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UMass vs Central Connecticut State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 89-60
39-27 50-33
Position#87
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game76.7
UMass 🏆
USA
vs
Position#88
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game66.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UMass v Central Connecticut State
16 Nov 2025
UMAS84
CENT77
04 Dec 2024
UMAS69
CENT73
22 Nov 2023
UMAS89
CENT60
07 Nov 2022
UMAS94
CENT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Connecticut State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Salle
#247
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A11/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#323
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
69-45
69
45
+24
A18/02
NCAA
Dayton
#85
L
54-72
54
72
-18
H23/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A02/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
L
38-71
38
71
-33
A07/03
NCAA
Albany
#156
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H08/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H14/11
NCAA
Harvard
#188
L
75-78 OT
75
78
-3
H18/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-33
37-53
27-41
35-23
34-26
35-19
27-37
27-35
30-46
49-42
27-20
44-40
18-31
20-40
46-26
46-45
45-36
57-45
37-28
33-42
143.0Avg total
71.4Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.776.7166.3+13.067%
Season at home (3)89.776.7166.3+13.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.471.6143.0-0.240%
Last 5 (5)75.672.2147.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.773.7142.4-5.040%
vs Similar ◀ (17)70.971.7142.6-0.847%
vs Weaker (3)84.774.0158.7+10.767%
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Connecticut StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Wagner
#167
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H17/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
H18/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A24/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H25/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#275
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A02/03
NCAA
Rhode Island
#301
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A07/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A10/11
NCAA
Framingham State
#676
W
99-42
99
42
+57
H14/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#351
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-34
45-39
26-19
32-38
36-40
33-29
19-38
35-32
34-29
33-40
30-39
39-44
31-47
39-34
29-39
41-35
50-20
49-22
35-26
28-41
142.7Avg total
72.1Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.566.0141.5+9.525%
Season at home (2)81.054.5135.5+26.550%
Season away (2)70.077.5147.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)72.170.6142.7+1.540%
Last 5 (5)74.269.4143.6+4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)61.272.2133.4-11.020%
vs Similar ◀ (14)68.369.1137.4-0.836%
vs Weaker (5)70.264.4134.6+5.860%
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +2.0+2.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +2.0+2.0
UMassCentral Connecticut State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Salle
#247
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A11/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#323
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H15/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A18/02
NCAA
Dayton
#85
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H23/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A02/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H04/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Albany
#156
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H08/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H14/11
NCAA
Harvard
#188
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H18/11
NCAA
65.0Avg total
32.6Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.232.966.1+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.032.167.1+2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)31.133.965.0-2.743%-
Last 10 (10)32.632.465.0+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)34.628.262.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.233.566.7-0.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)31.533.965.4-2.541%-
vs Weaker (3)43.025.068.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (Central Connecticut State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Connecticut StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A11/02
NCAA
Wagner
#167
W
26-19
26
19
+7
H17/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H18/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
L
19-38
19
38
-19
A24/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H25/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#275
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A02/03
NCAA
Rhode Island
#301
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A07/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A10/11
NCAA
Framingham State
#676
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H14/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#351
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H19/11
NCAA
65.3Avg total
32.2Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.632.963.5-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.830.864.6+3.154%-
Last 30 away (17)28.134.562.6-6.424%-
Last 10 (10)32.233.165.3-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.034.269.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)27.935.863.7-7.910%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.132.462.5-2.243%-
vs Weaker (5)33.431.264.6+2.260%-
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UMass wins
0
Central Connecticut State wins
DateGameScore
08/11/22UMass v Central Connecticut State94-67
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23HHarvard75-78 OT
14/11/23HQuinnipiac102-81
08/11/23HAlbany92-71
07/03/23ARichmond Spiders38-71
04/03/23HSt. Bonaventure71-60
02/03/23ADuquesne79-88
23/02/23HDayton54-72
18/02/23ARhode Island69-45
15/02/23HLoyola Chicago62-64
11/02/23ALa Salle72-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HManhattan63-67
14/11/23HFramingham State99-42
10/11/23AQuinnipiac70-74
07/11/23ARhode Island70-81
02/03/23ASt. Francis (PA)69-83
25/02/23HSacred Heart67-69
24/02/23AMerrimack Warriors54-70
18/02/23HStonehill94-90 OT
17/02/23HWagner58-57
11/02/23AFairleigh Dickinson77-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWWL67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game89.789.7-
Allowed / game76.776.7-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total166.3166.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %33%33%-
Central Connecticut State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game75.581.070.0
Allowed / game66.054.577.5
Point differential+9.5+26.5-7.5
Avg total141.5135.5147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ball State54180%78.258.2+20.0
2 Northern Illinois54180%87.276.4+10.8
3 Toledo43175%85.876.8+9.0
4 UMass32167%89.776.7+13.0
5 Kent State64267%82.871.7+11.2
6 Ohio32167%79.068.0+11.0
7 Akron64267%77.566.7+10.8
8 Miami (Ohio)32167%72.362.3+10.0
9 Eastern Michigan53260%65.477.6-12.2
10 Bowling Green42250%70.070.5-0.5
11 Central Michigan62433%64.874.5-9.7
12 Buffalo61517%70.584.0-13.5
13 Western Michigan4040%65.273.2-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fairleigh Dickinson54180%89.874.0+15.8
2 Le Moyne62433%73.778.2-4.5
3 Chicago State72529%65.772.7-7.0
4 Central Connecticut State41325%75.566.0+9.5
5 Wagner41325%62.864.2-1.5
6 St. Francis (PA)61517%56.876.5-19.7
7 Stonehill61517%62.889.7-26.8
8 LIU Sharks4040%61.281.2-20.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass395089
Central Connecticut State273360
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