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Jena vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 61-106
21-28 12-32 14-32 14-14
Position#16
Record7-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record17-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game71.4
GermanyBBLRound 20· Sparkassen-Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Jena v Bayern
20 Dec 2026
JEN v BAY
upcoming
15 Feb 2026
JEN61
BAY106
09 Dec 2018
JEN66
BAY82
03 Dec 2017
JEN78
BAY85
21 Dec 2016
JEN54
BAY98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jena winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JenaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJena
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#15
L
70-79
70
79
-9
61avg 69
A14/12
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
81-102
81
102
-21
70avg 69
H20/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
82-91
82
91
-9
63avg 69
A27/12
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
72avg 69
H29/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
95-86
95
86
+9
80avg 69
A03/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
82-89 OT
82
89
-7
72avg 69
H08/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
A18/01
BBL
Vechta
#7
W
95-78
95
78
+17
89avg 69
H25/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
75-84
75
84
-9
62avg 69
H31/01
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
64-92
64
92
-28
59avg 69
A07/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
20-12
20-22
16-20
18-22
14-16
19-34
30-30
19-29
10-16
23-21
30-25
16-15
13-29
26-26
25-22
19-19
25-30
24-26
27-11
16-10
24-25
12-21
18-14
25-22
19-17
24-19
15-20
22-21
23-29
22-12
28-16
24-27
20-13
19-20
12-24
21-37
15-11
17-25
11-19
167.8Avg total
80.7Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.688.4170.9-5.839%
Season at home (8)80.888.2169.0-7.525%
Season away (10)84.088.5172.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)80.787.1167.8-6.430%
Last 5 (5)79.884.2164.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)81.889.2171.0-7.431%
vs Similar (6)82.084.8166.8-2.850%
vs Weaker (7)93.978.4172.3+15.486%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#11
W
87-59
87
59
+28
no box
A18/01
BBL
Partizan
#15
L
63-67
63
67
-4
51avg 79
H20/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
93-89
93
89
+4
94avg 79
H22/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 79
H25/01
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
79-64
79
64
+15
74avg 79
A29/01
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
62-79
62
79
-17
49avg 79
H01/02
BBL
Paris
#16
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 79
H03/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
86avg 79
H05/02
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#18
W
106-63
106
63
+43
106avg 79
A08/02
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
106-111 OT
106
111
-5
99avg 79
A12/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
24-17
23-18
22-14
7-18
25-16
18-16
13-17
22-24
31-20
26-26
14-19
20-14
17-22
28-15
33-28
23-26
20-13
18-11
18-14
14-18
23-23
18-19
7-19
21-18
13-13
18-18
29-26
24-23
24-16
20-24
23-19
31-17
23-16
27-18
25-12
20-26
25-25
33-23
21-25
163.4Avg total
86.6Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.171.4157.5+14.789%
Season at home (9)86.876.0162.8+10.889%
Season away (10)85.567.2152.7+18.390%
Last 10 (10)86.676.8163.4+9.870%
Last 5 (5)89.282.0171.2+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.185.4165.5-5.250%
vs Similar (8)85.986.1172.0-0.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.369.5154.8+15.886%
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.2+1.2
JenaBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#15
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A14/12
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H20/12
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A27/12
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H29/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/01
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H08/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A18/01
BBL
Vechta
#7
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H25/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H31/01
BBL
Bonn
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A07/02
BBL
80.2Avg total
37.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.182.3+0.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.640.881.4-0.238%-
Last 30 away (17)41.641.483.0+0.241%-
Last 10 (10)37.742.580.2-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.484.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.942.182.0-2.138%-
vs Similar (6)41.544.385.8-2.817%-
vs Weaker (7)45.337.082.3+8.371%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A18/01
BBL
Partizan
#15
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/01
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H22/01
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#5
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H25/01
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/01
Euroleague
Ulm
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H01/02
BBL
Paris
#16
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/02
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H05/02
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#18
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A08/02
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A12/02
Euroleague
80.0Avg total
42.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.638.179.7+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.838.177.8+1.754%-
Last 30 away (17)43.038.181.1+4.965%-
Last 10 (10)42.537.580.0+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.082.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.443.285.6-0.938%-
vs Similar (8)41.140.481.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)41.433.975.3+7.679%-
This opponent (Jena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jena: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.4
48.9%
53.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.7
29.8%
34.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.011.9
70.0%
73.5%11.9
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.0
56.8%
53.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.5
34.1%
34.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.413.8
79.3%
73.5%13.8
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jena
LLWWLWLLLL
Bayern
LWWWLWWWLW
#16
League position
#1
-10.8
Net rating
+8.5
93.8
Offensive rating
96.8
104.6
Defensive rating
88.3
47.2%
Effective FG%
54.3%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
18.8%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.8%
3-point %
34.1%
51.5%
Assist %
66.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 96.8Defence104.6 · 88.3Shooting47.2% · 54.3%3-point %29.8% · 34.1%Ball care18.8% · 15.8%Off. rebounds36.7% · -Free throws0.24 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Jena   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jena wins
7
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
26/09/25Bayern v Jena93-77
02/02/19Bayern v Jena103-71
09/12/18Jena v Bayern66-82
22/04/18Bayern v Jena101-78
03/12/17Jena v Bayern78-85
02/04/17Bayern v Jena98-68
21/12/16Jena v Bayern54-98
Jenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ABonn64-92
31/01/26HLudwigsburg75-84
25/01/26HVechta95-78
18/01/26ABasketball Braunschweig83-78
08/01/26HRostock82-89 OT
03/01/26ASyntainics MBC95-86
29/12/25HBonn80-92
27/12/25ALudwigsburg82-91
20/12/25HBamberg81-102
14/12/25AFrankfurt70-79
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv106-111 OT
08/02/26AHeidelberg106-63
05/02/26HMonaco91-82
03/02/26HParis81-75
01/02/26HUlm62-79
29/01/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv79-64
25/01/26HWurzburg98-79
22/01/26HValencia93-89
20/01/26HPartizan63-67
18/01/26AChemnitz87-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jena
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL39%
HomeLLLWL25%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %39%25%50%
Points / game82.680.884.0
Allowed / game88.488.288.5
Point differential-5.8-7.5-4.5
Avg total170.9169.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)-80% (5)
Overtime %11%12%10%
Bayern
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %89%89%90%
Points / game86.186.885.5
Allowed / game71.476.067.2
Point differential+14.7+10.8+18.3
Avg total157.5162.8152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%78%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1917289%86.171.4+14.7
2 Alba Berlin2015575%86.578.5+8.0
3 Trier1912763%90.690.9-0.3
4 Bonn2113862%80.878.5+2.3
5 Wurzburg2012860%82.080.5+1.4
6 Rostock1911858%82.881.9+0.9
7 Bamberg2011955%89.084.5+4.5
8 Ulm2011955%81.377.0+4.3
9 Ludwigsburg1910953%83.983.3+0.6
10 Oldenburg1991047%85.182.3+2.8
11 Frankfurt2091145%85.085.9-0.9
12 Chemnitz1981142%84.686.7-2.2
13 Jena1871139%82.688.4-5.8
14 Hamburg1761135%84.289.8-5.6
15 Vechta2071335%85.288.9-3.8
16 Syntainics MBC2071335%82.987.8-4.9
17 Heidelberg2051525%77.785.5-7.8
18 Basketball Braunschweig2051525%79.088.0-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jena2112141461
Bayern28323214106
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