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Baerum W vs Ammerud W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 16:45
Final 69-37
12-8 30-14 11-3 16-12
Position#4
Record7-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game60.5
Allowed / game68.3
Baerum W 🏆
Norway
vs
Ammerud W
Norway
Position#5
Record4-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game56.3
Allowed / game75.3
NorwayKvinneligaen W· Nadderudhallen (Bekkestua)
Women2023-24
Meetings · Baerum W v Ammerud W
15 Mar 2024
BAER84
AMME67
27 Feb 2024
BAER69
AMME37
12 Nov 2023
BAER67
AMME55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baerum W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ammerud W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Baerum WNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ullern W
#2
L
51-71
51
71
-20
39avg 51
A03/12
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
86-44
86
44
+42
85avg 51
H10/12
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
60-82
60
82
-22
45avg 51
A16/12
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
W
59-57
59
57
+2
48avg 51
A06/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
62-47
62
47
+15
51avg 51
A14/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
33avg 51
H28/01
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
68-57
68
57
+11
64avg 51
A03/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
68-93
68
93
-25
60avg 51
A04/02
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
67-88
67
88
-21
49avg 51
H11/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
49-79
49
79
-30
43avg 51
A14/02
Kvinneligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
12-17
9-15
12-21
29-12
19-15
23-4
15-13
14-13
17-22
16-17
13-30
13-13
12-16
24-13
10-15
13-14
13-9
21-10
15-14
11-17
16-6
6-12
11-22
21-16
18-12
16-10
13-19
18-35
17-29
16-19
17-10
17-24
18-25
18-22
14-17
11-16
17-20
8-21
13-22
128.9Avg total
61.4Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)60.568.3128.8-7.841%
Season at home (7)61.666.4128.0-4.943%
Season away (10)59.869.6129.4-9.840%
Last 10 (10)61.467.5128.9-6.140%
Last 5 (5)59.274.8134.0-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)55.972.1128.1-16.221%
vs Similar (3)70.367.0137.3+3.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)69.649.4119.0+20.292%
This opponent (Ammerud W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ammerud WNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ulriken W
#1
L
60-88
60
88
-28
44avg 46
A03/12
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
35-104
35
104
-69
24avg 46
H10/12
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
52-83
52
83
-31
40avg 46
A16/12
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
L
62-67
62
67
-5
44avg 46
A06/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
62-109
62
109
-47
44avg 46
A07/01
Kvinneligaen W
Baerum W
#4
L
47-62
47
62
-15
32avg 46
H14/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
36-89
36
89
-53
27avg 46
A24/01
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
71-56
71
56
+15
74avg 46
H28/01
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
38-69
38
69
-31
29avg 46
H03/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
55-118
55
118
-63
51avg 46
H11/02
Kvinneligaen W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
9-23
16-22
13-19
5-36
5-14
16-27
9-27
17-13
14-27
10-24
11-19
14-13
13-20
13-23
22-11
2-42
22-18
18-26
20-23
14-13
9-13
10-21
14-15
9-28
2-15
17-23
8-23
21-14
16-18
14-8
20-16
13-14
8-19
8-15
9-21
11-33
14-26
16-34
14-25
136.3Avg total
51.8Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)56.375.3131.6-19.024%
Season at home (9)54.372.0126.3-17.733%
Season away (8)58.579.0137.5-20.512%
Last 10 (10)51.884.5136.3-32.710%
Last 5 (5)49.478.8128.2-29.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)52.678.6131.2-26.05%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (11)63.851.0114.8+12.882%
This opponent (Baerum W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -10.2-10.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -8.1-8.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -8.5-8.5Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -5.9-5.9
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -10.2-10.2Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -8.1-8.1Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -8.5-8.5Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: -5.9-5.9
Baerum WAmmerud W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Baerum WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ullern W
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A03/12
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H10/12
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A16/12
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A06/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ammerud W
#5
W
26-23
26
23
+3
A14/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H28/01
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A03/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A04/02
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H11/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A14/02
Kvinneligaen W
67.3Avg total
32.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.030.562.5+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.430.164.5+4.264%-
Last 30 away (16)29.930.860.8-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)32.434.967.3-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)32.840.072.8-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)28.336.364.6-8.021%-
vs Similar (3)37.335.072.3+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)34.823.258.0+11.585%-
This opponent (Ammerud W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ammerud WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulriken W
#1
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A03/12
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
10-50
10
50
-40
H10/12
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A16/12
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A06/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
24-60
24
60
-36
A07/01
Kvinneligaen W
Baerum W
#4
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H14/01
Kvinneligaen W
Ullern W
#2
L
11-43
11
43
-32
A24/01
Kvinneligaen W
Bergen W
#6
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H28/01
Kvinneligaen W
Asker W
#3
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H03/02
Kvinneligaen W
Ulriken W
#1
L
25-59
25
59
-34
H11/02
Kvinneligaen W
66.3Avg total
24.0Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)27.335.062.3-7.632%-
Last 30 at home (16)27.531.959.4-4.438%-
Last 30 away (12)27.139.166.2-12.025%-
Last 10 (10)24.042.366.3-18.310%-
Last 5 (5)23.438.662.0-15.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)24.239.663.7-15.411%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (9)34.025.259.2+8.878%-
This opponent (Baerum W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baerum Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baerum W: 60.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
52%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.118.6
42.2%
41.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.85.2
25.0%
28.3%15.6
🏀 Free throws12.38.0
65.0%
68.5%8.0
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ammerud Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ammerud W: 50.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.3 points a game
52%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.812.9
33.2%
41.9%25.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.65.4
22.9%
28.3%16.2
🏀 Free throws13.08.8
67.7%
68.5%8.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Baerum W
LLLWLWWLWL
Ammerud W
LLWLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#5
-8.5
Net rating
-40.6
76.3
Offensive rating
62.7
84.8
Defensive rating
103.3
40.7%
Effective FG%
33.7%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
27.4%
Turnover %
30.9%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.21
25.0%
3-point %
22.9%
57.6%
Assist %
61.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence76.3 · 62.7Defence84.8 · 103.3Shooting40.7% · 33.7%3-point %25.0% · 22.9%Ball care27.4% · 30.9%Off. rebounds29.7% · 29.6%Free throws0.19 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Baerum W   ■ Ammerud W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Baerum W wins
1
Ammerud W wins
DateGameScore
14/01/24Ammerud W v Baerum W47-62
12/11/23Baerum W v Ammerud W67-55
22/10/23Ammerud W v Baerum W78-47
Baerum Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24AUllern W49-79
11/02/24HAsker W67-88
04/02/24AUlriken W68-93
03/02/24ABergen W68-57
28/01/24HUllern W44-57
14/01/24AAmmerud W62-47
06/01/24AAsker W59-57
16/12/23AAsker W60-82
10/12/23HBergen W86-44
03/12/23AUllern W51-71
Ammerud Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HUlriken W55-118
03/02/24HAsker W38-69
28/01/24HBergen W71-56
24/01/24AUllern W36-89
14/01/24HBaerum W47-62
07/01/24AUlriken W62-109
06/01/24ABergen W62-67
16/12/23AUllern W52-83
10/12/23HUlriken W35-104
03/12/23AUlriken W60-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baerum W
Kvinneligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeWWWLL43%
AwayWWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %41%43%40%
Points / game60.561.659.8
Allowed / game68.366.469.6
Point differential-7.8-4.9-9.8
Avg total128.8128.0129.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ammerud W
Kvinneligaen W 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL24%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %24%33%12%
Points / game56.354.358.5
Allowed / game75.372.079.0
Point differential-19.0-17.7-20.5
Avg total131.6126.3137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulriken W1817194%93.357.2+36.1
2 Ullern W1714382%71.554.7+16.8
3 Asker W179853%68.964.1+4.8
4 Baerum W1771041%60.568.3-7.8
5 Ammerud W1741324%56.375.3-19.0
6 Bergen W181176%50.481.6-31.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Baerum W1230111669
Ammerud W81431237
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