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UMass vs South Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 66-56
30-23 36-33
Position#87
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game72.5
UMass 🏆
USA
vs
Position#20
Record2-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game67.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#323
L
62-64
62
64
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
69-45
69
45
+24
A18/02
NCAA
Dayton
#85
L
54-72
54
72
-18
H23/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A02/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
L
38-71
38
71
-33
A07/03
NCAA
Albany
#156
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H08/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
W
102-81
102
81
+21
H14/11
NCAA
Harvard
#188
L
75-78 OT
75
78
-3
H18/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#88
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-41
35-23
34-26
35-19
27-37
27-35
30-46
49-42
27-20
44-40
18-31
20-40
46-26
46-45
45-36
57-45
37-28
33-42
39-27
50-33
142.1Avg total
73.1Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.572.5162.0+17.075%
Season at home (4)89.572.5162.0+17.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.169.0142.1+4.150%
Last 5 (5)79.272.2151.4+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.775.9145.6-6.233%
vs Similar ◀ (18)71.971.1142.9+0.850%
vs Weaker (3)84.774.0158.7+10.767%
This opponent (South Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#148
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A23/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H02/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
49-69
49
69
-20
A05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H09/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
96-52
96
52
+44
H10/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
59-70
59
70
-11
H23/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-40
34-35
26-38
45-29
35-20
37-36
33-36
16-33
33-41
25-32
47-23
49-29
29-31
34-37
32-22
42-43
29-31
30-39
23-44
40-38
136.4Avg total
68.7Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.067.4138.4+3.640%
Season at home (4)73.063.8136.8+9.250%
Season away (1)63.082.0145.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)68.767.7136.4+1.050%
Last 5 (5)71.067.4138.4+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.882.6160.4-4.938%
vs Similar ◀ (13)67.070.3137.3-3.338%
vs Weaker (9)78.166.9145.0+11.267%
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +0.1+0.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +1.2+1.21st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: +3.2+3.22nd half: +0.1+0.1
UMassSouth Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#323
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H15/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#337
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A18/02
NCAA
Dayton
#85
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H23/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#104
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A02/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#252
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H04/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
L
18-31
18
31
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Albany
#156
W
46-26
46
26
+20
H08/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#38
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H14/11
NCAA
Harvard
#188
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H18/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#88
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H22/11
NCAA
64.8Avg total
33.0Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.232.966.1+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.231.867.0+3.559%-
Last 30 away (13)30.634.364.9-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)33.031.864.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.029.666.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.734.166.8-1.444%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)31.933.665.4-1.744%-
vs Weaker (3)43.025.068.0+18.0100%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCF Knights
#148
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A23/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H26/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#361
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H02/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#220
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H09/03
NCAA
South Carolina St
#266
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H10/11
NCAA
Central Michigan
#168
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H23/11
NCAA
Hofstra
#122
L
23-44
23
44
-21
A01/12
NCAA
66.1Avg total
33.5Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.635.270.8+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.333.267.5+1.247%-
Last 30 away (11)37.938.676.5-0.745%-
Last 10 (10)33.532.666.1+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)32.030.262.2+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.640.579.1-1.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.134.267.2-1.146%-
vs Weaker (9)36.731.968.6+4.856%-
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UMass wins
0
South Florida wins
DateGameScore
30/11/22South Florida v UMass67-73
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HCentral Connecticut State89-60
18/11/23HHarvard75-78 OT
14/11/23HQuinnipiac102-81
08/11/23HAlbany92-71
07/03/23ARichmond Spiders38-71
04/03/23HSt. Bonaventure71-60
02/03/23ADuquesne79-88
23/02/23HDayton54-72
18/02/23ARhode Island69-45
15/02/23HLoyola Chicago62-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/23AHofstra63-82
23/11/23HMaine Black Bears59-70
19/11/23HNorthern Iowa74-65
16/11/23HCentral Michigan63-68
10/11/23HSouth Carolina St96-52
09/03/23HEast Carolina58-73
05/03/23AWichita State49-69
02/03/23HTulsa72-56
26/02/23HSMU Mustangs71-67
23/02/23AUCF Knights82-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game89.589.5-
Allowed / game72.572.5-
Point differential+17.0+17.0-
Avg total162.0162.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
South Florida
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %40%50%0%
Points / game71.073.063.0
Allowed / game67.463.882.0
Point differential+3.6+9.2-19.0
Avg total138.4136.8145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass43175%89.572.5+17.0
2 Ball State75271%78.165.0+13.1
3 Northern Illinois75271%84.678.6+6.0
4 Ohio64267%82.274.7+7.5
5 Kent State85362%84.871.9+12.9
6 Eastern Michigan85362%67.473.0-5.6
7 Miami (Ohio)53260%71.864.0+7.8
8 Akron74357%76.467.4+9.0
9 Bowling Green74357%72.069.7+2.3
10 Toledo63350%81.376.7+4.7
11 Western Michigan72529%64.670.1-5.6
12 Central Michigan72529%64.376.4-12.1
13 Buffalo71614%69.983.6-13.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wichita State87188%80.268.6+11.6
2 Florida Atlantic76186%83.066.1+16.9
3 Tulane65183%88.374.5+13.8
4 Memphis65183%79.072.0+7.0
5 Tulsa54180%79.866.0+13.8
6 North Texas64267%69.358.2+11.2
7 Temple64267%80.275.2+5.0
8 East Carolina85362%78.173.0+5.1
9 Charlotte74357%65.961.9+4.0
10 UAB84450%73.174.9-1.8
11 UTSA Roadrunners84450%78.182.4-4.2
12 South Florida52340%71.067.4+3.6
13 Rice72529%78.782.9-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass303666
South Florida233356
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