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Morgan State vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 92-80
41-36 51-44
Position#308
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#312
Record5-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game82.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Morgan State v UMBC Retrievers
11 Nov 2025
MORG79
UMBC81
06 Dec 2023
MORG92
UMBC80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morgan State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morgan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#31
L
59-122
59
122
-63
A07/11
NCAA
Cheyney Wolves
#623
W
100-52
100
52
+48
H09/11
NCAA
Penn State Wilkes-Barre
#513
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H12/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A16/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
50-93
50
93
-43
A19/11
NCAA
Radford
#220
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A21/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A22/11
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A26/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A30/11
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
54-88
54
88
-34
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-61
33-61
42-34
58-18
36-29
42-31
26-43
42-44
29-42
21-51
29-37
43-45
39-45
44-39
29-41
29-26
25-39
34-38
38-37
16-51
149.3Avg total
68.1Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)68.181.2149.3-13.120%
Season at home (3)77.366.7144.0+10.767%
Season away (7)64.187.4151.6-23.30%
Last 10 (10)68.181.2149.3-13.120%
Last 5 (5)65.279.6144.8-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)62.583.7146.3-21.218%
vs Similar ◀ (7)69.378.3147.6-9.029%
vs Weaker (11)76.469.0145.4+7.473%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A07/11
NCAA
Marist
#143
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H11/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#416
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H14/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H17/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#354
W
94-79
94
79
+15
H19/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A22/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#326
L
81-96
81
96
-15
A25/11
NCAA
Hampton
#340
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A28/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A01/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
48-40
45-54
22-36
37-29
32-24
52-41
44-35
41-45
35-37
59-42
24-57
44-35
42-41
39-55
26-32
54-44
35-39
35-50
45-40
47-47
162.9Avg total
80.6Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.682.3162.9-1.750%
Season at home (5)82.875.2158.0+7.680%
Season away (5)78.489.4167.8-11.020%
Last 10 (10)80.682.3162.9-1.750%
Last 5 (5)78.288.0166.2-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.176.3145.4-7.222%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.280.5157.8-3.262%
vs Weaker (12)77.472.6150.0+4.858%
This opponent (Morgan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -8.9-8.91st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: +1.1+1.1
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -8.9-8.91st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: -4.2-4.22nd half: +1.1+1.1
Morgan StateUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morgan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona
#31
L
26-61
26
61
-35
A07/11
NCAA
Cheyney Wolves
#623
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H09/11
NCAA
Penn State Wilkes-Barre
#513
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H12/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A16/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A19/11
NCAA
Radford
#220
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A21/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#286
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/11
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/11
NCAA
High Point
#29
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A30/11
NCAA
Longwood
#129
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H03/12
NCAA
72.7Avg total
31.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.636.870.4-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.733.070.7+4.767%-
Last 30 away (18)30.839.370.2-8.522%-
Last 10 (10)31.940.872.7-8.930%-
Last 5 (5)32.039.871.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.639.368.9-9.618%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.339.973.1-6.614%-
vs Weaker (11)36.932.669.5+4.373%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#348
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/11
NCAA
Marist
#143
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H11/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#416
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H14/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#202
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H17/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#354
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H19/11
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
24-57
24
57
-33
A22/11
NCAA
William & Mary
#326
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A25/11
NCAA
Hampton
#340
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A01/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H02/12
NCAA
73.4Avg total
35.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.735.670.3-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.234.571.7+2.762%-
Last 30 away (14)31.836.968.7-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)35.338.173.4-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.441.876.2-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)31.038.469.4-7.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.137.975.0-0.850%-
vs Weaker (12)36.033.069.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Morgan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Morgan State wins
1
UMBC Retrievers wins
DateGameScore
10/12/22UMBC Retrievers v Morgan State75-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HLongwood54-88
30/11/23AHigh Point59-77
26/11/23ATowson58-67
22/11/23AChicago State83-84
21/11/23ARadford72-82
19/11/23ABrigham Young50-93
16/11/23AFresno State68-87
12/11/23HPenn State Wilkes-Barre78-60
09/11/23HCheyney Wolves100-52
07/11/23AArizona59-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23HLehigh92-87
01/12/23ACoppin State70-89
28/11/23AHampton80-76
25/11/23AWilliam & Mary81-96
22/11/23AMaryland68-92
19/11/23HLoyola Maryland94-79
17/11/23HSacred Heart85-80
14/11/23HPenn State-York84-65
11/11/23HMarist59-65
07/11/23ALouisville93-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morgan State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %20%67%0%
Points / game68.177.364.1
Allowed / game81.266.787.4
Point differential-13.1+10.7-23.3
Avg total149.3144.0151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game80.682.878.4
Allowed / game82.375.289.4
Point differential-1.7+7.6-11.0
Avg total162.9158.0167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norfolk State96367%75.466.8+8.7
2 Delaware State115645%73.574.5-0.9
3 N. Carolina Central104640%73.470.2+3.2
4 Howard72529%76.080.9-4.9
5 Md.-East. Shore72529%65.978.1-12.3
6 South Carolina St92722%69.081.7-12.7
7 Morgan State102820%68.181.2-13.1
8 Coppin State91811%55.872.8-17.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont97278%75.261.4+13.8
2 UMass Lowell86275%81.864.9+16.9
3 New Hampshire85362%80.972.9+8.0
4 Albany74357%76.675.7+0.9
5 Bryant University95456%79.472.7+6.8
6 Binghamton95456%72.070.2+1.8
7 Maine Black Bears105550%68.865.1+3.7
8 UMBC Retrievers105550%80.682.3-1.7
9 NJIT71614%64.179.4-15.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morgan State415192
UMBC Retrievers364480
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