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UMBC Retrievers vs Towson Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-89
38-46 35-43
Position#312
Record5-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Towson 🏆
USA
Position#135
Record4-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game59.8
Allowed / game64.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v Towson
09 Dec 2023
UMBC73
TOWS89
05 Dec 2020
UMBC v TOWS
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Towson winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marist
#143
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H11/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#416
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H14/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H17/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#354
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H19/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A22/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#326
L
81-96
81
96
-15
A25/11
NCAA
Hampton
#340
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A28/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A01/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H02/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-36
37-29
32-24
52-41
44-35
41-45
35-37
59-42
24-57
44-35
42-41
39-55
26-32
54-44
35-39
35-50
45-40
47-47
36-41
44-51
161.4Avg total
79.3Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.583.2163.7-2.645%
Season at home (5)82.875.2158.0+7.680%
Season away (6)78.789.8168.5-11.217%
Last 10 (10)79.382.1161.4-2.850%
Last 5 (5)80.688.0168.6-7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)69.176.3145.4-7.222%
vs Similar (9)77.681.8159.3-4.256%
vs Weaker (11)77.473.5150.9+3.855%
This opponent (Towson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TowsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#8
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A07/03
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A07/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
W
70-49
70
49
+21
A10/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#323
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
49-65
49
65
-16
H16/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A18/11
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
39-65
39
65
-26
H19/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H26/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H02/12
NCAA
UMass
#87
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
34-44
24-28
33-47
35-24
35-25
35-31
31-31
17-37
32-28
33-35
28-36
18-40
21-25
41-29
26-29
17-27
31-34
36-27
45-44
126.4Avg total
61.0Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)59.864.1123.9-4.344%
Season at home (6)58.363.7122.0-5.350%
Season away (3)62.765.0127.7-2.333%
Last 10 (10)61.065.4126.4-4.440%
Last 5 (5)59.265.2124.4-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.370.7139.0-2.317%
vs Similar (9)59.166.2125.3-7.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)75.163.7138.8+11.387%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -2.7-2.7
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -4.1-4.11st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +1.3+1.32nd half: -2.7-2.7
UMBC RetrieversTowson
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marist
#143
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H11/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#416
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H14/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H17/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#354
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H19/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
24-57
24
57
-33
A22/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#326
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A25/11
NCAA
Hampton
#340
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A01/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H02/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/12
NCAA
72.3Avg total
34.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.436.070.4-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.834.771.5+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)32.137.269.3-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)34.138.272.3-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.838.675.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)31.038.469.4-7.433%-
vs Similar (9)37.038.275.2-1.244%-
vs Weaker (11)35.433.268.5+2.245%-
This opponent (Towson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TowsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A07/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A10/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#323
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H13/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
17-37
17
37
-20
H16/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A18/11
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
18-40
18
40
-22
H19/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H26/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
L
17-27
17
27
-10
H02/12
NCAA
UMass
#87
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H07/12
NCAA
60.5Avg total
29.4Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.230.763.9+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.730.063.7+3.775%-
Last 30 away (14)32.631.664.1+1.057%-
Last 10 (10)29.431.160.5-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)29.031.660.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.331.762.0-1.367%-
vs Similar (9)26.631.858.3-5.222%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.329.768.0+8.593%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMBC Retrievers wins
1
Towson wins
DateGameScore
11/12/19Towson v UMBC Retrievers77-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23AMorgan State80-92
02/12/23HLehigh92-87
01/12/23ACoppin State70-89
28/11/23AHampton80-76
25/11/23AWilliam & Mary81-96
22/11/23AMaryland68-92
19/11/23HLoyola Maryland94-79
17/11/23HSacred Heart85-80
14/11/23HPenn State-York84-65
11/11/23HMarist59-65
Towsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23HUMass81-71
02/12/23HSouth Dakota St.48-61
26/11/23HMorgan State67-58
19/11/23HNorth Texas39-65
18/11/23AWake Forest61-71
16/11/23HHouston49-65
13/11/23HRobert Morris66-62
10/11/23ACoppin State70-49
07/11/23AColorado57-75
07/03/23ACharleston72-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL45%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%80%17%
Points / game80.582.878.7
Allowed / game83.275.289.8
Point differential-2.6+7.6-11.2
Avg total163.7158.0168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Towson
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW44%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %44%50%33%
Points / game59.858.362.7
Allowed / game64.163.765.0
Point differential-4.3-5.3-2.3
Avg total123.9122.0127.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont108280%75.062.4+12.6
2 UMass Lowell96367%81.267.8+13.4
3 New Hampshire85362%80.972.9+8.0
4 Bryant University106460%78.270.5+7.7
5 Albany74357%76.675.7+0.9
6 Binghamton95456%72.070.2+1.8
7 Maine Black Bears116555%69.365.1+4.2
8 UMBC Retrievers115645%80.583.2-2.6
9 NJIT82625%66.179.1-13.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hofstra86275%82.068.6+13.4
2 NC Wilmington86275%82.572.6+9.9
3 Elon95456%82.877.6+5.2
4 Drexel95456%64.861.8+3.0
5 Charleston84450%72.675.8-3.1
6 Towson94544%59.864.1-4.3
7 Monmouth94544%69.877.0-7.2
8 William & Mary104640%77.376.4+0.9
9 Northeastern104640%74.275.7-1.5
10 Hampton83538%82.576.9+5.6
11 Stony Brook83538%69.669.9-0.2
12 Campbell93633%60.763.3-2.7
13 N. Carolina A&T8080%67.589.9-22.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers383573
Towson464389
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