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UMBC Retrievers vs American University Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 85-87
31-47 54-40
Position#312
Record5-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#203
Record5-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game74.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v American University
29 Dec 2023
UMBC85
AMER87
23 Nov 2021
UMBC98
AMER67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
American University winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Maryland
#354
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H19/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A22/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#326
L
81-96
81
96
-15
A25/11
NCAA
Hampton
#340
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A28/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A01/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H02/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A06/12
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H09/12
NCAA
St. Peters
#152
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A13/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
81-103
81
103
-22
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
59-42
24-57
44-35
42-41
39-55
26-32
54-44
35-39
35-50
45-40
47-47
36-41
44-51
38-46
35-43
31-26
29-40
36-50
45-53
164.8Avg total
77.9Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.683.8162.4-5.236%
Season at home (6)81.277.5158.7+3.767%
Season away (8)76.688.5165.1-11.912%
Last 10 (10)77.986.9164.8-9.030%
Last 5 (5)77.287.4164.6-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)72.380.6152.9-8.222%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.880.2156.0-4.450%
vs Weaker (10)75.972.6148.5+3.350%
This opponent (American University) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
American UniversityUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#366
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H14/11
NCAA
NJIT
#349
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H17/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
L
83-88 OT
83
88
-5
A19/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#274
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H22/11
NCAA
Hood
#480
W
103-74
103
74
+29
H26/11
NCAA
Harvard
#188
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A30/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H02/12
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
L
53-69
53
69
-16
A07/12
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A09/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
55-77
55
77
-22
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
35-27
43-31
45-39
42-34
34-35
42-41
33-39
35-26
40-42
63-32
31-42
44-38
40-29
33-46
18-30
35-39
36-30
41-39
29-37
26-40
148.0Avg total
75.2Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)72.674.4147.0-1.842%
Season at home (5)81.869.0150.8+12.880%
Season away (7)66.078.3144.3-12.314%
Last 10 (10)75.272.8148.0+2.450%
Last 5 (5)66.674.0140.6-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)59.667.3126.9-7.743%
vs Similar ◀ (16)64.171.9136.1-7.825%
vs Weaker (6)77.372.8150.2+4.550%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.1-6.11st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: +3.8+3.8
UMBC RetrieversAmerican University
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Maryland
#354
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H19/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
24-57
24
57
-33
A22/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#326
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A25/11
NCAA
Hampton
#340
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A01/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H02/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/12
NCAA
St. Peters
#152
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A13/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A21/12
NCAA
75.7Avg total
34.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.636.771.2-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.135.672.7+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)32.437.669.9-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)34.840.975.7-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.677.8-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.441.473.9-9.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.437.073.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker (10)34.933.368.2+1.640%-
This opponent (American University) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
American UniversityLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#366
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H14/11
NCAA
NJIT
#349
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H17/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A19/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#274
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H22/11
NCAA
Hood
#480
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H26/11
NCAA
Harvard
#188
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A30/11
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#344
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H02/12
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
L
18-30
18
30
-12
A07/12
NCAA
VMI
#365
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A09/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A21/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
34.1Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.133.463.6-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.833.866.6-1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)27.833.160.9-5.319%-
Last 10 (10)34.135.069.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)30.833.664.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.932.662.4-2.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)27.133.760.8-6.619%-
vs Weaker (6)37.032.369.3+4.767%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UMBC Retrievers wins
1
American University wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23AIowa81-103
13/12/23ASt. Peters60-66
09/12/23HTowson73-89
06/12/23AMorgan State80-92
02/12/23HLehigh92-87
01/12/23ACoppin State70-89
28/11/23AHampton80-76
25/11/23AWilliam & Mary81-96
22/11/23AMaryland68-92
19/11/23HLoyola Maryland94-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/23AVirginia Tech55-77
09/12/23AVMI77-69
07/12/23ASaint Josephs Hawks53-69
02/12/23HSt. Francis (PA)73-75
30/11/23AHarvard75-80
26/11/23HHood103-74
22/11/23HMount St. Mary's68-65
19/11/23AGeorgetown83-88 OT
17/11/23HNJIT87-73
14/11/23HSiena78-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %36%67%12%
Points / game78.681.276.6
Allowed / game83.877.588.5
Point differential-5.2+3.7-11.9
Avg total162.4158.7165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
American University
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL42%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %42%80%14%
Points / game72.681.866.0
Allowed / game74.469.078.3
Point differential-1.8+12.8-12.3
Avg total147.0150.8144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell128467%77.866.2+11.6
2 Vermont149564%73.464.6+8.8
3 New Hampshire85362%80.972.9+8.0
4 Binghamton127558%73.172.5+0.6
5 Bryant University148657%79.675.4+4.3
6 Albany74357%76.675.7+0.9
7 Maine Black Bears157847%67.967.2+0.7
8 UMBC Retrievers145936%78.683.8-5.2
9 NJIT113827%72.477.8-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colgate126650%69.766.5+3.2
2 American University125742%72.674.4-1.8
3 Boston University124833%65.466.6-1.2
4 Navy103730%67.363.1+4.2
5 Army123925%61.864.5-2.7
6 Bucknell123925%62.272.2-10.0
7 Holy Cross1331023%66.277.2-11.1
8 Lehigh102820%74.975.1-0.2
9 Loyola Maryland1321115%66.474.8-8.4
10 Lafayette121118%60.772.5-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers315485
American University474087
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