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UMass vs Arizona State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 62-78
33-31 29-47
Position#303
Record5-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#285
Record8-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A13/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
L
71-75 OT
71
75
-4
H17/11
NCAA
Temple
#180
L
80-87
80
87
-7
H23/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
59-92
59
92
-33
H24/11
NCAA
Harvard
#247
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A27/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H01/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H05/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
83-96
83
96
-13
H07/12
NCAA
Massachusetts-Boston
#489
W
86-52
86
52
+34
H14/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-45
33-31
30-35
33-28
36-43
44-44
27-37
32-55
24-24
38-30
41-24
39-44
31-33
38-40
38-40
45-56
47-24
39-28
35-30
42-42
147.8Avg total
73.3Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.474.5149.9+0.942%
Season at home (9)78.776.6155.2+2.144%
Season away (3)65.768.3134.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)73.374.5147.8-1.240%
Last 5 (5)79.072.2151.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.282.4151.6-13.20%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.270.2140.4+0.138%
vs Weaker (12)79.869.8149.6+10.183%
This opponent (Arizona State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#204
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H06/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H09/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
L
80-88
80
88
-8
A10/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H15/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H18/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H21/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H29/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A30/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H04/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-20
24-28
36-34
45-40
38-38
42-50
41-40
46-36
39-29
42-37
46-38
47-51
34-37
51-45
32-34
36-30
40-33
50-20
32-41
34-42
150.9Avg total
78.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.672.3150.9+6.380%
Season at home (8)79.871.4151.1+8.488%
Season away (2)74.076.0150.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)78.672.3150.9+6.380%
Last 5 (5)80.474.2154.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)71.475.7147.0-4.346%
vs Similar ◀ (5)76.076.8152.8-0.860%
vs Weaker (1)90.053.0143.0+37.0100%
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +3.8+3.8
UMassArizona State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A13/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#237
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H17/11
NCAA
Temple
#180
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H23/11
NCAA
Florida State
#177
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H24/11
NCAA
Harvard
#247
D
24-24
24
24
+0
A27/11
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H01/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H05/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H07/12
NCAA
Massachusetts-Boston
#489
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H14/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#181
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H19/12
NCAA
67.7Avg total
34.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.234.769.9+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.133.368.4+1.744%-
Last 30 away (12)35.436.772.1-1.242%-
Last 10 (10)34.233.567.7+0.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.430.268.6+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.440.071.4-8.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.734.167.8-0.446%-
vs Weaker (12)38.433.171.5+5.358%-
This opponent (Arizona State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arizona StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#204
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H06/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H09/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#37
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A10/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#29
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H15/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H18/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H21/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H29/11
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A30/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H04/12
NCAA
Florida
#6
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H14/12
NCAA
71.3Avg total
36.9Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.135.869.9-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.734.470.1+1.267%-
Last 30 away (12)31.837.869.6-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)36.934.471.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.673.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)34.435.569.9-1.154%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)31.837.669.4-5.820%-
vs Weaker (1)40.033.073.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMass wins
0
Arizona State wins
No previous meetings.
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24HNortheastern77-72
14/12/24HMassachusetts-Boston86-52
07/12/24HUMass Lowell83-96
05/12/24HCentral Connecticut State69-73
01/12/24HNJIT80-68
27/11/24AHarvard62-54
24/11/24HFlorida State59-92
23/11/24HTemple80-87
17/11/24HHofstra71-75 OT
13/11/24ALouisiana Tech66-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HFlorida66-83
04/12/24HSan Diego Toreros90-53
30/11/24ASt. Marys (CA)68-64
29/11/24HNew Mexico85-82
21/11/24HCal Poly93-89
18/11/24HSt. Thomas (Minn.)81-66
15/11/24HGrand Canyon87-76
10/11/24AGonzaga80-88
09/11/24HSanta Clara81-74
06/11/24HIdaho State55-48

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW42%
HomeWLLWW44%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %42%44%33%
Points / game75.478.765.7
Allowed / game74.576.668.3
Point differential+0.9+2.1-2.7
Avg total149.9155.2134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %8%11%0%
Arizona State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1082
Win %80%88%50%
Points / game78.679.874.0
Allowed / game72.371.476.0
Point differential+6.3+8.4-2.0
Avg total150.9151.1150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State108280%69.760.2+9.5
2 Akron106460%82.575.3+7.2
3 Miami (Ohio)106460%75.471.9+3.5
4 Toledo116555%78.377.4+0.9
5 Eastern Michigan116555%71.274.9-3.7
6 Central Michigan105550%77.371.6+5.7
7 Ball State115645%74.370.0+4.3
8 Ohio115645%77.877.6+0.2
9 Buffalo115645%73.680.2-6.5
10 UMass125742%75.474.5+0.9
11 Bowling Green114736%77.676.1+1.5
12 Western Michigan113827%71.273.5-2.4
13 Northern Illinois113827%68.776.6-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa State109190%87.464.9+22.5
2 Cincinnati109190%79.059.5+19.5
3 Texas Tech119282%86.363.3+23.0
4 Brigham Young119282%85.664.7+20.9
5 Colorado119282%76.768.4+8.4
6 Utah Utes108280%86.664.0+22.6
7 West Virginia108280%78.565.6+12.9
8 Kansas108280%78.467.3+11.1
9 Arizona State108280%78.672.3+6.3
10 UCF Knights108280%80.374.8+5.5
11 Houston118373%78.055.3+22.7
12 Baylor107370%84.971.3+13.6
13 Oklahoma State107370%78.274.7+3.5
14 Kansas State106460%79.469.7+9.7
15 TCU106460%71.565.4+6.1
16 Arizona105550%84.770.3+14.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass332962
Arizona State314778
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