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Ulm vs MoraBanc Andorra Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 88-80
22-19 21-24 23-18 22-19
Position#10
Record3-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game85.1
Ulm 🏆
vs
Position#7
Record5-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game84.5
EuropeEurocupRound 9
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
MoraBanc Andorra winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Giessen
#13
L
91-92
91
92
-1
no box
H27/10
BBL
Brescia
#19
W
83-82
83
82
+1
110avg 103
H30/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#12
W
88-79
88
79
+9
no box
A04/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
95-80
95
80
+15
no box
H07/11
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#10
L
82-91
82
91
-9
no box
H10/11
BBL
Galatasaray
#20
L
69-77
69
77
-8
91avg 103
A14/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A17/11
BBL
Monaco
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
109avg 103
A20/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
96-85
96
85
+11
no box
H24/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
86-74
86
74
+12
no box
H08/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
23-22
20-19
27-28
24-29
16-16
27-18
16-19
16-23
19-25
25-17
28-14
21-17
29-16
23-24
22-23
21-24
14-19
17-31
30-17
11-15
16-19
22-23
20-20
19-19
23-23
24-21
19-17
27-16
19-24
19-18
16-26
22-25
31-17
21-18
22-25
22-14
15-21
21-20
28-19
168.0Avg total
85.6Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.085.1168.1-2.138%
Season at home (4)86.582.2168.8+4.275%
Season away (4)79.588.0167.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)85.682.4168.0+3.260%
Last 5 (5)83.480.0163.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)83.090.6173.6-7.622%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.086.0168.0-4.030%
vs Weaker (10)84.382.1166.4+2.260%
This opponent (MoraBanc Andorra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MoraBanc AndorraLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAndorra
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#7
L
81-96
81
96
-15
105avg 112
H27/10
ACB
Monaco
#8
L
73-81
73
81
-8
97avg 112
A31/10
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
107-105
107
105
+2
134avg 112
A04/11
ACB
Galatasaray
#20
W
95-87 OT
95
87
+8
no box
H07/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#3
W
93-73
93
73
+20
128avg 112
H11/11
ACB
Brescia
#19
W
79-73
79
73
+6
108avg 112
A14/11
Eurocup
Unicaja
#5
L
84-95
84
95
-11
114avg 112
H17/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
91-80
91
80
+11
117avg 112
H20/11
Eurocup
Fuenlabrada
#13
W
85-79
85
79
+6
110avg 112
A24/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
72-91
72
91
-19
89avg 112
A08/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-23
24-15
20-26
26-32
19-18
25-26
12-17
17-20
33-26
26-32
33-26
15-21
26-19
20-18
13-21
18-19
23-21
23-15
23-20
24-17
16-19
24-19
22-9
17-26
20-22
27-26
21-27
16-20
25-20
21-27
25-15
20-18
20-17
16-23
25-23
24-16
22-18
17-19
18-29
15-25
172.0Avg total
86.0Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.984.5172.4+3.462%
Season at home (4)99.888.2188.0+11.5100%
Season away (4)76.080.8156.8-4.825%
Last 10 (10)86.086.0172.0+0.060%
Last 5 (5)82.283.6165.8-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.784.4167.1-1.743%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.084.4166.4-2.438%
vs Weaker (10)87.583.1170.6+4.470%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.2-2.2
UlmMoraBanc Andorra
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H27/10
BBL
Brescia
#19
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H30/10
Eurocup
Bayreuth
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A04/11
BBL
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H07/11
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H10/11
BBL
Galatasaray
#20
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A14/11
Eurocup
Jena
#18
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A17/11
BBL
Monaco
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A20/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H24/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H08/12
BBL
81.6Avg total
40.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.081.8-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.042.182.1-2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)39.642.081.6-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.781.6+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.679.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.043.382.3-4.311%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.143.984.0-3.830%-
vs Weaker (10)40.039.879.8+0.250%-
This opponent (MoraBanc Andorra) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MoraBanc AndorraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H27/10
ACB
Monaco
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A31/10
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A04/11
ACB
Galatasaray
#20
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H07/11
Eurocup
Baskonia
#3
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H11/11
ACB
Brescia
#19
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A14/11
Eurocup
Unicaja
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H17/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H20/11
Eurocup
Fuenlabrada
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A24/11
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A08/12
ACB
86.1Avg total
43.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.281.8+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.438.683.1+5.864%-
Last 30 away (16)39.241.580.8-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)43.842.386.1+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.083.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.943.084.9-1.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.240.181.2+1.138%-
vs Weaker (10)42.238.380.5+3.970%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.118.7
44.4%
51.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.6
33.1%
36.6%22.7
🏀 Free throws25.019.4
77.7%
74.9%19.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
MoraBanc Andorratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

MoraBanc Andorra: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.7
53.2%
51.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.0
36.5%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.614.6
74.5%
74.9%14.6
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWLWLLWWWL
MoraBanc Andorra
LWWLWWWWLL
#10
League position
#7
-4.9
Net rating
+0.3
104.1
Offensive rating
114.7
109.0
Defensive rating
114.4
46.3%
Effective FG%
53.8%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.1%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.1%
3-point %
36.5%
54.3%
Assist %
55.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 114.7Defence109.0 · 114.4Shooting46.3% · 53.8%3-point %33.1% · 36.5%Ball care16.5% · 15.1%Off. rebounds30.6% · 32.5%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Ulm   ■ MoraBanc Andorra
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ulm wins
1
MoraBanc Andorra wins
DateGameScore
24/10/18MoraBanc Andorra v Ulm103-95
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/18HGottingen86-74
24/11/18HBonn96-85
20/11/18AMonaco81-84
17/11/18AJena85-80
14/11/18AGalatasaray69-77
10/11/18HLudwigsburg82-91
07/11/18HCrvena zvezda95-80
04/11/18ABayreuth88-79
30/10/18HBrescia83-82
27/10/18HGiessen91-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/18AValencia72-91
24/11/18AFuenlabrada85-79
20/11/18HCrvena zvezda91-80
17/11/18HUnicaja84-95
14/11/18ABrescia79-73
11/11/18HBaskonia93-73
07/11/18HGalatasaray95-87 OT
04/11/18AReal Madrid107-105
31/10/18AMonaco73-81
27/10/18HTenerife81-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL38%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game83.086.579.5
Allowed / game85.182.288.0
Point differential-2.1+4.2-8.5
Avg total168.1168.8167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
MoraBanc Andorra
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%100%25%
Points / game87.999.876.0
Allowed / game84.588.280.8
Point differential+3.4+11.5-4.8
Avg total172.4188.0156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja87188%92.080.4+11.6
2 Unics Kazan87188%87.176.6+10.5
3 Lokomotiv Kuban87188%86.276.0+10.2
4 Valencia86275%81.873.4+8.4
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne86275%79.072.5+6.5
6 Alba Berlin86275%92.486.0+6.4
7 Monaco86275%80.074.9+5.1
8 Cedevita85362%85.681.9+3.8
9 MoraBanc Andorra85362%87.984.5+3.4
10 Frankfurt85362%78.577.1+1.4
11 Zenit Petersburg84450%85.983.1+2.8
12 Crvena zvezda84450%77.877.2+0.5
13 Brescia83538%79.180.2-1.1
14 Rytas83538%76.577.9-1.4
15 Ulm83538%83.085.1-2.1
16 Turk Telekom83538%76.281.9-5.6
17 Galatasaray83538%78.984.6-5.8
18 Trento83538%74.882.6-7.9
19 Tofas93633%90.393.9-3.6
20 Limoges93633%79.484.3-4.9
21 Partizan82625%73.978.0-4.1
22 Mornar Bar82625%77.893.4-15.6
23 Gdynia81712%75.586.4-10.9
24 Torino8080%82.088.5-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2221232288
MoraBanc Andorra1924181980
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