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UMass vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 54-72
27-37 27-35
Position#224
Record14-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game71.2
UMass
USA
vs
Dayton 🏆
USA
Position#85
Record18-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game60.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · UMass v Dayton
08 Jan 2025
UMAS76
DAYT72
22 Feb 2023
UMAS54
DAYT72
09 Feb 2021
UMAS v DAYT
upcoming
15 Feb 2020
UMAS63
DAYT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#26
L
55-83
55
83
-28
A18/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A21/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H26/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H28/01
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A02/02
NCAA
Davidson
#208
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H04/02
NCAA
Fordham
#37
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A09/02
NCAA
La Salle
#247
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A11/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#323
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
69-45
69
45
+24
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-40
22-43
36-43
32-31
32-37
53-39
39-33
48-46
28-31
31-39
35-38
43-55
39-32
28-45
35-33
37-53
27-41
35-23
34-26
35-19
144.9Avg total
70.2Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)71.171.2142.4-0.152%
Season at home (14)76.871.7148.5+5.164%
Season away (13)65.170.7135.8-5.638%
Last 10 (10)70.274.7144.9-4.530%
Last 5 (5)69.673.0142.6-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)69.271.8141.0-2.750%
vs Similar (17)74.072.4146.4+1.653%
vs Weaker (1)87.073.0160.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#26
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H14/01
NCAA
Davidson
#208
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H18/01
NCAA
George Washington
#209
L
69-76
69
76
-7
A21/01
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A26/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
86-60
86
60
+26
H28/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#323
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
H01/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A05/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A08/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H11/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#323
W
65-49
65
49
+16
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-19
29-44
29-32
39-29
22-36
47-40
27-32
43-43
43-23
43-37
40-34
32-38
26-33
33-35
36-32
26-26
41-34
29-22
28-20
37-29
134.3Avg total
69.6Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)68.960.7129.6+8.267%
Season at home (15)74.159.7133.8+14.587%
Season away (12)62.462.0124.4+0.442%
Last 10 (10)69.664.7134.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)68.262.4130.6+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)66.464.0130.4+2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)69.959.8129.8+10.168%
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +1.5+1.5
UMassDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#26
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A18/01
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#226
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A21/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H26/01
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H28/01
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A02/02
NCAA
Davidson
#208
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H04/02
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A09/02
NCAA
La Salle
#247
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A11/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#323
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H15/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A18/02
NCAA
69.2Avg total
33.8Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.334.068.3+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.633.968.5+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)34.134.068.1+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)33.835.469.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.034.068.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.133.667.7+0.558%-
vs Similar (17)33.835.068.8-1.241%-
vs Weaker (1)46.021.067.0+25.0100%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#26
W
33-19
33
19
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Davidson
#208
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H18/01
NCAA
George Washington
#209
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A21/01
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A26/01
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H28/01
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#323
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H01/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A05/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#95
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H11/02
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#323
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A18/02
NCAA
62.0Avg total
32.5Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.027.360.3+5.773%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.226.562.8+9.888%-
Last 30 away (14)29.328.357.6+1.057%-
Last 10 (10)32.529.562.0+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)34.230.664.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)33.927.861.7+6.180%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)32.527.359.8+5.268%-
This opponent (UMass) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMass wins
4
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
11/03/22Dayton v UMass75-72
24/02/22Dayton v UMass82-61
15/02/20UMass v Dayton63-71
11/01/20Dayton v UMass88-60
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23ARhode Island69-45
15/02/23HLoyola Chicago62-64
11/02/23ALa Salle72-86
09/02/23AFordham67-77
04/02/23HDavidson78-93
02/02/23AGeorge Mason59-70
28/01/23HDuquesne87-79
26/01/23HRichmond Spiders85-76
21/01/23ASaint Josephs Hawks68-74
18/01/23AVCU Rams55-83
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/23ALoyola Chicago65-49
11/02/23HSt. Louis Billikens70-56
08/02/23AVCU Rams62-58
05/02/23ASt. Bonaventure59-68
01/02/23HLoyola Chicago85-81 OT
28/01/23HRichmond Spiders86-60
26/01/23ARhode Island70-75
21/01/23AGeorge Washington69-76
18/01/23HDavidson68-61
14/01/23HVCU Rams62-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW52%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %52%64%38%
Points / game71.176.865.1
Allowed / game71.271.770.7
Point differential-0.1+5.1-5.6
Avg total142.4148.5135.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dayton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLWWWW87%
AwayLLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %67%87%42%
Points / game68.974.162.4
Allowed / game60.759.762.0
Point differential+8.2+14.5+0.4
Avg total129.6133.8124.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State2822679%75.264.2+11.0
2 Toledo2822679%84.776.5+8.2
3 Akron2820871%73.464.2+9.2
4 Ball State2820871%76.569.8+6.8
5 Ohio28171161%78.672.7+5.9
6 UMass27141352%71.171.2-0.1
7 Buffalo28131546%77.976.6+1.2
8 Northern Illinois28111739%71.574.8-3.2
9 Bowling Green28101836%76.478.4-2.0
10 Central Michigan28101836%65.371.4-6.1
11 Western Michigan2872125%70.074.0-4.0
12 Eastern Michigan2872125%72.580.9-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fordham2721678%72.267.7+4.5
2 VCU Rams2821775%70.562.8+7.7
3 Dayton2718967%68.960.7+8.2
4 Duquesne2718967%74.769.5+5.3
5 St. Louis Billikens28181064%75.771.5+4.2
6 George Mason28161257%69.767.6+2.1
7 Richmond Spiders28141450%70.068.5+1.5
8 George Washington27131448%75.676.3-0.7
9 La Salle27131448%69.471.7-2.3
10 St. Bonaventure28131546%66.967.1-0.2
11 Davidson26121446%70.669.8+0.8
12 Saint Josephs Hawks29131645%71.673.6-2.0
13 Loyola Chicago2691735%66.872.0-5.1
14 Rhode Island2681831%65.669.6-4.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass272754
Dayton373572
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