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UMBC Retrievers vs Morgan State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 75-63
36-20 39-43
Position#153
Record6-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Position#223
Record4-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · UMBC Retrievers v Morgan State
12 Nov 2026
UMBC v MORG
upcoming
27 Nov 2024
UMBC92
MORG69
10 Dec 2022
UMBC75
MORG63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morgan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#89
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A08/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#458
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H11/11
NCAA
Princeton
#52
L
64-94
64
94
-30
H14/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H18/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#326
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H20/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A23/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#344
W
109-82
109
82
+27
H01/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#170
W
88-62
88
62
+26
A03/12
NCAA
Columbia
#351
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-45
35-44
40-24
52-41
27-41
37-53
23-24
48-39
34-35
44-41
32-35
40-41
42-42
28-37
65-36
44-46
48-21
40-41
36-36
37-30
153.6Avg total
78.4Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.475.2153.6+3.260%
Season at home (5)82.876.0158.8+6.880%
Season away (5)74.074.4148.4-0.440%
Last 10 (10)78.475.2153.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)82.473.0155.4+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.484.8146.2-23.40%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.274.1151.2+3.169%
vs Weaker (11)76.766.8143.5+9.982%
This opponent (Morgan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#46
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A08/11
NCAA
Penn St.-Allegheny
#688
W
130-49
130
49
+81
H11/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
L
54-69
54
69
-15
A13/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A16/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
W
73-72 OT
73
72
+1
H19/11
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H20/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
A23/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#654
W
123-59
123
59
+64
H29/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A03/12
NCAA
Penn State Wilkes-Barre
#532
W
95-48
95
48
+47
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
26-50
47-46
67-29
63-20
27-28
27-41
28-40
31-25
35-32
33-36
25-37
39-37
46-38
28-36
62-39
61-20
42-34
34-52
53-22
42-26
152.6Avg total
82.7Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.769.9152.6+12.840%
Season at home (5)97.060.4157.4+36.680%
Season away (5)68.479.4147.8-11.00%
Last 10 (10)82.769.9152.6+12.840%
Last 5 (5)87.669.6157.2+18.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.577.9143.4-12.425%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.273.6144.9-2.412%
vs Weaker (11)81.467.4148.7+14.082%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +6.6+6.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +6.6+6.6
UMBC RetrieversMorgan State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#89
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A08/11
NCAA
Penn State-York
#458
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H11/11
NCAA
Princeton
#52
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H14/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H18/11
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#326
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H20/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A23/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#357
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#344
W
65-36
65
36
+29
H01/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#170
W
48-21
48
21
+27
A03/12
NCAA
Columbia
#351
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A07/12
NCAA
71.8Avg total
37.9Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.734.571.2+2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.734.873.5+3.947%-
Last 30 away (15)34.734.168.9+0.640%-
Last 10 (10)37.933.971.8+4.030%-
Last 5 (5)44.634.078.6+10.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.841.869.6-14.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.735.273.9+3.562%-
vs Weaker (11)38.231.269.4+7.036%-
This opponent (Morgan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morgan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#46
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A08/11
NCAA
Penn St.-Allegheny
#688
W
67-29
67
29
+38
H11/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#26
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A13/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A16/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#35
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H19/11
NCAA
Queens Royals
#162
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H20/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#109
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A23/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#654
W
62-39
62
39
+23
H29/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#296
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A03/12
NCAA
Penn State Wilkes-Barre
#532
W
53-22
53
22
+31
H07/12
NCAA
76.0Avg total
41.1Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.532.870.3+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.933.277.1+10.773%-
Last 30 away (15)31.032.463.4-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.134.976.0+6.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.634.079.6+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.437.066.4-7.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.234.170.4+2.150%-
vs Weaker (11)39.730.370.0+9.591%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMBC Retrievers wins
0
Morgan State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/22AColumbia73-66
03/12/22ALehigh88-62
01/12/22HCoppin State109-82
26/11/22AGeorgetown70-79
23/11/22ANC Greensboro72-76
20/11/22HCentral Connecticut State78-76
18/11/22HLafayette71-63
14/11/22HPrinceton64-94
11/11/22HPenn State-York92-65
08/11/22ATulane67-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/22HPenn State Wilkes-Barre95-48
03/12/22ABowling Green76-86
29/11/22HVirginia-Lynchburg123-59
23/11/22ALoyola Marymount80-81 OT
20/11/22HQueens Royals64-74
19/11/22HUtah Valley State73-72 OT
16/11/22AAkron59-65
13/11/22AVCU Rams54-69
11/11/22HPenn St.-Allegheny130-49
08/11/22AXavier73-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game78.482.874.0
Allowed / game75.276.074.4
Point differential+3.2+6.8-0.4
Avg total153.6158.8148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morgan State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%80%0%
Points / game82.797.068.4
Allowed / game69.960.479.4
Point differential+12.8+36.6-11.0
Avg total152.6157.4147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %20%20%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell1211192%82.262.2+20.1
2 Bryant University107370%88.071.2+16.8
3 UMBC Retrievers106460%78.475.2+3.2
4 Maine Black Bears95456%75.365.2+10.1
5 Vermont136746%67.668.5-0.8
6 New Hampshire83538%65.166.1-1.0
7 Binghamton103730%68.073.7-5.7
8 Albany113827%67.076.6-9.6
9 NJIT91811%60.769.9-9.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norfolk State106460%74.769.5+5.2
2 N. Carolina Central94544%80.867.8+13.0
3 Morgan State104640%82.769.9+12.8
4 Howard114736%70.077.5-7.5
5 Coppin State114736%76.186.4-10.3
6 Md.-East. Shore93633%62.068.1-6.1
7 Delaware State101910%64.977.5-12.6
8 South Carolina St111109%70.586.8-16.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers363975
Morgan State204363
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