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Umea vs BC Lulea Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 09 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 18:04
Scheduled
Position#9
Record2-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#1
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.2
Allowed / game81.6
SwedenBasketligan· Umea Energi Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Umea v BC Lulea
09 Feb 2027
UMEA v LUL
upcoming
27 Oct 2026
UMEA93
LUL96
27 Jan 2026
UMEA65
LUL87
14 Oct 2025
UMEA73
LUL77
25 Mar 2025
UMEA80
LUL103
02 Nov 2024
UMEA92
LUL97
12 Feb 2024
UMEA76
LUL103
27 Dec 2023
UMEA80
LUL103
26 Mar 2023
UMEA85
LUL84
24 Mar 2023
UMEA91
LUL76
25 Nov 2022
UMEA99
LUL82
04 Feb 2022
UMEA90
LUL81
01 Nov 2021
UMEA64
LUL86
16 Apr 2021
UMEA84
LUL102
15 Mar 2021
UMEA63
LUL100
20 Mar 2020
UMEA v LUL
upcoming
05 Nov 2019
UMEA65
LUL101
05 Mar 2019
UMEA87
LUL82
09 Dec 2018
UMEA78
LUL100
09 Mar 2018
UMEA92
LUL100
15 Dec 2017
UMEA82
LUL103
03 Apr 2017
UMEA77
LUL94
03 Jan 2017
UMEA65
LUL91
07 Oct 2016
UMEA53
LUL92
05 Jan 2016
UMEA87
LUL80
27 Feb 2015
UMEA77
LUL80
21 Nov 2014
UMEA103
LUL99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Umea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
BC Lulea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UmeaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUmea
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
75-108
75
108
-33
59avg 68
A25/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
64-78
64
78
-14
51avg 68
H29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
69-93
69
93
-24
58avg 68
H09/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 68
A17/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
72avg 68
A19/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
71-53
71
53
+18
66avg 68
A23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
85avg 68
H27/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
62avg 68
A31/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
95-100
95
100
-5
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
15-25
21-27
21-27
18-22
24-12
9-24
13-20
23-21
20-22
19-27
7-23
23-26
21-21
16-11
18-28
25-27
17-20
19-21
17-20
19-8
16-17
16-10
20-18
25-21
20-20
23-24
13-16
18-25
15-25
29-17
15-23
36-16
21-33
23-25
15-26
26-14
19-16
24-22
20-26
165.9Avg total
78.9Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.987.0165.9-8.120%
Season at home (4)80.291.8172.0-11.50%
Season away (6)78.083.8161.8-5.833%
Last 10 (10)78.987.0165.9-8.120%
Last 5 (5)85.083.4168.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.494.0172.4-15.65%
vs Similar (5)80.286.8167.0-6.620%
vs Weaker (5)87.479.4166.8+8.060%
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLulea
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
73avg 84
A29/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
108-77
108
77
+31
106avg 84
H02/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
113-81
113
81
+32
107avg 84
A09/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
91-74
91
74
+17
86avg 84
H13/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
70avg 84
A16/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
108-71
108
71
+37
100avg 84
H23/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
81avg 84
A27/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
92-80
92
80
+12
86avg 84
A30/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
H13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
21-20
17-19
28-27
29-11
27-18
30-19
22-29
26-25
25-24
22-16
40-16
21-16
28-14
25-13
17-31
21-26
22-20
17-22
22-17
33-20
21-10
37-17
17-24
21-25
20-20
24-23
16-13
28-16
20-27
18-13
26-24
32-22
27-22
16-20
29-15
20-20
16-18
22-13
24-20
177.0Avg total
96.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)96.281.6177.8+14.582%
Season at home (6)98.077.2175.2+20.8100%
Season away (5)94.087.0181.0+7.060%
Last 10 (10)96.380.7177.0+15.680%
Last 5 (5)96.478.8175.2+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.392.0176.3-7.733%
vs Similar (5)83.479.6163.0+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)93.980.7174.6+13.279%
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
UmeaBC Lulea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UmeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A25/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H09/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A17/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A19/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H27/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A31/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A13/11
Basketligan
83.9Avg total
41.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.385.1-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.644.987.4-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)39.243.883.0-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.083.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.082.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.945.485.2-5.525%-
vs Similar (5)38.846.685.4-7.820%-
vs Weaker (5)46.237.884.0+8.4100%-
This opponent (BC Lulea) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC LuleaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jamtland
#3
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A29/09
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H02/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A09/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H13/10
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A16/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H23/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A27/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A30/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
59-44
59
44
+15
H06/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H13/11
Basketligan
88.3Avg total
47.9Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.040.386.3+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.938.885.7+8.259%-
Last 30 away (13)44.742.387.0+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)47.940.488.3+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.640.087.6+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.540.783.2+1.833%-
vs Similar (5)43.041.484.4+1.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.839.987.7+7.974%-
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Umeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.1
53.0%
52.7%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.2
24.1%
33.9%15.6
🏀 Free throws22.414.5
64.7%
74.1%14.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Luleatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Lulea: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.3
57.8%
52.7%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.211.2
39.7%
33.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.817.7
81.2%
74.1%17.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Umea
WLLLWLLLLL
BC Lulea
WWWWWLWWWL
#9
League position
#1
-10.2
Net rating
+13.2
83.0
Offensive rating
108.4
93.3
Defensive rating
95.2
47.4%
Effective FG%
58.5%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
18.1%
Turnover %
12.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
24.1%
3-point %
39.7%
52.7%
Assist %
47.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence83.0 · 108.4Defence93.3 · 95.2Shooting47.4% · 58.5%3-point %24.1% · 39.7%Ball care18.1% · 12.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Umea   ■ BC Lulea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Umea wins
10
BC Lulea wins
DateGameScore
27/10/26Umea v BC Lulea93-96 OT
27/01/26Umea v BC Lulea65-87
27/12/25BC Lulea v Umea90-77
14/10/25Umea v BC Lulea73-77
25/03/25Umea v BC Lulea80-103
14/03/25BC Lulea v Umea93-74
30/12/24BC Lulea v Umea106-65
02/11/24Umea v BC Lulea92-97
12/02/24Umea v BC Lulea76-103
30/12/23BC Lulea v Umea94-81
Umealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AUppsala89-78
06/11/26HSloga Uppsala95-100
31/10/26AKoping Stars77-90
27/10/26HBC Lulea93-96 OT
23/10/26AUppsala71-53
19/10/26ANassjo78-88
17/10/26ABoras78-86
09/10/26HJamtland69-93
29/09/26HSodertalje64-78
25/09/26ANorrkoping75-108
BC Lulealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSodertalje82-71
06/11/26HUppsala104-79
30/10/26ANorrkoping92-80
27/10/26AUmea96-93 OT
23/10/26HHogsbo108-71
16/10/26ASodertalje82-85
13/10/26HNassjo91-74
09/10/26ABoras113-81
02/10/26HSloga Uppsala108-77
29/09/26AJamtland87-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Umea
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW20%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game78.980.278.0
Allowed / game87.091.883.8
Point differential-8.1-11.5-5.8
Avg total165.9172.0161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %10%25%0%
BC Lulea
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game96.298.094.0
Allowed / game81.677.287.0
Point differential+14.5+20.8+7.0
Avg total177.8175.2181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%83%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea119282%96.281.6+14.5
2 Sodertalje119282%86.574.9+11.5
3 Jamtland119282%92.382.1+10.2
4 Norrkoping117464%91.584.1+7.5
5 Boras117464%88.584.0+4.5
6 Koping Stars114736%86.688.9-2.3
7 Nassjo114736%79.584.8-5.3
8 Uppsala114736%75.287.5-12.4
9 Umea102820%78.987.0-8.1
10 Hogsbo102820%80.990.6-9.7
11 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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