Crailsheim Merlins vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2019

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 91-79

12-18 34-18 16-34 29-9

Position#5

Record7-5

FormWLLLW

Points / game91.2

Allowed / game85.6

Crailsheim Merlins 🏆

Ulm

Position#6

Record6-6

FormWLWWW

Points / game85.8

Allowed / game84.1

BBLRound 14

Domestic2019-20

Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Ulm

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ulm winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bonn

#15

114-82

114

+32

A12/10

BBL

Gottingen

#11

83-57

+26

H19/10

BBL

Syntainics MBC

#16

95-87

A26/10

BBL

Oldenburg

93-98 OT

-5

H02/11

BBL

Ludwigsburg

83-92

-9

H09/11

BBL

Vechta

101-88

101

+13

H23/11

BBL

Bayern

63-82

-19

A01/12

BBL

Frankfurt

#14

68-76

-8

H07/12

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

88-92 OT

-4

A20/12

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#10

115-105 OT

115

105

+10

A27/12

BBL

34-19

33-21

26-17

21-25

18-14

16-12

24-10

25-21

32-23

27-28

20-19

16-17

23-18

24-17

15-24

20-23

18-22

22-24

21-29

22-17

27-14

21-25

26-26

27-23

13-20

22-25

18-12

10-25

14-18

20-19

21-22

13-17

34-19

21-23

15-26

14-16

22-26

27-22

19-16

24-28

176.2Avg total

90.3Scored

85.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	91.2	85.6	176.8	+5.6	58%
Season at home (6)	85.2	81.2	166.3	+4.0	50%
Season away (6)	97.2	90.0	187.2	+7.2	67%
Last 10 (10)	90.3	85.9	176.2	+4.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	88.6	175.6	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	82.7	91.7	174.4	-9.1	13%
vs Similar (9)	92.3	91.4	183.8	+0.9	67%
vs Weaker (6)	93.2	80.3	173.5	+12.8	83%

This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ulm

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ludwigsburg

75-106

106

-31

A20/10

BBL

Frankfurt

#14

72-78

-6

H27/10

BBL

Alba Berlin

89-109

109

-20

A03/11

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

73-82

-9

H09/11

BBL

Bamberg

81-78

A17/11

BBL

Hamburg

#17

102-69

102

+33

H24/11

BBL

Bayern

69-83

-14

A26/11

BBL

Giessen

#13

97-77

+20

A01/12

BBL

Oldenburg

104-91

104

+13

A08/12

BBL

Syntainics MBC

#16

96-80

+16

H21/12

BBL

22-30

26-26

15-26

12-24

20-14

18-19

15-22

19-23

28-29

27-21

20-24

14-35

17-21

21-18

20-23

15-20

18-20

18-26

21-21

24-11

22-16

32-16

32-17

16-20

17-20

18-27

15-25

19-11

22-18

30-20

19-21

26-18

21-24

32-26

19-22

32-19

22-17

29-16

23-28

22-19

171.1Avg total

85.8Scored

85.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	85.8	84.1	169.9	+1.8	50%
Season at home (5)	85.4	74.2	159.6	+11.2	60%
Season away (7)	86.1	91.1	177.3	-5.0	43%
Last 10 (10)	85.8	85.3	171.1	+0.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	93.6	80.0	173.6	+13.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	76.3	94.7	171.0	-18.3	0%
vs Similar (10)	90.1	87.5	177.6	+2.6	70%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	89.3	81.0	170.3	+8.3	64%

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Crailsheim MerlinsUlm

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	22.7	45.3	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	21.4	42.5	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	24.0	48.1	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	19.3	42.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	19.4	41.4	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.5	23.8	44.3	-3.3	40%	-
vs Similar (9)	24.2	22.8	47.0	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	25.3	19.8	45.2	+5.5	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.3	42.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.5	18.8	39.3	+1.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	22.4	22.9	45.3	-0.6	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.9	41.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.0	39.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.2	22.0	43.2	-0.8	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.5	23.6	45.1	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.9	19.4	41.3	+2.6	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	22.6	44.5	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	21.4	41.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	23.9	47.9	+0.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	21.6	44.9	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.8	45.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.3	23.7	45.0	-2.3	20%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.2	22.8	47.0	+1.3	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	22.2	45.7	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	24.0	20.4	44.4	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	23.1	23.4	46.5	-0.4	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	21.5	46.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.2	21.0	49.2	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.8	23.8	46.7	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.9	22.7	45.6	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	24.1	21.2	45.3	+2.9	57%	-

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bonn

#15

67-40

+27

A12/10

BBL

Gottingen

#11

34-26

H19/10

BBL

Syntainics MBC

#16

59-51

A26/10

BBL

Oldenburg

47-35

+12

H02/11

BBL

Ludwigsburg

40-46

-6

H09/11

BBL

Vechta

48-39

H23/11

BBL

Bayern

35-45

-10

A01/12

BBL

Frankfurt

#14

34-37

-3

H07/12

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

55-42

+13

A20/12

BBL

Basketball Braunschweig

#10

49-48

A27/12

BBL

87.7Avg total

46.8Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	45.3	89.8	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.7	42.8	83.5	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	48.1	47.9	96.0	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.8	40.9	87.7	+5.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	42.2	86.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	41.8	47.5	89.3	-5.7	7%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.4	43.6	89.0	+1.9	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	49.5	42.7	92.2	+6.8	67%	-

This opponent (Ulm) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ludwigsburg

48-56

-8

A20/10

BBL

Frankfurt

#14

38-33

H27/10

BBL

Alba Berlin

55-50

A03/11

BBL

s.Oliver Wurzburg

38-39

-1

H09/11

BBL

Bamberg

36-46

-10

A17/11

BBL

Hamburg

#17

54-32

+22

H24/11

BBL

Bayern

35-47

-12

A26/11

BBL

Giessen

#13

52-38

+14

A01/12

BBL

Oldenburg

53-50

A08/12

BBL

Syntainics MBC

#16

51-33

+18

H21/12

BBL

88.4Avg total

46.0Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	43.5	88.6	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	44.5	39.2	83.8	+5.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	45.4	46.4	91.8	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	42.4	88.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.0	40.0	89.0	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	44.0	45.8	89.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.4	46.3	90.7	-1.9	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	46.0	40.6	86.6	+5.4	79%	-

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.5	41.1	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	20.5	40.3	-0.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	19.5	21.6	41.1	-2.1	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.3	16.7	41.0	+7.7	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.3	41.8	-0.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.9	20.8	41.8	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.4	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	22.9	42.8	-3.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.6	44.2	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	25.0	43.2	-6.8	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.2	20.7	41.9	+0.5	36%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.3	43.7	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	23.7	44.9	-2.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.8	39.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.4	22.7	44.1	-1.3	40%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.9	22.4	45.3	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	17%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.8	41.9	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.3	20.7	43.0	+1.7	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	17.4	40.4	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	14.2	23.8	38.0	-9.7	17%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.9	20.4	44.3	+3.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.1	19.7	41.8	+2.4	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	42.8	84.8	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	41.3	82.9	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.4	44.3	86.7	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	41.3	81.0	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	42.2	79.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	40.9	44.3	85.1	-3.4	27%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.7	43.8	86.4	-1.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	43.7	37.7	81.3	+6.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	42.1	83.6	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	43.2	41.5	84.8	+1.8	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	40.4	42.4	82.9	-2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	42.9	82.7	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	40.0	84.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	32.3	48.8	81.2	-16.5	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.7	40.3	85.0	+4.4	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	43.3	40.4	83.7	+2.9	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 80.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀25%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	19.1	48.1%	54.1%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.1	7.6	36.0%	33.9%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	24.8	19.8	79.8%	73.5%	19.8

They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	15.7	45.5%	54.1%	31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	9.6	36.5%	33.9%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	22.3	17.5	78.5%	73.5%	17.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	19.3	47.9%	54.1%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.7	7.8	35.9%	33.9%	23.4
🏀 Free throws	24.0	19.2	80.0%	73.5%	19.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	17.5	48.9%	54.1%	35.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.6	37.0%	33.9%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	21.5	16.1	74.6%	73.5%	16.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Crailsheim Merlins wins

Ulm wins

Date	Game	Score
18/04/19	Crailsheim Merlins v Ulm	79-82
16/03/19	Ulm v Crailsheim Merlins	99-87
28/03/16	Ulm v Crailsheim Merlins	83-79
18/10/15	Crailsheim Merlins v Ulm	99-90
31/01/15	Ulm v Crailsheim Merlins	86-71
06/12/14	Crailsheim Merlins v Ulm	80-88

Crailsheim Merlinslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/12/19	A	Basketball Braunschweig	115-105 OT
20/12/19	A	s.Oliver Wurzburg	88-92 OT
07/12/19	H	Frankfurt	68-76
01/12/19	A	Bayern	63-82
23/11/19	H	Vechta	101-88
09/11/19	H	Ludwigsburg	83-92
02/11/19	H	Oldenburg	93-98 OT
26/10/19	A	Syntainics MBC	95-87
19/10/19	H	Gottingen	83-57
12/10/19	A	Bonn	114-82

Ulmlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/12/19	H	Syntainics MBC	96-80
08/12/19	A	Oldenburg	104-91
01/12/19	A	Giessen	97-77
26/11/19	A	Bayern	69-83
24/11/19	H	Hamburg	102-69
17/11/19	A	Bamberg	81-78
09/11/19	H	s.Oliver Wurzburg	73-82
03/11/19	A	Alba Berlin	89-109
27/10/19	H	Frankfurt	72-78
20/10/19	A	Ludwigsburg	75-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins

BBL 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	58%
Home	WLLWL	50%
Away	WWLLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	58%	50%	67%
Points / game	91.2	85.2	97.2
Allowed / game	85.6	81.2	90.0
Point differential	+5.6	+4.0	+7.2
Avg total	176.8	166.3	187.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	33%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	25%	17%	33%

Ulm

BBL 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	50%
Home	WLLWW	60%
Away	LWLWW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	50%	60%	43%
Points / game	85.8	85.4	86.1
Allowed / game	84.1	74.2	91.1
Point differential	+1.8	+11.2	-5.0
Avg total	169.9	159.6	177.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	60%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bayern	12	12	0	100%	87.2	73.9	+13.3
2	Alba Berlin	11	9	2	82%	91.3	78.0	+13.3
3	Ludwigsburg	13	10	3	77%	86.6	80.2	+6.5
4	Bamberg	12	8	4	67%	84.6	76.3	+8.2
5	Crailsheim Merlins	12	7	5	58%	91.2	85.6	+5.6
6	Oldenburg	12	7	5	58%	85.2	85.8	-0.6
7	Vechta	12	7	5	58%	82.9	85.5	-2.6
8	s.Oliver Wurzburg	13	7	6	54%	83.6	83.8	-0.2
9	Ulm	12	6	6	50%	85.8	84.1	+1.8
10	Basketball Braunschweig	11	5	6	45%	90.5	90.8	-0.3
11	Giessen	11	4	7	36%	83.8	86.5	-2.6
12	Frankfurt	11	4	7	36%	76.0	80.0	-4.0
13	Bayreuth	12	4	8	33%	82.4	84.8	-2.4
14	Gottingen	12	4	8	33%	79.2	84.7	-5.4
15	Hamburg	12	3	9	25%	79.0	94.2	-15.2
16	Bonn	11	2	9	18%	83.8	92.0	-8.2
17	Syntainics MBC	13	2	11	15%	88.7	96.0	-7.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Crailsheim Merlins	12	34	16	29	91
Ulm	18	18	34	9	79

← all games of the day

Crailsheim Merlins vs Ulm Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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