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UMass vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-56
37-33 44-23
Position#220
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game75.5
UMass 🏆
USA
vs
Penn State
USA
Position#234
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game59.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#348
W
65-46
65
46
+19
A17/01
NCAA
Davidson
#107
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H24/01
NCAA
Fordham
#348
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H03/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#250
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A07/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#109
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A23/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#54
L
57-78
57
78
-21
A01/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#318
W
100-66
100
66
+34
H04/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#54
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A05/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#158
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H10/11
NCAA
Yale
#122
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-15
21-31
32-27
28-42
33-23
27-31
37-32
38-31
32-43
33-36
31-42
26-36
59-36
41-30
33-46
39-40
32-36
45-24
30-43
41-48
139.4Avg total
70.2Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.075.5149.5-1.550%
Season at home (1)77.060.0137.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)71.091.0162.0-20.00%
Last 10 (10)70.269.2139.4+1.050%
Last 5 (5)75.476.2151.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)66.974.9141.8-7.929%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.270.2142.5+2.062%
vs Weaker (8)81.666.5148.1+15.188%
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#316
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H14/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
82-92
82
92
-10
H19/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A24/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
52-73
52
73
-21
H27/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#150
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A08/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H11/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A12/03
NCAA
Youngstown State
#166
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-35
26-27
43-47
39-45
41-36
27-38
39-38
47-45
26-41
26-32
46-28
38-37
23-33
43-28
23-37
49-29
31-41
43-34
35-26
40-33
143.0Avg total
72.0Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.059.0134.0+16.0100%
Season at home (1)75.059.0134.0+16.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.071.0143.0+1.050%
Last 5 (5)74.265.2139.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)71.575.1146.6-3.727%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.169.8142.9+3.364%
vs Weaker (1)69.080.0149.0-11.00%
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +3.0+3.0
UMassPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#348
W
44-15
44
15
+29
A17/01
NCAA
Davidson
#107
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H24/01
NCAA
Fordham
#348
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#250
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A07/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#109
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A23/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#54
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A01/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#318
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H04/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#54
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A05/03
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#158
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H10/11
NCAA
Yale
#122
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A13/11
NCAA
70.6Avg total
36.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.633.967.5-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.832.668.4+3.256%-
Last 30 away (14)31.135.366.4-4.243%-
Last 10 (10)36.334.370.6+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.677.6-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.138.168.2-8.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.831.162.9+0.662%-
vs Weaker (8)41.629.170.8+12.588%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska
#316
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H14/02
NCAA
Ohio State
#70
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H19/02
NCAA
Iowa
#47
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A24/02
NCAA
Purdue
#97
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H27/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#193
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H04/03
NCAA
Maryland
#150
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#316
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H11/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#131
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A12/03
NCAA
Youngstown State
#166
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H11/11
NCAA
70.4Avg total
34.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.734.168.8+0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.432.969.3+3.456%-
Last 30 away (14)32.735.568.2-2.821%-
Last 10 (10)34.236.270.4-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.633.064.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.536.772.1-1.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.931.465.3+2.450%-
vs Weaker (1)34.034.068.0+0.00%-
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMass wins
0
Penn State wins
No previous meetings.
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/21AYale71-91
10/11/21HUMBC Retrievers77-60
05/03/21ASt. Louis Billikens72-86
04/03/21HSaint Josephs Hawks100-66
01/03/21ASt. Louis Billikens57-78
23/02/21ARichmond Spiders65-79
07/02/21ARhode Island75-63
03/02/21HFordham60-54
24/01/21HDavidson60-69
17/01/21AFordham65-46
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/21HYoungstown State75-59
12/03/21AWisconsin74-75
11/03/21HNebraska72-66
08/03/21AMaryland66-61
04/03/21HMinnesota84-65
27/02/21HPurdue52-73
24/02/21ANebraska86-83
21/02/21AIowa68-74
19/02/21HOhio State82-92
14/02/21HNebraska61-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game74.077.071.0
Allowed / game75.560.091.0
Point differential-1.5+17.0-20.0
Avg total149.5137.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penn State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game59.059.0-
Point differential+16.0+16.0-
Avg total134.0134.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)220100%88.072.0+16.0
2 Ohio220100%79.568.0+11.5
3 Toledo220100%75.067.0+8.0
4 Akron21150%84.056.5+27.5
5 Eastern Michigan21150%82.583.0-0.5
6 UMass21150%74.075.5-1.5
7 Ball State21150%72.075.5-3.5
8 Western Michigan21150%61.074.0-13.0
9 Northern Illinois21150%60.074.5-14.5
10 Bowling Green31233%76.776.0+0.7
11 Buffalo1010%76.088.0-12.0
12 Kent State1010%59.073.0-14.0
13 Central Michigan2020%67.088.5-21.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa220100%97.565.0+32.5
2 Illinois220100%81.550.0+31.5
3 Wisconsin220100%76.546.0+30.5
4 Northwestern220100%87.558.0+29.5
5 Purdue220100%94.067.0+27.0
6 UCLA220100%90.567.5+23.0
7 USC220100%82.560.0+22.5
8 Indiana220100%76.555.5+21.0
9 Michigan220100%82.562.5+20.0
10 Oregon220100%84.564.5+20.0
11 Penn State110100%75.059.0+16.0
12 Ohio State330100%80.066.0+14.0
13 Maryland330100%74.063.3+10.7
14 Minnesota330100%77.068.3+8.7
15 Rutgers220100%60.552.5+8.0
16 Michigan State21150%82.066.5+15.5
17 Nebraska21150%74.070.0+4.0
18 Washington21150%68.566.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass374481
Penn State332356
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