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Albany vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 50-69
22-35 28-34
Position#247
Record12-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game68.7
vs
Position#244
Record8-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game66.1
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Albany v UMBC Retrievers
15 Feb 2023
ALBA81
UMBC74
02 Feb 2022
ALBA53
UMBC59
20 Dec 2020
ALBA60
UMBC65
19 Dec 2020
ALBA64
UMBC65
20 Feb 2020
ALBA50
UMBC69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Albany winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlbanyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H11/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
W
76-73 OT
76
73
+3
A16/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A19/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#240
W
101-75
101
75
+26
H23/01
NCAA
Hartford
#189
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H25/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#244
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A30/01
NCAA
Vermont
#17
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H02/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#293
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H06/02
NCAA
Hartford
#189
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A13/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-32
40-38
41-35
25-31
27-30
35-40
42-33
59-42
27-31
21-31
27-23
40-40
45-47
30-39
33-21
29-28
25-22
35-44
36-34
30-26
136.7Avg total
69.3Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)67.568.7136.3-1.255%
Season at home (9)70.968.0138.9+2.967%
Season away (13)65.269.2134.5-4.046%
Last 10 (10)69.367.4136.7+1.960%
Last 5 (5)66.064.8130.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.572.0138.5-5.538%
vs Similar ◀ (13)69.566.5135.9+3.069%
vs Weaker (1)51.072.0123.0-21.00%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#293
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A09/01
NCAA
Vermont
#17
L
50-74
50
74
-24
H11/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A18/01
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A23/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Albany
#247
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H30/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A02/02
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H06/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#240
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A08/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H15/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-39
43-40
29-35
21-39
16-28
44-37
31-34
38-26
28-31
35-22
23-27
40-40
25-30
38-44
28-24
42-35
25-27
35-23
37-24
28-35
127.8Avg total
63.8Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)66.168.5134.6-2.438%
Season at home (11)68.165.2133.3+2.955%
Season away (10)63.972.2136.1-8.320%
Last 10 (10)63.864.0127.8-0.250%
Last 5 (5)64.261.8126.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.973.9139.8-8.012%
vs Similar ◀ (14)67.167.3134.4-0.250%
vs Weaker (2)75.066.0141.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Albany) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +2.3+2.3
AlbanyUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlbanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H11/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A16/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A19/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#240
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H23/01
NCAA
Hartford
#189
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H25/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#244
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A30/01
NCAA
Vermont
#17
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H02/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#293
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A13/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A16/02
NCAA
64.7Avg total
33.9Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)31.831.463.2+0.464%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.233.566.7-0.455%-
Last 30 away (14)30.629.760.4+0.971%-
Last 10 (10)33.930.864.7+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)33.229.462.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.935.067.9-2.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.829.361.2+2.577%-
vs Weaker (1)31.030.061.0+1.0100%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Binghamton
#293
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A09/01
NCAA
Vermont
#17
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H11/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
L
16-28
16
28
-12
A18/01
NCAA
Hartford
#189
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A23/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#307
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Albany
#247
L
23-27
23
27
-4
H30/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#120
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A02/02
NCAA
Hartford
#189
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H06/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#240
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A08/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#218
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H15/02
NCAA
57.3Avg total
27.4Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)31.331.863.2-0.544%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.129.563.7+4.667%-
Last 30 away (10)27.135.362.4-8.210%-
Last 10 (10)27.429.957.3-2.520%-
Last 5 (5)27.626.454.0+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.534.566.0-3.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)29.429.358.6+0.143%-
vs Weaker (2)37.034.571.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Albany) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Albany wins
0
UMBC Retrievers wins
DateGameScore
30/01/20UMBC Retrievers v Albany63-67
Albanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/20AMaine Black Bears66-60
13/02/20AHartford60-66
06/02/20HBinghamton62-49
02/02/20HVermont75-86
30/01/20AUMBC Retrievers67-63
25/01/20HHartford48-62
23/01/20HUMass Lowell101-75
19/01/20AStony Brook62-70
16/01/20ANew Hampshire76-73 OT
11/01/20HMaine Black Bears76-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/20HNew Hampshire65-59
08/02/20AUMass Lowell60-50
06/02/20HHartford70-59
02/02/20AStony Brook63-74
30/01/20HAlbany63-67
25/01/20HMaine Black Bears63-53
23/01/20AHartford69-60
18/01/20ANew Hampshire60-65
11/01/20HVermont50-74
09/01/20ABinghamton75-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Albany
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWLWLW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %55%67%46%
Points / game67.570.965.2
Allowed / game68.768.069.2
Point differential-1.2+2.9-4.0
Avg total136.3138.9134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%22%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)100% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %5%0%8%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW38%
HomeLWLWW55%
AwayLLWLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%55%20%
Points / game66.168.163.9
Allowed / game68.565.272.2
Point differential-2.4+2.9-8.3
Avg total134.6133.3136.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont2217577%72.758.3+14.4
2 Albany22121055%67.568.7-1.2
3 Bryant University2091145%67.268.0-0.8
4 UMass Lowell2091145%74.877.3-2.6
5 New Hampshire1981142%66.466.4-0.1
6 UMBC Retrievers2181338%66.168.5-2.4
7 Binghamton2061430%69.074.7-5.6
8 Maine Black Bears2261627%61.369.5-8.3
9 NJIT2051525%62.668.2-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Albany222850
UMBC Retrievers353469
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