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Umea vs BC Lulea Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:04
Final 80-103
24-25 27-20 21-33 8-25
Position#9
Record2-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game92.7
vs
Position#3
Record10-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game84.7
SwedenBasketligan· Umea Energi Arena (Umea)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Umea v BC Lulea
09 Feb 2027
UMEA v LUL
upcoming
27 Oct 2026
UMEA93
LUL96
27 Jan 2026
UMEA65
LUL87
14 Oct 2025
UMEA73
LUL77
25 Mar 2025
UMEA80
LUL103
02 Nov 2024
UMEA92
LUL97
12 Feb 2024
UMEA76
LUL103
27 Dec 2023
UMEA80
LUL103
26 Mar 2023
UMEA85
LUL84
24 Mar 2023
UMEA91
LUL76
25 Nov 2022
UMEA99
LUL82
04 Feb 2022
UMEA90
LUL81
01 Nov 2021
UMEA64
LUL86
16 Apr 2021
UMEA84
LUL102
15 Mar 2021
UMEA63
LUL100
20 Mar 2020
UMEA v LUL
upcoming
05 Nov 2019
UMEA65
LUL101
05 Mar 2019
UMEA87
LUL82
09 Dec 2018
UMEA78
LUL100
09 Mar 2018
UMEA92
LUL100
15 Dec 2017
UMEA82
LUL103
03 Apr 2017
UMEA77
LUL94
03 Jan 2017
UMEA65
LUL91
07 Oct 2016
UMEA53
LUL92
05 Jan 2016
UMEA87
LUL80
27 Feb 2015
UMEA77
LUL80
21 Nov 2014
UMEA103
LUL99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Umea winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Lulea winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UmeaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUmea
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
68avg 66
A19/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
69-85
69
85
-16
54avg 66
H24/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
L
87-95
87
95
-8
70avg 66
H07/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
L
79-117
79
117
-38
59avg 66
A10/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
71-101
71
101
-30
55avg 66
H14/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
76-91
76
91
-15
65avg 66
A18/11
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
70-90
70
90
-20
55avg 66
A30/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
80avg 66
H05/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
94-98
94
98
-4
84avg 66
H12/12
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
79-78
79
78
+1
63avg 66
A16/12
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
15-28
18-16
16-21
16-26
17-25
19-13
17-21
28-22
22-26
16-25
21-22
18-31
13-27
16-34
32-25
13-16
16-30
18-30
24-25
21-14
17-24
19-25
19-28
24-19
15-27
11-19
20-25
28-18
16-23
22-17
20-31
20-23
21-22
21-22
32-31
24-27
26-10
12-16
17-25
171.4Avg total
78.4Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.992.7170.7-14.813%
Season at home (7)79.094.7173.7-15.70%
Season away (8)77.091.0168.0-14.025%
Last 10 (10)78.493.0171.4-14.610%
Last 5 (5)81.089.2170.2-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.093.3169.2-17.35%
vs Similar (6)89.587.7177.2+1.867%
vs Weaker (4)102.081.0183.0+21.0100%
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLulea
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#6
W
113-98
113
98
+15
109avg 82
H20/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
L
86-93
86
93
-7
79avg 82
H24/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
91-107
91
107
-16
82avg 82
A04/11
Basketligan
Boras
#4
W
80-78
80
78
+2
71avg 82
H10/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
88-87
88
87
+1
75avg 82
A14/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
105-71
105
71
+34
105avg 82
H01/12
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
78-94
78
94
-16
60avg 82
H04/12
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
88-69
88
69
+19
75avg 82
A08/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
97-73
97
73
+24
95avg 82
A12/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 82
H15/12
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
31-28
24-21
29-23
21-25
19-26
22-21
24-21
22-26
18-32
23-24
28-25
21-24
25-23
18-17
16-14
18-35
23-18
22-20
25-14
25-22
30-9
24-20
26-20
10-18
18-26
22-26
28-24
18-19
22-14
17-23
31-13
15-22
25-13
31-18
26-20
24-12
28-17
18-25
19-26
176.5Avg total
91.5Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.384.7175.0+5.767%
Season at home (8)94.185.9180.0+8.262%
Season away (7)86.083.3169.3+2.771%
Last 10 (10)91.585.0176.5+6.570%
Last 5 (5)91.477.4168.8+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.697.0174.6-19.40%
vs Similar (13)79.383.6162.9-4.346%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)96.380.8177.1+15.683%
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +5.2+5.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: +5.2+5.2
UmeaBC Lulea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UmeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A19/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H24/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H07/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
L
31-58
31
58
-27
A10/11
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H14/11
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A18/11
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A30/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H05/12
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/12
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A16/12
Basketligan
85.3Avg total
39.4Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.686.0-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.045.587.5-3.540%-
Last 30 away (15)40.743.784.5-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)39.445.985.3-6.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.483.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)38.146.184.2-8.025%-
vs Similar (6)44.344.088.3+0.333%-
vs Weaker (4)53.237.891.0+15.5100%-
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nassjo
#6
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H20/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H24/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
40-58
40
58
-18
A04/11
Basketligan
Boras
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H10/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#5
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A14/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#8
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H01/12
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H04/12
Basketligan
Nassjo
#6
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A08/12
Basketligan
Uppsala
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A12/12
Basketligan
Jamtland
#2
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H15/12
Basketligan
87.7Avg total
44.2Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.786.1+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.540.185.6+5.457%-
Last 30 away (16)41.545.086.5-3.538%-
Last 10 (10)44.243.587.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.034.477.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.251.488.6-14.20%-
vs Similar (13)42.041.283.2+0.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.440.888.2+6.675%-
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Umeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
50%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.1
46.0%
53.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.711.2
35.3%
35.2%33.6
🏀 Free throws13.89.8
71.0%
75.1%9.8
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Luleatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Lulea: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.7 points a game
50%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.923.4
55.8%
53.6%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.4
39.2%
35.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.612.9
77.7%
75.1%12.9
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Umea
WLLLLLLLLL
BC Lulea
WWWLWWWLLW
#9
League position
#3
-18.5
Net rating
+8.9
98.4
Offensive rating
120.2
117.0
Defensive rating
111.3
49.2%
Effective FG%
57.0%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
12.8%
22.3%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.3%
3-point %
39.2%
55.1%
Assist %
48.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 120.2Defence117.0 · 111.3Shooting49.2% · 57.0%3-point %35.3% · 39.2%Ball care17.1% · 12.8%Off. rebounds22.3% · 26.7%Free throws0.20 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Umea   ■ BC Lulea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Umea wins
4
BC Lulea wins
DateGameScore
22/09/23BC Lulea v Umea105-71
29/03/23BC Lulea v Umea92-94
26/03/23Umea v BC Lulea85-84
24/03/23Umea v BC Lulea91-76
10/03/23BC Lulea v Umea97-79
25/11/22Umea v BC Lulea99-82
21/10/22BC Lulea v Umea88-92
04/02/22Umea v BC Lulea90-81
17/12/21BC Lulea v Umea90-70
01/11/21Umea v BC Lulea64-86
Umealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23ASodertalje79-78
12/12/23HKoping Stars94-98
05/12/23HUppsala86-89
30/11/23ABoras70-90
18/11/23ANorrkoping76-91
14/11/23HJamtland71-101
10/11/23ANassjo79-117
07/11/23HNassjo87-95
24/10/23HSodertalje69-85
19/10/23AJamtland73-86
BC Lulealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23HJamtland89-80
12/12/23AUppsala97-73
08/12/23ANassjo88-69
04/12/23HNorrkoping78-94
01/12/23HKoping Stars105-71
14/11/23ASodertalje88-87
10/11/23HBoras80-78
04/11/23ANorrkoping91-107
24/10/23HUppsala86-93
20/10/23HNassjo113-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Umea
Basketligan 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW13%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %13%0%25%
Points / game77.979.077.0
Allowed / game92.794.791.0
Point differential-14.8-15.7-14.0
Avg total170.7173.7168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Lulea
Basketligan 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%62%71%
Points / game90.394.186.0
Allowed / game84.785.983.3
Point differential+5.7+8.2+2.7
Avg total175.0180.0169.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%38%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Norrkoping1514193%91.178.3+12.8
2 Jamtland1510567%83.877.5+6.3
3 BC Lulea1510567%90.384.7+5.7
4 Sodertalje159660%83.483.0+0.4
5 Boras147750%84.678.7+5.9
6 Nassjo157847%87.085.6+1.4
7 Uppsala156940%83.187.9-4.9
8 Koping Stars1521313%78.290.6-12.4
9 Umea1521313%77.992.7-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Umea242721880
BC Lulea25203325103
← all games of the day
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