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UMass vs VCU Rams Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 59-73
25-42 34-31
Position#87
Record20-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game70.7
UMass
USA
vs
VCU Rams 🏆
USA
Position#96
Record20-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game67.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UMass v VCU Rams
14 Mar 2024
UMAS59
VCU 73
20 Feb 2024
UMAS74
VCU 52
26 Feb 2022
UMAS62
VCU 77
12 Mar 2020
UMAS v VCU
upcoming
26 Feb 2020
UMAS60
VCU 52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMass winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VCU Rams winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMassUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#106
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H03/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#124
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#301
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H11/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A15/02
NCAA
La Salle
#222
L
81-82
81
82
-1
A17/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
W
74-52
74
52
+22
H21/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#124
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H24/02
NCAA
George Washington
#238
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A28/02
NCAA
Davidson
#234
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A02/03
NCAA
Fordham
#288
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-30
40-35
38-34
35-45
32-35
49-44
37-24
32-35
41-51
40-31
38-26
36-26
38-36
29-39
40-21
29-36
35-31
34-36
33-34
33-30
139.4Avg total
71.5Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.170.7148.7+7.467%
Season at home (19)79.569.1148.6+10.579%
Season away (11)75.573.5149.0+2.145%
Last 10 (10)71.567.9139.4+3.670%
Last 5 (5)69.063.0132.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)75.969.1145.0+6.957%
vs Weaker (16)79.972.1152.0+7.975%
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VCU RamsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#288
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A07/02
NCAA
Dayton
#30
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H10/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A17/02
NCAA
UMass
#87
L
52-74
52
74
-22
A21/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#301
W
88-67
88
67
+21
H28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A02/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H06/03
NCAA
Dayton
#30
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
A09/03
NCAA
Fordham
#288
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-31
43-29
25-22
24-25
42-35
53-50
26-38
26-36
21-27
52-42
42-21
46-46
29-32
47-47
27-31
32-38
38-31
32-39
37-38
32-24
142.5Avg total
72.2Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)72.367.4139.7+4.862%
Season at home (22)73.566.5140.1+7.068%
Season away (10)69.569.4138.9+0.150%
Last 10 (10)72.270.3142.5+1.960%
Last 5 (5)75.673.6149.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.068.0132.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)66.867.9134.8-1.147%
vs Weaker (12)81.166.2147.2+14.992%
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +1.3+1.32nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +1.1+1.1
UMassVCU Rams
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMassLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#106
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H03/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#124
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#301
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H11/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A15/02
NCAA
La Salle
#222
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A17/02
NCAA
VCU Rams
#96
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H21/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#124
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/02
NCAA
George Washington
#238
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A28/02
NCAA
Davidson
#234
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A02/03
NCAA
Fordham
#288
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H07/03
NCAA
68.0Avg total
35.8Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.533.070.5+4.567%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.431.068.4+6.474%-
Last 30 away (11)37.736.574.3+1.255%-
Last 10 (10)35.832.268.0+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)36.829.666.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.732.469.1+4.371%-
vs Weaker (16)38.233.671.8+4.662%-
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VCU RamsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fordham
#288
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Dayton
#30
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H10/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#292
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A17/02
NCAA
UMass
#87
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A21/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
L
21-27
21
27
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#301
W
42-21
42
21
+21
H28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#40
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A02/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#68
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H06/03
NCAA
Dayton
#30
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A09/03
NCAA
Fordham
#288
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H13/03
NCAA
62.5Avg total
31.9Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.230.363.5+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (20)33.729.963.6+3.860%-
Last 30 away (10)32.231.163.3+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)31.930.662.5+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.630.665.2+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.024.057.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)30.130.460.5-0.247%-
vs Weaker (12)37.630.868.3+6.875%-
This opponent (UMass) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UMass wins
2
VCU Rams wins
DateGameScore
21/02/24UMass v VCU Rams74-52
18/01/23VCU Rams v UMass83-55
26/02/22UMass v VCU Rams62-77
27/02/20UMass v VCU Rams60-52
UMasslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HFordham66-64
02/03/24ADavidson69-67
28/02/24AGeorge Washington69-57
24/02/24HSt. Bonaventure67-75
21/02/24HVCU Rams74-52
17/02/24ALa Salle81-82
15/02/24ARichmond Spiders69-59
11/02/24HRhode Island81-79
08/02/24ASt. Bonaventure73-79
03/02/24HGeorge Mason66-65
VCU Ramslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24HFordham69-62
09/03/24ADayton86-91 OT
06/03/24HDuquesne59-69
02/03/24ARichmond Spiders76-79
28/02/24HRhode Island88-67
25/02/24HSaint Josephs Hawks73-69
21/02/24AUMass52-74
17/02/24ASt. Louis Billikens95-85
10/02/24HDayton49-47
07/02/24AFordham75-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMass
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWLW79%
AwayLWLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %67%79%45%
Points / game78.179.575.5
Allowed / game70.769.173.5
Point differential+7.4+10.5+2.1
Avg total148.7148.6149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%58%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %3%5%0%
VCU Rams
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW62%
HomeWWWLW68%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games322210
Win %62%68%50%
Points / game72.373.569.5
Allowed / game67.466.569.4
Point differential+4.8+7.0+0.1
Avg total139.7140.1138.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%41%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)43% (7)33% (6)
Overtime %6%5%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron31211068%74.766.2+8.5
2 UMass30201067%78.170.7+7.4
3 Toledo32201262%80.076.1+3.9
4 Bowling Green32201262%74.070.8+3.2
5 Ohio31191261%77.670.6+7.0
6 Central Michigan32181456%66.570.1-3.6
7 Kent State32161650%75.371.9+3.4
8 Miami (Ohio)30151550%71.169.8+1.3
9 Ball State31151648%73.571.0+2.6
10 Eastern Michigan31131842%66.072.6-6.6
11 Western Michigan31121939%71.874.6-2.8
12 Northern Illinois31112035%73.277.4-4.2
13 Buffalo3142713%68.079.7-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dayton3024680%75.366.3+9.0
2 Loyola Chicago3123874%73.467.1+6.4
3 Richmond Spiders3223972%72.366.1+6.2
4 Duquesne32211166%71.467.0+4.4
5 Saint Josephs Hawks33211264%76.070.5+5.5
6 George Mason32201262%71.065.9+5.1
7 VCU Rams32201262%72.367.4+4.8
8 St. Bonaventure31191261%73.868.4+5.4
9 La Salle33161748%72.773.1-0.4
10 Davidson32151747%70.167.9+2.1
11 George Washington32151747%76.877.2-0.5
12 Fordham33132039%70.572.4-1.9
13 St. Louis Billikens33132039%74.979.4-4.5
14 Rhode Island32122038%72.676.3-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMass253459
VCU Rams423173
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