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UMBC Retrievers vs Stony Brook Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 95-84
49-44 46-40
Position#158
Record12-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#142
Record15-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game73.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v Stony Brook
16 Feb 2022
UMBC95
STON84
03 Mar 2020
UMBC75
STON67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stony Brook winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#142
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A17/01
NCAA
Albany
#260
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H20/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#347
W
88-46
88
46
+42
A22/01
NCAA
NJIT
#277
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A29/01
NCAA
Albany
#260
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A03/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#177
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H06/02
NCAA
Hartford
#279
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H10/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
L
71-88
71
88
-17
A12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#177
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-29
25-36
28-30
26-36
45-20
43-26
34-38
39-31
38-39
32-29
26-32
33-21
51-33
37-44
22-31
46-33
39-36
32-52
36-35
26-33
134.8Avg total
68.4Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.969.9141.8+2.050%
Season at home (11)76.367.2143.5+9.164%
Season away (13)68.272.2140.5-4.038%
Last 10 (10)68.466.4134.8+2.060%
Last 5 (5)69.670.0139.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.678.4146.0-10.820%
vs Similar ◀ (10)64.570.5135.0-6.030%
vs Weaker (14)77.066.6143.6+10.479%
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stony BrookUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMBC Retrievers
#158
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H17/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A20/01
NCAA
Albany
#260
W
86-75
86
75
+11
A23/01
NCAA
Vermont
#10
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H27/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#177
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A28/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
L
61-77
61
77
-16
H03/02
NCAA
NJIT
#277
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A06/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#177
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H08/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H10/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#347
W
85-74
85
74
+11
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-26
36-25
38-32
36-39
40-35
46-40
31-34
36-46
40-24
36-45
29-40
32-37
37-38
25-27
29-34
36-33
38-38
49-47
46-40
39-34
144.2Avg total
72.8Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)72.673.2145.9-0.660%
Season at home (14)73.769.0142.7+4.771%
Season away (11)71.378.6149.9-7.445%
Last 10 (10)72.871.4144.2+1.460%
Last 5 (5)72.073.6145.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)68.578.7147.2-10.336%
vs Similar ◀ (13)69.068.8137.8+0.254%
vs Weaker (5)78.867.0145.8+11.880%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: -0.2-0.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: -0.2-0.2
UMBC RetrieversStony Brook
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stony Brook
#142
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Albany
#260
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H20/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#347
W
45-20
45
20
+25
A22/01
NCAA
NJIT
#277
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H27/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/01
NCAA
Albany
#260
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A03/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#177
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H06/02
NCAA
Hartford
#279
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H10/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A12/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#177
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
34.5Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.832.668.4+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.831.668.4+5.157%-
Last 30 away (16)34.933.468.3+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)34.532.366.8+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.833.468.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.238.470.6-6.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.132.265.3+0.950%-
vs Weaker (14)38.831.169.9+7.771%-
This opponent (Stony Brook) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stony BrookLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMBC Retrievers
#158
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A20/01
NCAA
Albany
#260
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A23/01
NCAA
Vermont
#10
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H27/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#177
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A28/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H03/02
NCAA
NJIT
#277
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A06/02
NCAA
New Hampshire
#177
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H08/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/02
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#347
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A13/02
NCAA
69.8Avg total
35.7Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.633.469.0+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.131.967.9+4.250%-
Last 30 away (16)35.234.769.9+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)35.734.169.8+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.838.073.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.637.168.7-5.59%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)35.231.666.8+3.569%-
vs Weaker (5)43.632.275.8+11.480%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UMBC Retrievers wins
2
Stony Brook wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/22ANew Hampshire62-68
12/02/22AUMass Lowell71-88
10/02/22HHartford68-64
06/02/22HNew Hampshire88-77
03/02/22AAlbany59-53
29/01/22ABinghamton70-68
27/01/22HNJIT73-69
22/01/22AMaine Black Bears88-46
20/01/22HAlbany54-66
17/01/22AStony Brook51-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/22AMaine Black Bears85-74
10/02/22HUMass Lowell87-85
08/02/22HNew Hampshire65-67
06/02/22ANJIT62-65
03/02/22HBinghamton61-77
28/01/22ANew Hampshire76-69
27/01/22HVermont67-80
23/01/22AAlbany86-75
20/01/22ABinghamton74-71
17/01/22HUMBC Retrievers65-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeLLWWW64%
AwayWWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %50%64%38%
Points / game71.976.368.2
Allowed / game69.967.272.2
Point differential+2.0+9.1-4.0
Avg total141.8143.5140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stony Brook
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW60%
HomeWLLLW71%
AwayWWWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %60%71%45%
Points / game72.673.771.3
Allowed / game73.269.078.6
Point differential-0.6+4.7-7.4
Avg total145.9142.7149.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%36%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont2520580%74.462.8+11.5
2 Bryant University2415962%77.474.6+2.8
3 New Hampshire22121055%69.565.5+4.0
4 UMass Lowell24131154%72.065.0+7.0
5 UMBC Retrievers24121250%71.969.9+2.0
6 Binghamton22101245%69.368.1+1.2
7 NJIT23101343%63.667.8-4.2
8 Albany25101540%62.165.9-3.8
9 Maine Black Bears2451921%61.670.3-8.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Towson2619773%72.464.2+8.3
2 NC Wilmington2518772%71.668.8+2.8
3 Hofstra2718967%78.371.7+6.6
4 Monmouth2516964%70.068.0+2.0
5 Stony Brook25151060%72.673.2-0.6
6 Campbell24141058%66.961.7+5.2
7 Charleston24141058%77.875.9+1.9
8 Drexel24121250%73.871.1+2.6
9 N. Carolina A&T26111542%68.069.3-1.3
10 Hampton2371630%62.067.4-5.3
11 Elon2781930%67.473.5-6.1
12 Northeastern2571828%64.170.3-6.2
13 William & Mary2752219%65.274.9-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers494695
Stony Brook444084
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