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UMass vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 63-71
26-31 37-40
Position#287
Record5-14
FormWWLLW
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game75.7
UMass
USA
vs
Dayton 🏆
USA
Position#4
Record19-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · UMass v Dayton
08 Jan 2025
UMAS76
DAYT72
22 Feb 2023
UMAS54
DAYT72
09 Feb 2021
UMAS v DAYT
upcoming
15 Feb 2020
UMAS63
DAYT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Salle
#190
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H09/01
NCAA
Dayton
#4
L
60-88
60
88
-28
A11/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#72
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A16/01
NCAA
George Washington
#265
L
51-75
51
75
-24
H18/01
NCAA
George Mason
#234
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A23/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#84
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H25/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#351
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H30/01
NCAA
Davidson
#158
L
50-85
50
85
-35
A02/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#56
L
67-73
67
73
-6
A05/02
NCAA
George Mason
#234
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-35
36-34
22-48
38-40
33-40
28-34
23-39
28-36
29-26
34-47
32-30
41-34
39-36
52-40
22-52
28-33
30-35
37-38
35-35
34-32
140.6Avg total
66.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)67.275.7142.9-8.626%
Season at home (9)71.269.9141.1+1.356%
Season away (10)63.581.0144.5-17.50%
Last 10 (10)66.274.4140.6-8.240%
Last 5 (5)70.073.0143.0-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)66.577.4143.9-10.919%
vs Similar (4)64.267.0131.2-2.850%
vs Weaker (2)84.071.5155.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Josephs Hawks
#351
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A05/01
NCAA
UMass
#287
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H11/01
NCAA
VCU Rams
#180
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H15/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#42
W
78-76 OT
78
76
+2
A18/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#72
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H23/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#32
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A25/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#84
W
73-69
73
69
+4
A30/01
NCAA
Fordham
#336
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H01/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#42
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H08/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#56
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-33
47-34
48-22
40-38
38-33
41-32
25-33
44-36
47-29
39-31
40-32
47-47
38-30
35-39
36-17
34-39
39-31
32-34
49-35
32-32
145.7Avg total
79.3Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.565.0145.5+15.490%
Season at home (12)80.159.9140.0+20.2100%
Season away (9)81.071.9152.9+9.178%
Last 10 (10)79.366.4145.7+12.9100%
Last 5 (5)76.467.2143.6+9.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)84.090.0174.0-6.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.363.8144.1+16.595%
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -7.0-7.01st half: +9.8+9.82nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +2.9+2.9
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -7.0-7.01st half: +9.8+9.82nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +2.9+2.9
UMassDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Salle
#190
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H09/01
NCAA
Dayton
#4
L
22-48
22
48
-26
A11/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#72
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A16/01
NCAA
George Washington
#265
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H18/01
NCAA
George Mason
#234
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A23/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#84
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H25/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#351
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H30/01
NCAA
Davidson
#158
L
22-52
22
52
-30
A02/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#56
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A05/02
NCAA
George Mason
#234
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H09/02
NCAA
68.2Avg total
30.6Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)32.036.468.4-4.438%-
Last 30 at home (10)33.634.968.5-1.350%-
Last 30 away (14)30.937.568.4-6.629%-
Last 10 (10)30.637.668.2-7.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.637.669.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)31.438.269.6-6.825%-
vs Similar (4)31.032.063.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (2)37.533.070.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saint Josephs Hawks
#351
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A05/01
NCAA
UMass
#287
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H11/01
NCAA
VCU Rams
#180
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/01
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#42
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A18/01
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#72
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H23/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#32
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A25/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#84
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A30/01
NCAA
Fordham
#336
W
36-17
36
17
+19
H01/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#42
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#56
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H12/02
NCAA
68.8Avg total
39.3Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)39.830.270.0+9.679%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.627.168.7+14.5100%-
Last 30 away (12)38.033.371.3+4.758%-
Last 10 (10)39.329.568.8+9.880%-
Last 5 (5)40.429.069.4+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)37.036.073.0+1.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.628.268.8+12.490%-
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMass wins
1
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
11/01/20Dayton v UMass88-60
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HGeorge Mason69-67
05/02/20ARhode Island67-73
02/02/20ADavidson50-85
30/01/20HSaint Josephs Hawks91-76
25/01/20HDuquesne73-64
23/01/20AGeorge Mason63-73
18/01/20HGeorge Washington51-75
16/01/20ASt. Bonaventure61-74
11/01/20ADayton60-88
09/01/20HLa Salle77-69
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/20HRhode Island81-67
08/02/20HSt. Louis Billikens71-65
01/02/20HFordham70-56
30/01/20ADuquesne73-69
25/01/20ARichmond Spiders87-79
23/01/20HSt. Bonaventure86-60
18/01/20ASt. Louis Billikens78-76 OT
15/01/20HVCU Rams79-65
11/01/20HUMass88-60
05/01/20ASaint Josephs Hawks80-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW26%
HomeWLWWW56%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %26%56%0%
Points / game67.271.263.5
Allowed / game75.769.981.0
Point differential-8.6+1.3-17.5
Avg total142.9141.1144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%11%10%
Dayton
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21129
Win %90%100%78%
Points / game80.580.181.0
Allowed / game65.059.971.9
Point differential+15.4+20.2+9.1
Avg total145.5140.0152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%92%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2116576%76.466.0+10.4
2 Bowling Green2115671%73.873.2+0.6
3 Buffalo2214864%77.174.9+2.2
4 Ball State1911858%69.163.1+6.0
5 Kent State1911858%73.868.3+5.5
6 Northern Illinois1911858%64.963.9+1.1
7 Ohio1991047%71.668.6+3.0
8 Central Michigan2091145%75.177.3-2.2
9 Eastern Michigan2091145%61.965.2-3.4
10 Toledo2291341%72.571.2+1.3
11 Western Michigan1971237%66.771.2-4.4
12 Miami (Ohio)2061430%69.372.8-3.5
13 UMass1951426%67.275.7-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dayton2119290%80.565.0+15.4
2 Rhode Island2116576%74.967.3+7.6
3 St. Bonaventure2216673%69.664.8+4.8
4 Richmond Spiders2115671%72.365.1+7.1
5 Duquesne1913668%71.366.0+5.3
6 St. Louis Billikens1913668%69.666.1+3.5
7 Loyola Chicago2114767%65.759.5+6.1
8 VCU Rams2013765%71.763.5+8.2
9 Davidson2011955%72.666.7+5.9
10 La Salle20101050%69.270.2-1.0
11 George Mason1991047%66.668.8-2.2
12 George Washington2091145%67.170.5-3.4
13 Fordham2041620%57.263.5-6.3
14 Saint Josephs Hawks2021810%67.280.8-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass263763
Dayton314071
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