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UMBC Retrievers vs Stony Brook Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 75-67
36-35 39-32
Position#244
Record10-15
FormWWWLL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game68.1
vs
Position#120
Record15-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v Stony Brook
16 Feb 2022
UMBC95
STON84
03 Mar 2020
UMBC75
STON67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stony Brook winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Albany
#247
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H30/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A02/02
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H06/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#240
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A08/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Albany
#247
W
69-50
69
50
+19
A21/02
NCAA
Vermont
#17
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A23/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#293
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
L
48-74
48
74
-26
A29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-31
35-22
23-27
40-40
25-30
38-44
28-24
42-35
25-27
35-23
37-24
28-35
35-22
34-28
36-33
30-31
36-34
38-42
24-35
24-39
126.7Avg total
64.1Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)65.868.1133.9-2.340%
Season at home (12)68.666.1134.7+2.550%
Season away (13)63.270.0133.2-6.831%
Last 10 (10)64.162.6126.7+1.560%
Last 5 (5)64.464.6129.0-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)65.972.8138.7-6.922%
vs Similar (16)67.666.8134.4+0.950%
vs Weaker (3)66.068.7134.7-2.767%
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stony BrookUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#293
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H23/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#240
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A30/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#244
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H02/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#240
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H06/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A08/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#293
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A13/02
NCAA
Vermont
#17
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H21/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H23/02
NCAA
Hartford
#189
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H27/02
NCAA
Albany
#247
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
35-40
44-43
39-36
45-40
30-25
44-38
34-30
43-40
14-35
50-46
34-31
41-39
27-31
27-32
26-22
28-24
26-38
28-27
22-23
30-26
133.3Avg total
66.7Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)69.366.2135.6+3.162%
Season at home (11)69.161.4130.5+7.773%
Season away (13)69.570.4139.9-0.854%
Last 10 (10)66.766.6133.3+0.160%
Last 5 (5)57.858.6116.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.271.5136.8-6.225%
vs Similar (10)67.667.7135.3-0.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)71.863.8135.6+8.091%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +2.5+2.5
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +2.5+2.5
UMBC RetrieversStony Brook
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#307
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Albany
#247
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H30/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A02/02
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H06/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#240
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A08/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H15/02
NCAA
Albany
#247
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A21/02
NCAA
Vermont
#17
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A23/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#293
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H27/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A29/02
NCAA
58.4Avg total
29.7Scored
28.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)31.531.763.2-0.248%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.229.864.1+4.469%-
Last 30 away (13)28.234.162.2-5.923%-
Last 10 (10)29.728.758.4+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)33.629.663.2+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.034.366.3-2.344%-
vs Similar (16)30.129.159.2+1.050%-
vs Weaker (3)32.734.767.3-2.033%-
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stony BrookLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#293
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H23/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#240
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A30/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#244
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H02/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#240
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H06/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
L
14-35
14
35
-21
A08/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#293
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A13/02
NCAA
Vermont
#17
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H21/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H23/02
NCAA
Hartford
#189
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H27/02
NCAA
Albany
#247
L
22-23
22
23
-1
A01/03
NCAA
59.8Avg total
28.7Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.131.062.1+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (11)31.527.558.9+4.073%-
Last 30 away (19)30.933.164.0-2.237%-
Last 10 (10)28.731.159.8-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)27.029.056.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.236.870.0-3.50%-
vs Similar (10)26.032.058.0-6.030%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)32.828.761.5+4.182%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMBC Retrievers wins
1
Stony Brook wins
DateGameScore
02/02/20Stony Brook v UMBC Retrievers74-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20AMaine Black Bears48-74
27/02/20HBinghamton74-76
23/02/20AVermont66-64
21/02/20AAlbany69-50
15/02/20HNew Hampshire65-59
08/02/20AUMass Lowell60-50
06/02/20HHartford70-59
02/02/20AStony Brook63-74
30/01/20HAlbany63-67
25/01/20HMaine Black Bears63-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/20AAlbany52-49
27/02/20HHartford54-65
23/02/20HMaine Black Bears54-46
21/02/20HVermont54-63
13/02/20ABinghamton75-70
08/02/20ANew Hampshire64-81
06/02/20HUMass Lowell77-70
02/02/20HUMBC Retrievers74-63
30/01/20AUMass Lowell84-76
23/01/20HBinghamton79-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL40%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLWWWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%50%31%
Points / game65.868.663.2
Allowed / game68.166.170.0
Point differential-2.3+2.5-6.8
Avg total133.9134.7133.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Stony Brook
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWWLWL73%
AwayLWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %62%73%54%
Points / game69.369.169.5
Allowed / game66.261.470.4
Point differential+3.1+7.7-0.8
Avg total135.6130.5139.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%45%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)0% (1)71% (7)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont2519676%72.859.2+13.6
2 New Hampshire23121152%67.966.1+1.8
3 Albany26121446%65.868.8-3.0
4 Bryant University24111346%68.968.8+0.2
5 UMass Lowell23101343%75.878.1-2.3
6 UMBC Retrievers25101540%65.868.1-2.3
7 Binghamton2481633%70.375.6-5.3
8 NJIT2471729%63.067.3-4.3
9 Maine Black Bears2571828%61.568.4-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hofstra2721678%75.768.6+7.0
2 Monmouth2416867%73.668.9+4.8
3 Towson2617965%69.766.8+2.8
4 William & Mary2617965%71.169.0+2.0
5 Stony Brook2415962%69.366.2+3.1
6 N. Carolina A&T25151060%74.270.4+3.8
7 Charleston26141254%70.067.5+2.5
8 Northeastern25121348%70.066.1+3.8
9 Campbell26121446%66.366.1+0.2
10 Drexel25101540%68.670.9-2.3
11 Hampton28111739%76.181.9-5.8
12 Elon2691735%69.673.0-3.5
13 NC Wilmington2671927%66.371.2-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers363975
Stony Brook353267
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