23-17
23-8
17-11
6-16
12-6
22-11
17-16
12-17
10-17
13-19
16-11
20-17
21-8
22-13
24-25
13-16
21-22
29-12
35-12
10-5
25-9
16-10
23-14
23-10
25-8
23-11
20-18
21-13
7-10
11-22
126.4Avg total
73.3Scored
53.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.454.6128.0+18.881%
Season at home (11)75.756.2131.9+19.582%
Season away (10)70.852.9123.7+17.980%
Last 10 (10)73.353.1126.4+20.270%
Last 5 (5)81.053.2134.2+27.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)60.477.0137.4-16.622%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (21)74.748.8123.5+25.995%
This opponent (Baerum W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Baerum WNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ullern W
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
33avg 52
H28/01
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
68-57
68
57
+11
64avg 52
A03/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
68-93
68
93
-25
60avg 52
A04/02
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
67-88
67
88
-21
49avg 52
H11/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
49-79
49
79
-30
43avg 52
A14/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
69-37
69
37
+32
60avg 52
H27/02
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
70-54
70
54
+16
68avg 52
H03/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
41-96
41
96
-55
28avg 52
H10/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
84-67
84
67
+17
76avg 52
H15/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
48-92
48
92
-44
no box
A16/03
Kvinneligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-17
16-6
6-12
11-22
21-16
18-12
16-10
13-19
18-35
17-29
16-19
17-10
17-24
18-25
18-22
14-17
11-16
17-20
8-21
13-22
12-8
30-14
11-3
16-12
18-20
20-8
13-16
19-10
12-27
6-25
6-24
17-20
11-21
31-8
16-21
26-17
13-24
9-22
17-26
9-20
132.8Avg total
60.8Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)61.068.5129.5-7.545%
Season at home (11)63.265.4128.5-2.255%
Season away (11)58.771.6130.4-12.936%
Last 10 (10)60.872.0132.8-11.240%
Last 5 (5)62.469.2131.6-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)54.175.2129.3-21.120%
vs Similar (2)72.071.0143.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (13)70.250.5120.6+19.792%
This opponent (Ullern W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -6.4-6.4Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
Ullern WBaerum W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ullern WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulriken W
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A20/01
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
40-14
40
14
+26
A21/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
43-11
43
11
+32
H24/01
Kvinneligaen W
Baerum W
#4
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A28/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H10/02
Kvinneligaen W
Baerum W
#4
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H14/02
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A28/02
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
45-17
45
17
+28
H02/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
46-24
46
24
+22
A09/03
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H16/03
Kvinneligaen W
65.1Avg total
37.2Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.428.564.0+6.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.726.464.1+11.375%-
Last 30 away (14)32.931.063.9+1.950%-
Last 10 (10)37.227.965.1+9.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.028.269.2+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.240.470.7-10.211%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.723.461.1+14.286%-
This opponent (Baerum W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Baerum WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ullern W
#2
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H28/01
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A03/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A04/02
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H11/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A14/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H27/02
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H03/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
18-52
18
52
-34
H10/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H15/03
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A16/03
Kvinneligaen W
70.3Avg total
32.6Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.231.662.8-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.131.364.4+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)29.331.961.3-2.640%-
Last 10 (10)32.637.770.3-5.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.467.8-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)27.138.165.2-10.920%-
vs Similar (2)36.533.570.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker (13)35.123.959.0+11.285%-
This opponent (Ullern W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ullern Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ullern W: 73.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
52%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.918.0
45.1%
41.9%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.7
32.2%
28.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws11.48.0
70.2%
68.5%8.0
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baerum Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baerum W: 60.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
52%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.116.9
41.1%
41.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.35.5
24.7%
28.3%16.5
🏀 Free throws14.410.5
72.9%
68.5%10.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ullern W
LWWWWLWWWL
Baerum W
LWLWWLLLWL
#2
League position
#4
+26.4
Net rating
-13.8
97.1
Offensive rating
76.9
70.7
Defensive rating
90.6
46.5%
Effective FG%
39.7%
38.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
16.0%
Turnover %
27.9%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.2%
3-point %
24.7%
67.5%
Assist %
55.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 76.9Defence70.7 · 90.6Shooting46.5% · 39.7%3-point %32.2% · 24.7%Ball care16.0% · 27.9%Off. rebounds28.9% · 32.4%Free throws0.16 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Ullern W   ■ Baerum W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ullern W wins
6
Baerum W wins
DateGameScore
14/02/24Ullern W v Baerum W79-49
28/01/24Baerum W v Ullern W44-57
03/12/23Ullern W v Baerum W71-51
06/10/23Baerum W v Ullern W30-60
01/03/23Ullern W v Baerum W51-63
20/12/22Baerum W v Ullern W60-47
03/12/22Ullern W v Baerum W54-66
16/10/22Baerum W v Ullern W60-59
13/03/22Baerum W v Ullern W67-60
23/01/22Ullern W v Baerum W45-69
Ullern Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HAsker W59-63
09/03/24AAmmerud W94-43
02/03/24HBergen W86-36
28/02/24AAsker W87-75
14/02/24HBaerum W79-49
10/02/24HUlriken W52-69
28/01/24ABaerum W57-44
24/01/24HAmmerud W89-36
21/01/24ABergen W71-30
20/01/24AUlriken W59-86
Baerum Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24AUlriken W48-92
15/03/24HAmmerud W84-67
10/03/24HUlriken W41-96
03/03/24HBergen W70-54
27/02/24HAmmerud W69-37
14/02/24AUllern W49-79
11/02/24HAsker W67-88
04/02/24AUlriken W68-93
03/02/24ABergen W68-57
28/01/24HUllern W44-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ullern W
Kvinneligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL81%
HomeWLWWL82%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %81%82%80%
Points / game73.475.770.8
Allowed / game54.656.252.9
Point differential+18.8+19.5+17.9
Avg total128.0131.9123.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%64%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %5%9%0%
Baerum W
Kvinneligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL45%
HomeLWWLW55%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %45%55%36%
Points / game61.063.258.7
Allowed / game68.565.471.6
Point differential-7.5-2.2-12.9
Avg total129.5128.5130.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%45%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulriken W2120195%92.455.3+37.0
2 Ullern W2117481%73.454.6+18.8
3 Asker W22121055%69.365.0+4.3
4 Baerum W22101245%61.068.5-7.5
5 Ammerud W2241818%55.177.6-22.5
6 Bergen W222209%52.580.0-27.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ullern W206181559
Baerum W151111744
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