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Ulm vs Oldenburg Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 25 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Postponed
Position#6
Record10-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
3.5/10
Below normal
Position#4
Record13-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game83.2
GermanyBBLRound 32
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Ulm v Oldenburg
31 Oct 2026
ULM81
OLD65
18 Feb 2026
ULM101
OLD72
21 Apr 2025
ULM119
OLD92
09 May 2024
ULM91
OLD74
25 Apr 2023
ULM97
OLD84
07 Feb 2022
ULM86
OLD78
26 May 2021
ULM96
OLD88
24 May 2021
ULM70
OLD66
26 Dec 2020
ULM86
OLD89
25 Apr 2020
ULM v OLD
upcoming
27 Apr 2019
ULM69
OLD82
29 Apr 2018
ULM70
OLD87
01 Jun 2017
ULM75
OLD78
27 May 2017
ULM61
OLD68
21 May 2017
ULM86
OLD79
01 Oct 2016
ULM105
OLD95
17 May 2016
ULM80
OLD79
11 May 2016
ULM85
OLD80
23 Dec 2015
ULM80
OLD63
03 Oct 2014
ULM76
OLD83
11 Jan 2014
ULM77
OLD88
01 Jun 2013
ULM81
OLD79
25 May 2013
ULM60
OLD72
17 Nov 2012
ULM96
OLD66
08 Feb 2012
ULM86
OLD66
10 Dec 2011
ULM101
OLD83
17 Apr 2011
ULM86
OLD91
26 Dec 2009
ULM100
OLD82
21 Feb 2009
ULM75
OLD83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oldenburg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#4
W
104-91
104
91
+13
A08/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H21/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
A29/12
BBL
Bonn
#15
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H05/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
103-93
103
93
+10
H17/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
86-65
86
65
+21
A25/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
L
106-112 OT
106
112
-6
H11/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#10
L
98-103
98
103
-5
H14/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
85-69
85
69
+16
A29/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
76-94
76
94
-18
H08/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
32-26
19-22
32-19
22-17
29-16
23-28
22-19
18-12
18-34
34-16
9-29
19-15
29-20
15-24
22-14
25-20
23-23
27-27
28-23
26-21
32-14
15-16
13-14
25-34
29-19
20-22
22-21
27-25
17-32
31-24
23-22
19-18
17-20
23-11
26-20
23-21
18-32
21-15
14-26
178.9Avg total
91.8Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)87.485.5172.9+2.050%
Season at home (10)89.584.6174.1+4.950%
Season away (10)85.386.3171.6-1.050%
Last 10 (10)91.887.1178.9+4.760%
Last 5 (5)90.288.6178.8+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.598.0178.5-17.50%
vs Similar (7)87.989.6177.4-1.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.679.1167.8+9.571%
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
L
91-104
91
104
-13
H08/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
113-86
113
86
+27
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#10
W
93-71
93
71
+22
A30/12
BBL
Hamburg
#17
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H05/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A18/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A26/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H02/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
H11/02
BBL
Bayern
#2
L
58-79
58
79
-21
A01/03
BBL
Vechta
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H08/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
26-32
22-19
19-32
21-25
24-13
37-26
31-22
20-15
20-19
23-16
30-21
23-20
26-20
19-15
23-24
11-23
19-21
29-20
28-10
19-23
19-24
18-15
19-24
25-15
26-30
26-16
16-27
15-17
17-28
25-9
14-17
18-12
23-17
1-25
16-25
24-19
20-9
16-21
23-27
169.3Avg total
86.9Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.383.2167.5+1.265%
Season at home (10)85.882.9168.7+2.980%
Season away (10)82.983.4166.3-0.550%
Last 10 (10)86.982.4169.3+4.570%
Last 5 (5)78.882.0160.8-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)80.888.2169.0-7.333%
vs Similar (7)83.377.7161.0+5.686%
vs Weaker (17)94.488.3182.7+6.176%
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
UlmOldenburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A08/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H21/12
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A29/12
BBL
Bonn
#15
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H05/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H17/01
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
58-35
58
35
+23
A25/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H11/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#10
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H14/02
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A29/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H08/03
BBL
91.2Avg total
46.9Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.243.088.2+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.641.086.6+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)44.944.789.6+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)46.944.391.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.647.293.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.246.590.7-2.350%-
vs Similar (7)44.048.392.3-4.329%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.139.585.6+6.676%-
This opponent (Oldenburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OldenburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H08/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A26/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A30/12
BBL
Hamburg
#17
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H05/01
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A18/01
BBL
Bayreuth
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A26/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H02/02
BBL
Frankfurt
#14
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H11/02
BBL
Bayern
#2
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A01/03
BBL
Vechta
#9
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H08/03
BBL
82.3Avg total
42.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.988.4+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.843.692.3+5.269%-
Last 30 away (14)39.644.383.9-4.736%-
Last 10 (10)42.040.382.3+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.880.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)47.040.787.7+6.383%-
vs Similar (7)40.638.779.3+1.957%-
vs Weaker (17)45.247.292.4-2.041%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.1
48.1%
54.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.17.6
36.0%
34.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.819.8
79.8%
73.6%19.8
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oldenburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oldenburg: 63.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀32%
🏀🏀🏀57%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers20.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.010.0
31.2%
54.1%20.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.012.0
44.4%
34.0%36.0
🏀 Free throws11.07.0
63.6%
73.6%7.0
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LWLLWWWLWW
Oldenburg
WLWWLWWWWL
#6
League position
#4
+4.1
Net rating
-37.0
108.0
Offensive rating
93.1
103.9
Defensive rating
130.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
47.5%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.1%
Turnover %
22.1%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.19
36.0%
3-point %
44.4%
62.9%
Assist %
77.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 93.1Defence103.9 · 130.1Shooting50.2% · 47.5%3-point %36.0% · 44.4%Ball care16.1% · 22.1%Off. rebounds25.2% · 28.9%Free throws0.41 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Ulm   ■ Oldenburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ulm wins
7
Oldenburg wins
DateGameScore
08/12/19Oldenburg v Ulm91-104
27/04/19Ulm v Oldenburg69-82
13/10/18Oldenburg v Ulm103-99 OT
29/04/18Ulm v Oldenburg70-87
22/10/17Oldenburg v Ulm94-83
01/06/17Ulm v Oldenburg75-78
30/05/17Oldenburg v Ulm61-74
27/05/17Ulm v Oldenburg61-68
23/05/17Oldenburg v Ulm107-103 OT
21/05/17Ulm v Oldenburg86-79
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20HLudwigsburg76-94
29/02/20ABayreuth85-69
14/02/20HBasketball Braunschweig98-103
11/02/20HAlba Berlin106-112 OT
25/01/20AGottingen86-65
17/01/20HBayreuth103-93
05/01/20HBonn85-73
29/12/19ACrailsheim Merlins79-91
21/12/19HSyntainics MBC96-80
08/12/19AOldenburg104-91
Oldenburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20HVechta83-76
01/03/20ABayern58-79
11/02/20HFrankfurt85-81 OT
02/02/20HAlba Berlin93-88
26/01/20ABayreuth75-86
18/01/20AFrankfurt87-74
05/01/20HHamburg91-79
30/12/19ABasketball Braunschweig93-71
26/12/19ASyntainics MBC113-86
08/12/19HUlm91-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.489.585.3
Allowed / game85.584.686.3
Point differential+1.9+4.9-1.0
Avg total172.8174.1171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Oldenburg
BBL 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW65%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%80%50%
Points / game84.385.882.9
Allowed / game83.282.983.4
Point differential+1.2+2.9-0.5
Avg total167.5168.7166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%10%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2119290%85.174.0+11.1
2 Ludwigsburg2117481%86.578.8+7.7
3 Alba Berlin1914574%93.481.6+11.7
4 Crailsheim Merlins2115671%90.084.4+5.6
5 Oldenburg2013765%84.383.2+1.2
6 Bamberg2112957%82.678.5+4.1
7 Vechta2112957%80.781.8-1.1
8 s.Oliver Wurzburg21111052%83.685.0-1.4
9 Gottingen21111052%82.285.1-2.9
10 Ulm20101050%87.485.5+1.9
11 Basketball Braunschweig2091145%89.591.5-2.0
12 Bayreuth2191243%86.286.2+0.0
13 Giessen2061430%84.789.2-4.5
14 Frankfurt2161529%75.280.6-5.4
15 Bonn2041620%84.391.2-6.8
16 Syntainics MBC2031715%89.597.5-7.9
17 Hamburg2031715%81.292.8-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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