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Ulm vs Jena Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 93-90
29-24 30-28 20-18 14-20
Position#6
Record13-9
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game76.7
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#16
Record8-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game89.5
GermanyBBLRound 24· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Ulm v Jena
14 Nov 2026
ULM v JEN
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
ULM93
JEN90
12 Feb 2019
ULM90
JEN97
27 Jan 2018
ULM87
JEN72
08 Jan 2017
ULM114
JEN83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jena winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
London Lions
#17
W
73-72
73
72
+1
68avg 75
A21/01
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#18
L
77-79
77
79
-2
67avg 75
H24/01
BBL
JL Bourg
#1
L
66-97
66
97
-31
48avg 75
A28/01
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
79-62
79
62
+17
72avg 75
A01/02
BBL
Buducnost
#6
L
90-103
90
103
-13
82avg 75
H03/02
Eurocup
Trier
#12
W
97-67
97
67
+30
93avg 75
H08/02
BBL
Trento
#8
L
68-76
68
76
-8
51avg 75
A10/02
Eurocup
Vechta
#7
L
73-85
73
85
-12
55avg 75
A14/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
101-72
101
72
+29
107avg 75
H18/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
93-76
93
76
+17
91avg 75
H06/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
17-14
15-13
22-27
24-10
15-14
25-28
13-27
9-19
18-26
19-32
20-20
18-14
23-23
19-18
19-7
19-23
26-22
30-21
15-37
18-16
16-19
28-16
35-16
21-19
15-23
16-13
16-21
12-22
18-17
17-20
26-26
31-8
21-24
25-23
24-17
22-24
32-15
17-16
22-21
160.6Avg total
81.7Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.776.7159.5+6.059%
Season at home (11)82.573.3155.8+9.373%
Season away (11)82.980.2163.1+2.745%
Last 10 (10)81.778.9160.6+2.850%
Last 5 (5)86.475.2161.6+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.588.7163.2-14.318%
vs Similar (9)78.677.6156.1+1.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.475.1161.5+11.360%
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JenaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJena
Date
Competition
Bonn
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 68
H29/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
95-86
95
86
+9
80avg 68
A03/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
82-89 OT
82
89
-7
72avg 68
H08/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
A18/01
BBL
Vechta
#7
W
95-78
95
78
+17
89avg 68
H25/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
75-84
75
84
-9
62avg 68
H31/01
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
64-92
64
92
-28
59avg 68
A07/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
61-106
61
106
-45
48avg 68
H15/02
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
64-101
64
101
-37
50avg 68
A06/03
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
84-82
84
82
+2
80avg 68
A10/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
13-29
26-26
25-22
19-19
25-30
24-26
27-11
16-10
24-25
12-21
18-14
25-22
19-17
24-19
15-20
22-21
23-29
22-12
28-16
24-27
20-13
19-20
12-24
21-37
15-11
17-25
11-19
21-28
12-32
14-32
14-14
22-28
21-25
12-29
9-19
34-22
16-22
13-24
21-14
167.1Avg total
78.3Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.789.5170.2-8.838%
Season at home (9)78.690.2168.8-11.722%
Season away (12)82.389.0171.3-6.750%
Last 10 (10)78.388.8167.1-10.540%
Last 5 (5)69.693.0162.6-23.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)79.990.3170.2-10.432%
vs Similar (6)82.084.8166.8-2.850%
vs Weaker (4)90.880.5171.2+10.275%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
UlmJena
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
London Lions
#17
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/01
Eurocup
Heidelberg
#18
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H24/01
BBL
JL Bourg
#1
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A28/01
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A01/02
BBL
Buducnost
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H03/02
Eurocup
Trier
#12
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H08/02
BBL
Trento
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A10/02
Eurocup
Vechta
#7
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A14/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#10
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H18/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H06/03
BBL
76.4Avg total
39.4Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.238.878.0+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.137.677.7+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)38.240.278.4-2.036%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.076.4+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.478.6+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.743.582.2-4.727%-
vs Similar (9)39.237.977.1+1.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)39.734.674.3+5.160%-
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H29/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H08/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A18/01
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H25/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/01
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A07/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
33-60
33
60
-27
H15/02
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A06/03
BBL
Hamburg
#14
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A10/03
BBL
87.0Avg total
40.8Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.883.4-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.243.181.3-4.825%-
Last 30 away (18)42.242.684.7-0.439%-
Last 10 (10)40.846.287.0-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.249.090.2-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.343.783.9-3.437%-
vs Similar (6)41.544.385.8-2.817%-
vs Weaker (4)43.537.881.2+5.850%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.2
50.8%
53.8%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.27.9
28.0%
34.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.015.7
78.5%
73.5%15.7
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jena: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.0
50.6%
53.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.4
30.2%
34.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.212.6
69.2%
73.5%12.6
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWLLWLWLLW
Jena
WLLLLWWLWL
#6
League position
#16
+3.5
Net rating
-13.9
90.3
Offensive rating
89.3
86.8
Defensive rating
103.2
47.1%
Effective FG%
48.4%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
19.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
28.0%
3-point %
30.2%
69.8%
Assist %
51.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 89.3Defence86.8 · 103.2Shooting47.1% · 48.4%3-point %28.0% · 30.2%Ball care15.6% · 19.0%Off. rebounds- · 33.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Ulm   ■ Jena
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ulm wins
2
Jena wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Jena v Ulm70-92
12/02/19Ulm v Jena90-97
17/11/18Jena v Ulm80-85
27/01/18Ulm v Jena87-72
13/10/17Jena v Ulm92-87
08/01/17Ulm v Jena114-83
12/11/16Jena v Ulm74-84
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HLudwigsburg93-76
18/02/26HOldenburg101-72
14/02/26AVechta73-85
10/02/26ATrento68-76
08/02/26HTrier97-67
03/02/26HBuducnost90-103
01/02/26ABayern79-62
28/01/26AJL Bourg66-97
24/01/26HHeidelberg77-79
21/01/26ALondon Lions73-72
Jenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/26AHamburg84-82
06/03/26AVechta64-101
15/02/26HBayern61-106
07/02/26ABonn64-92
31/01/26HLudwigsburg75-84
25/01/26HVechta95-78
18/01/26ABasketball Braunschweig83-78
08/01/26HRostock82-89 OT
03/01/26ASyntainics MBC95-86
29/12/25HBonn80-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW59%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWLLWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%73%45%
Points / game82.782.582.9
Allowed / game76.773.380.2
Point differential+6.0+9.3+2.7
Avg total159.5155.8163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%45%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Jena
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeLLWLL22%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %38%22%50%
Points / game80.778.682.3
Allowed / game89.590.289.0
Point differential-8.8-11.7-6.7
Avg total170.2168.8171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)-83% (6)
Overtime %10%11%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2220291%87.571.5+16.0
2 Alba Berlin2317674%85.977.7+8.3
3 Bonn2415962%82.579.2+3.3
4 Bamberg2314961%88.783.3+5.3
5 Wurzburg2314961%81.579.7+1.8
6 Ulm2213959%82.776.7+6.0
7 Rostock2112957%84.783.2+1.4
8 Ludwigsburg22121055%83.282.9+0.3
9 Trier22121055%90.691.9-1.3
10 Oldenburg22101245%84.484.0+0.3
11 Chemnitz22101245%85.587.5-2.0
12 Frankfurt23101343%84.085.7-1.7
13 Vechta2391439%86.087.5-1.5
14 Hamburg2181338%83.888.4-4.6
15 Jena2181338%80.789.5-8.8
16 Syntainics MBC2371630%82.488.1-5.7
17 Heidelberg2461825%77.485.4-8.0
18 Basketball Braunschweig2351822%79.288.4-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2930201493
Jena2428182090
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