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UMBC Retrievers vs William & Mary Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-62
43-31 35-31
Position#153
Record8-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#280
Record4-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game68.6
Allowed / game68.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
William & Mary winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Princeton
#52
L
64-94
64
94
-30
H14/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H18/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#326
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H20/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A23/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#344
W
109-82
109
82
+27
H01/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#170
W
88-62
88
62
+26
A03/12
NCAA
Columbia
#351
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A07/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#223
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H10/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#281
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-41
37-53
23-24
48-39
34-35
44-41
32-35
40-41
42-42
28-37
65-36
44-46
48-21
40-41
36-36
37-30
36-20
39-43
36-36
36-33
150.2Avg total
77.2Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.673.7151.2+3.967%
Season at home (6)81.573.8155.3+7.783%
Season away (6)73.773.5147.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)77.273.0150.2+4.270%
Last 5 (5)83.468.4151.8+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.584.5144.0-25.00%
vs Similar (14)77.073.3150.3+3.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)76.468.0144.4+8.482%
This opponent (William & Mary) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
William & MaryUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mid-Atlantic
#658
W
116-40
116
40
+76
H11/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
77-94
77
94
-17
A13/11
NCAA
American University
#181
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A17/11
NCAA
Army
#194
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Radford
#137
W
62-51
62
51
+11
H23/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
64-80
64
80
-16
A26/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A30/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A08/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
54-27
62-13
35-57
42-37
37-38
27-33
36-38
40-29
30-26
32-25
37-33
27-47
28-43
36-42
38-21
20-36
24-26
38-46
35-28
18-39
138.0Avg total
69.6Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)68.668.9137.5-0.336%
Season at home (6)70.759.3130.0+11.367%
Season away (5)66.280.4146.6-14.20%
Last 10 (10)69.668.4138.0+1.240%
Last 5 (5)60.272.2132.4-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)65.174.3139.4-9.126%
vs Similar (2)63.071.5134.5-8.50%
vs Weaker (1)116.040.0156.0+76.0100%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -0.5-0.5
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: -0.5-0.5
UMBC RetrieversWilliam & Mary
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Princeton
#52
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H14/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H18/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#326
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H20/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A23/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#344
W
65-36
65
36
+29
H01/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#170
W
48-21
48
21
+27
A03/12
NCAA
Columbia
#351
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A07/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#223
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H10/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#281
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A14/12
NCAA
70.5Avg total
37.9Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.933.970.8+2.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.932.871.7+6.153%-
Last 30 away (15)34.835.169.9-0.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.932.670.5+5.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.229.874.0+14.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.539.866.2-13.20%-
vs Similar (14)38.534.172.6+4.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.332.570.7+5.827%-
This opponent (William & Mary) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
William & MaryLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mid-Atlantic
#658
W
54-27
54
27
+27
H11/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A13/11
NCAA
American University
#181
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A17/11
NCAA
Army
#194
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H19/11
NCAA
Radford
#137
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H23/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A26/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A30/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H04/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A08/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H10/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
35.4Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.134.166.2-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.531.464.9+2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)30.637.167.6-6.529%-
Last 10 (10)35.433.769.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.430.262.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)31.434.565.9-3.041%-
vs Similar (2)30.532.062.5-1.50%-
vs Weaker (1)54.027.081.0+27.0100%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMBC Retrievers wins
0
William & Mary wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/22ALoyola Maryland72-69
10/12/22HMorgan State75-63
07/12/22AColumbia73-66
03/12/22ALehigh88-62
01/12/22HCoppin State109-82
26/11/22AGeorgetown70-79
23/11/22ANC Greensboro72-76
20/11/22HCentral Connecticut State78-76
18/11/22HLafayette71-63
14/11/22HPrinceton64-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22HNorfolk State53-67
08/12/22AOld Dominion62-72
04/12/22HRichmond Spiders58-57
30/11/22ANC State64-85
26/11/22APittsburgh64-80
23/11/22HRadford62-51
19/11/22HArmy76-67
17/11/22AAmerican University64-71
13/11/22AVirginia Tech77-94
11/11/22HMid-Atlantic116-40

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%83%50%
Points / game77.681.573.7
Allowed / game73.773.873.5
Point differential+3.9+7.7+0.2
Avg total151.2155.3147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
William & Mary
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL36%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %36%67%0%
Points / game68.670.766.2
Allowed / game68.959.380.4
Point differential-0.3+11.3-14.2
Avg total137.5130.0146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell1311285%81.763.3+18.4
2 Bryant University128467%87.274.2+12.9
3 UMBC Retrievers128467%77.673.7+3.9
4 Maine Black Bears106460%72.863.4+9.4
5 Vermont136746%67.668.5-0.8
6 New Hampshire104640%67.665.4+2.2
7 Binghamton114736%69.672.3-2.6
8 Albany124833%67.875.2-7.4
9 NJIT101910%61.770.2-8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston1211192%79.971.1+8.8
2 NC Wilmington118373%69.461.3+8.1
3 Towson128467%69.866.9+2.9
4 Hofstra116555%70.473.7-3.4
5 Drexel126650%66.862.2+4.6
6 N. Carolina A&T105550%71.570.1+1.4
7 Campbell115645%70.766.9+3.8
8 William & Mary114736%68.668.9-0.3
9 Northeastern93633%61.868.3-6.6
10 Stony Brook113827%63.470.4-7.0
11 Hampton113827%69.278.4-9.2
12 Elon112918%68.973.5-4.6
13 Monmouth121118%61.082.9-21.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers433578
William & Mary313162
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