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Albany vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 53-59
32-26 21-33
Position#260
Record9-12
FormWLWWL
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game66.1
vs
Position#158
Record9-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Albany v UMBC Retrievers
15 Feb 2023
ALBA81
UMBC74
02 Feb 2022
ALBA53
UMBC59
20 Dec 2020
ALBA60
UMBC65
19 Dec 2020
ALBA64
UMBC65
20 Feb 2020
ALBA50
UMBC69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Albany winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlbanyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lehigh
#266
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A22/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H07/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#177
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A08/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H13/01
NCAA
NJIT
#277
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H15/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#158
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A20/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#142
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H23/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
64-62 OT
64
62
+2
A27/01
NCAA
NJIT
#277
W
64-53
64
53
+11
A30/01
NCAA
Vermont
#10
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-12
32-40
40-46
39-42
28-38
34-26
21-20
36-27
31-18
40-38
30-28
36-26
35-40
40-46
19-20
35-34
34-19
30-34
29-34
32-39
130.2Avg total
66.7Scored
63.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)62.066.1128.1-4.043%
Season at home (7)64.467.6132.0-3.143%
Season away (14)60.965.4126.2-4.543%
Last 10 (10)66.763.5130.2+3.260%
Last 5 (5)66.065.6131.6+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)58.167.3125.4-9.225%
vs Similar (14)69.167.4136.5+1.850%
vs Weaker (4)70.864.5135.2+6.2100%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Princeton
#19
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A13/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
L
51-62
51
62
-11
H17/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H08/01
NCAA
NJIT
#277
W
76-56
76
56
+20
A13/01
NCAA
Vermont
#10
L
69-86
69
86
-17
H15/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#142
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A17/01
NCAA
Albany
#260
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H20/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#347
W
88-46
88
46
+42
A22/01
NCAA
NJIT
#277
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A29/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-43
38-46
28-29
23-33
35-27
29-39
35-22
41-34
33-50
36-36
26-29
25-36
28-30
26-36
45-20
43-26
34-38
39-31
38-39
32-29
134.6Avg total
67.3Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.569.9142.4+2.647%
Season at home (9)75.966.4142.3+9.456%
Season away (10)69.573.0142.5-3.540%
Last 10 (10)67.367.3134.6+0.040%
Last 5 (5)67.262.8130.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.678.4146.0-10.820%
vs Similar (8)59.565.9125.4-6.425%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)76.366.8143.1+9.675%
This opponent (Albany) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.8+2.81st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +0.2+0.22nd half: -1.4-1.4
AlbanyUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
AlbanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lehigh
#266
W
36-12
36
12
+24
A22/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H07/01
NCAA
New Hampshire
#177
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A08/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
21-20
21
20
+1
H13/01
NCAA
NJIT
#277
W
31-18
31
18
+13
H15/01
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#158
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A20/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#142
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H23/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
L
19-20
19
20
-1
A27/01
NCAA
NJIT
#277
W
34-19
34
19
+15
A30/01
NCAA
Vermont
#10
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A01/02
NCAA
57.8Avg total
30.3Scored
27.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.230.060.1+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.230.762.9+1.546%-
Last 30 away (17)28.629.458.0-0.835%-
Last 10 (10)30.327.557.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)29.428.257.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)25.430.656.0-5.217%-
vs Similar (14)32.730.162.8+2.643%-
vs Weaker (4)35.527.863.2+7.8100%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Princeton
#19
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A13/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#167
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H17/12
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H08/01
NCAA
NJIT
#277
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A13/01
NCAA
Vermont
#10
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H15/01
NCAA
Stony Brook
#142
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A17/01
NCAA
Albany
#260
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H20/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#347
W
45-20
45
20
+25
A22/01
NCAA
NJIT
#277
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H27/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#261
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/01
NCAA
66.8Avg total
34.1Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.432.067.4+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.631.266.8+4.450%-
Last 30 away (16)35.232.767.9+2.556%-
Last 10 (10)34.132.766.8+1.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.231.265.4+3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.238.470.6-6.220%-
vs Similar (8)29.930.660.5-0.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.930.969.8+8.175%-
This opponent (Albany) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Albany wins
3
UMBC Retrievers wins
Albanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/22AVermont61-73
30/01/22ANJIT64-53
27/01/22AUMass Lowell64-62 OT
23/01/22HStony Brook75-86
20/01/22AUMBC Retrievers66-54
15/01/22HNJIT71-56
13/01/22HUMass Lowell57-47
08/01/22ANew Hampshire62-64
07/01/22HBinghamton79-88
22/12/21ALehigh68-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/22ABinghamton70-68
27/01/22HNJIT73-69
22/01/22AMaine Black Bears88-46
20/01/22HAlbany54-66
17/01/22AStony Brook51-65
15/01/22HVermont69-86
13/01/22ANJIT76-56
08/01/22HUMass Lowell64-66
17/12/21HNC Greensboro51-62
13/12/21APrinceton77-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Albany
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL43%
HomeWLWWL43%
AwayLWWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21714
Win %43%43%43%
Points / game62.064.460.9
Allowed / game66.167.665.4
Point differential-4.0-3.1-4.5
Avg total128.1132.0126.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%29%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %5%0%7%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW47%
HomeLLLLW56%
AwayLWLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%56%40%
Points / game72.575.969.5
Allowed / game69.966.473.0
Point differential+2.6+9.4-3.5
Avg total142.4142.3142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont2016480%73.062.4+10.6
2 Bryant University2012860%76.073.2+2.9
3 UMass Lowell1910953%70.663.2+7.4
4 New Hampshire168850%70.165.1+5.0
5 UMBC Retrievers1991047%72.569.9+2.6
6 Binghamton1881044%70.468.1+2.3
7 Albany2191243%62.066.1-4.0
8 NJIT1981142%64.367.7-3.5
9 Maine Black Bears2041620%61.070.4-9.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Albany322153
UMBC Retrievers263359
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