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UMass Lowell vs Central Connecticut State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 54-57
25-31 29-26
Position#55
Record7-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game67.5
vs
Position#88
Record3-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game69.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UMass Lowell v Central Connecticut State
16 Dec 2023
UMAS54
CENT57
17 Nov 2021
UMAS77
CENT53
01 Dec 2019
UMAS73
CENT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass Lowell winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Connecticut State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMass LowellUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rivier
#604
W
96-51
96
51
+45
H06/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#352
W
81-48
81
48
+33
A10/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A15/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A17/11
NCAA
St. Peters
#152
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A21/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A29/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A03/12
NCAA
Fisher
#667
W
117-69
117
69
+48
H05/12
NCAA
UMass
#87
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A09/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H12/12
NCAA
1H
2H
50-27
46-24
49-19
32-29
23-26
51-45
31-22
38-49
34-29
35-32
38-37
42-37
28-32
40-42
51-23
66-46
31-45
46-46
37-27
41-38
148.4Avg total
80.9Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.967.5148.4+13.470%
Season at home (3)97.061.7158.7+35.3100%
Season away (7)74.070.0144.0+4.057%
Last 10 (10)80.967.5148.4+13.470%
Last 5 (5)84.074.6158.6+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)77.091.0168.0-14.00%
vs Weaker (28)77.167.6144.7+9.571%
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Connecticut StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Francis (PA)
#275
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A02/03
NCAA
Rhode Island
#301
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A07/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A10/11
NCAA
Framingham State
#676
W
99-42
99
42
+57
H14/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#351
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H19/11
NCAA
UMass
#87
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A22/11
NCAA
Army
#324
W
79-51
79
51
+28
A29/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#328
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H02/12
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A05/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-39
39-44
31-47
39-34
29-39
41-35
50-20
49-22
35-26
28-41
27-39
33-50
39-18
40-33
36-28
42-39
23-49
45-33
28-32
28-37
141.7Avg total
71.2Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.469.1140.6+2.333%
Season at home (3)80.058.7138.7+21.367%
Season away (6)67.274.3141.5-7.217%
Last 10 (10)71.270.5141.7+0.730%
Last 5 (5)68.271.6139.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.170.0132.1-7.929%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.173.2142.4-4.129%
vs Weaker (8)70.563.6134.1+6.962%
This opponent (UMass Lowell) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.5+8.51st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +1.6+1.6
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.5+8.51st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +1.6+1.6
UMass LowellCentral Connecticut State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMass LowellLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rivier
#604
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#352
W
49-19
49
19
+30
A10/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A15/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#267
W
31-22
31
22
+9
A17/11
NCAA
St. Peters
#152
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A21/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A29/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#91
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A03/12
NCAA
Fisher
#667
W
51-23
51
23
+28
H05/12
NCAA
UMass
#87
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A09/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#350
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H12/12
NCAA
65.9Avg total
37.2Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.629.467.0+8.377%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.127.769.8+14.492%-
Last 30 away (17)34.230.664.9+3.665%-
Last 10 (10)37.228.765.9+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.869.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)31.045.076.0-14.00%-
vs Weaker (28)37.428.966.3+8.579%-
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Connecticut StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Francis (PA)
#275
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A02/03
NCAA
Rhode Island
#301
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A07/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A10/11
NCAA
Framingham State
#676
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H14/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#351
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H19/11
NCAA
UMass
#87
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A22/11
NCAA
Army
#324
W
39-18
39
18
+21
A29/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#328
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H02/12
NCAA
Boston College
#169
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A05/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A09/12
NCAA
66.5Avg total
32.8Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.432.563.9-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.830.866.5+5.067%-
Last 30 away (18)28.433.762.1-5.228%-
Last 10 (10)32.833.766.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)30.633.263.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.133.361.4-5.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.334.965.1-4.643%-
vs Weaker (8)33.829.263.0+4.562%-
This opponent (UMass Lowell) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UMass Lowell wins
0
Central Connecticut State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/23HLIU Sharks78-65
09/12/23AUMass77-91
05/12/23HFisher117-69
03/12/23AMerrimack Warriors68-74
29/11/23AStonehill80-74
21/11/23ASt. Peters69-61
17/11/23AArizona State69-71
15/11/23AGeorgia Tech74-71
10/11/23ADartmouth81-48
06/11/23HRivier96-51
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23AMaine Black Bears56-69
05/12/23ABoston College68-82
02/12/23HHoly Cross78-67
29/11/23AArmy79-51
22/11/23AUMass60-89
19/11/23HManhattan63-67
14/11/23HFramingham State99-42
10/11/23AQuinnipiac70-74
07/11/23ARhode Island70-81
02/03/23ASt. Francis (PA)69-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass Lowell
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW70%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %70%100%57%
Points / game80.997.074.0
Allowed / game67.561.770.0
Point differential+13.4+35.3+4.0
Avg total148.4158.7144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Central Connecticut State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %33%67%17%
Points / game71.480.067.2
Allowed / game69.158.774.3
Point differential+2.3+21.3-7.2
Avg total140.6138.7141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell107370%80.967.5+13.4
2 Vermont128467%72.764.5+8.2
3 New Hampshire85362%80.972.9+8.0
4 Binghamton106460%73.971.1+2.8
5 Maine Black Bears127558%69.264.3+4.9
6 Albany74357%76.675.7+0.9
7 Bryant University137654%77.874.5+3.2
8 UMBC Retrievers135838%78.482.3-3.9
9 NJIT102820%66.980.5-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fairleigh Dickinson126650%82.680.1+2.5
2 Wagner94544%60.965.0-4.1
3 Le Moyne114736%74.173.5+0.5
4 Chicago State145936%65.671.1-5.6
5 Central Connecticut State93633%71.469.1+2.3
6 St. Francis (PA)124833%63.870.8-7.0
7 LIU Sharks101910%62.679.7-17.1
8 Stonehill121118%63.883.8-20.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass Lowell252954
Central Connecticut State312657
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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