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UMass vs Siena Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 79-66
40-31 39-35
Position#87
Record8-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game72.6
UMass 🏆
USA
vs
Position#366
Record2-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game76.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Siena winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#38
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H14/11
NCAA
Harvard
#188
L
75-78 OT
75
78
-3
H18/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#88
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H22/11
NCAA
South Florida
#20
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H02/12
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A07/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
W
91-77
91
77
+14
H09/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H16/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H22/12
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
100-78
100
78
+22
A23/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
87-65
87
65
+22
H24/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-36
57-45
37-28
33-42
39-27
50-33
30-23
36-33
27-36
44-45
45-31
46-46
44-29
43-50
31-37
39-36
48-40
52-38
41-28
46-37
156.6Avg total
83.8Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.572.6157.2+11.973%
Season at home (9)84.371.1155.4+13.278%
Season away (2)85.579.5165.0+6.050%
Last 10 (10)83.872.8156.6+11.070%
Last 5 (5)87.074.4161.4+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.080.0152.0-8.033%
vs Similar (18)72.872.3145.1+0.544%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.274.0159.2+11.267%
This opponent (Siena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SienaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#203
L
58-78
58
78
-20
A14/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H20/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A22/11
NCAA
Albany
#156
L
51-86
51
86
-35
H26/11
NCAA
Rider
#237
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#274
L
48-80
48
80
-32
A03/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
L
51-67
51
67
-16
H07/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#124
L
56-89
56
89
-33
A09/12
NCAA
Cornell
#28
L
74-95
74
95
-21
H20/12
NCAA
Brown
#276
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
31-43
19-30
37-40
25-20
34-41
23-28
28-58
36-36
31-29
14-30
34-50
20-25
31-42
25-46
31-43
34-51
40-44
38-23
29-48
134.9Avg total
58.7Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)59.076.9135.9-17.917%
Season at home (6)62.075.7137.7-13.733%
Season away (6)56.078.2134.2-22.20%
Last 10 (10)58.776.2134.9-17.510%
Last 5 (5)59.280.4139.6-21.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)59.976.4136.2-16.521%
vs Similar (8)62.564.6127.1-2.125%
vs Weaker (8)70.164.1134.2+6.062%
This opponent (UMass) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -11.2-11.2
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +7.2+7.21st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: -11.2-11.2
UMassSiena
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#38
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H14/11
NCAA
Harvard
#188
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H18/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#88
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H22/11
NCAA
South Florida
#20
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H02/12
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A07/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H09/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H16/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H22/12
NCAA
Portland
#305
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A23/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H24/12
NCAA
70.2Avg total
38.7Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.568.1+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.431.367.8+5.172%-
Last 30 away (12)31.836.868.6-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)38.731.570.2+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.833.074.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.736.270.8-1.550%-
vs Similar (18)32.433.365.7-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.231.372.5+9.883%-
This opponent (Siena) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
American University
#203
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A14/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
19-30
19
30
-11
H20/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#157
W
25-20
25
20
+5
A22/11
NCAA
Albany
#156
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H26/11
NCAA
Rider
#237
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H02/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#274
L
14-30
14
30
-16
A03/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
L
20-25
20
25
-5
H07/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#124
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A09/12
NCAA
Cornell
#28
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H20/12
NCAA
Brown
#276
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A22/12
NCAA
58.5Avg total
26.1Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.032.060.0-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)28.530.659.1-2.138%-
Last 30 away (14)27.433.560.9-6.129%-
Last 10 (10)26.132.458.5-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)26.235.061.2-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)26.833.960.7-7.121%-
vs Similar (8)25.529.655.1-4.138%-
vs Weaker (8)32.630.963.5+1.850%-
This opponent (UMass) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMass wins
0
Siena wins
No previous meetings.
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HOld Dominion87-65
23/12/23APortland100-78
22/12/23HGeorgia Tech70-73
16/12/23HWest Virginia87-79
09/12/23HUMass Lowell91-77
07/12/23ATowson71-81
02/12/23HSouth Florida66-56
22/11/23HCentral Connecticut State89-60
18/11/23HHarvard75-78 OT
14/11/23HQuinnipiac102-81
Sienalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23ABrown67-71
20/12/23HCornell74-95
09/12/23ASt. Bonaventure56-89
07/12/23HBryant University51-67
03/12/23AMount St. Mary's48-80
02/12/23HRider67-65
26/11/23HAlbany51-86
22/11/23AWisc. Milwaukee59-61
20/11/23HCentral Michigan56-70
14/11/23AAmerican University58-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %73%78%50%
Points / game84.584.385.5
Allowed / game72.671.179.5
Point differential+11.9+13.2+6.0
Avg total157.2155.4165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %9%11%0%
Siena
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game59.062.056.0
Allowed / game76.975.778.2
Point differential-17.9-13.7-22.2
Avg total135.9137.7134.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bowling Green129375%74.065.1+8.9
2 UMass118373%84.572.6+11.9
3 Akron118373%78.366.8+11.5
4 Ball State128467%75.067.7+7.3
5 Kent State127558%79.972.9+7.0
6 Ohio116555%80.370.2+10.1
7 Miami (Ohio)116555%75.871.5+4.3
8 Eastern Michigan116555%67.373.9-6.6
9 Northern Illinois126650%79.978.4+1.5
10 Toledo126650%78.979.8-0.9
11 Central Michigan115645%68.276.4-8.2
12 Western Michigan123925%71.474.9-3.5
13 Buffalo121118%67.280.0-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac129375%78.670.7+7.9
2 Marist107370%67.260.4+6.8
3 Canisius126650%77.073.7+3.3
4 Fairfield126650%73.770.9+2.8
5 St. Peters105550%62.964.6-1.7
6 Merrimack Warriors136746%69.470.3-0.9
7 Mount St. Mary's125742%73.169.8+3.2
8 Iona125742%71.871.8-0.1
9 Manhattan104640%66.276.8-10.6
10 Sacred Heart145936%71.473.6-2.2
11 Niagara124833%72.975.2-2.2
12 Rider1331023%71.177.0-5.9
13 Siena1221017%59.076.9-17.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass403979
Siena313566
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