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Umea vs Boras Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:04
Scheduled
Position#9
Record2-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game87.0
Umea
Sweden
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Boras
Sweden
Position#5
Record7-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game84.0
SwedenBasketligan· Umea Energi Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Umea v Boras
05 Mar 2027
UMEA v BORA
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
UMEA81
BORA96
23 Sep 2025
UMEA73
BORA106
03 Dec 2024
UMEA69
BORA81
08 Oct 2024
UMEA84
BORA85
08 Jan 2024
UMEA76
BORA110
26 Sep 2023
UMEA71
BORA97
14 Apr 2023
UMEA91
BORA100
12 Apr 2023
UMEA72
BORA85
10 Oct 2022
UMEA73
BORA88
03 Dec 2021
UMEA77
BORA97
22 Oct 2021
UMEA87
BORA89
06 Apr 2021
UMEA83
BORA89
11 Dec 2020
UMEA76
BORA98
14 Feb 2020
UMEA68
BORA102
30 Nov 2019
UMEA86
BORA80
30 Dec 2018
UMEA91
BORA105
28 Sep 2018
UMEA87
BORA106
26 Jan 2018
UMEA96
BORA77
13 Oct 2017
UMEA99
BORA102
24 Feb 2017
UMEA69
BORA93
25 Nov 2016
UMEA87
BORA94
01 Mar 2016
UMEA69
BORA74
18 Dec 2015
UMEA71
BORA101
27 Jan 2015
UMEA86
BORA74
07 Oct 2014
UMEA68
BORA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Umea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Boras win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UmeaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUmea
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
75-108
75
108
-33
59avg 66
A25/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
64-78
64
78
-14
51avg 66
H29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
69-93
69
93
-24
58avg 66
H09/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 66
A17/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
72avg 66
A19/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
71-53
71
53
+18
66avg 66
A23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
85avg 66
H27/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
62avg 66
A31/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
95-100
95
100
-5
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
15-25
21-27
21-27
18-22
24-12
9-24
13-20
23-21
20-22
19-27
7-23
23-26
21-21
16-11
18-28
25-27
17-20
19-21
17-20
19-8
16-17
16-10
20-18
25-21
20-20
23-24
13-16
18-25
15-25
29-17
15-23
36-16
21-33
23-25
15-26
26-14
19-16
24-22
20-26
165.9Avg total
78.9Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.987.0165.9-8.120%
Season at home (4)80.291.8172.0-11.50%
Season away (6)78.083.8161.8-5.833%
Last 10 (10)78.987.0165.9-8.120%
Last 5 (5)85.083.4168.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.494.0172.4-15.65%
vs Similar (5)80.286.8167.0-6.620%
vs Weaker (5)87.479.4166.8+8.060%
This opponent (Boras) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BorasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBoras
Date
Competition
Hogsbo
#10
L
90-96
90
96
-6
82avg 87
A29/09
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
88avg 87
A02/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
81-113
81
113
-32
72avg 87
H09/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
W
99-92
99
92
+7
90avg 87
A13/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
86-78
86
78
+8
75avg 87
H17/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
78avg 87
H23/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
92-51
92
51
+41
no box
A02/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
95-83
95
83
+12
no box
A09/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
100-88
100
88
+12
no box
H13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
28-27
16-28
28-21
20-21
21-16
18-23
30-20
25-26
24-25
16-22
16-40
26-23
26-21
15-27
32-21
26-23
21-21
11-16
28-18
17-22
18-33
22-16
28-17
21-16
23-11
31-12
17-12
22-16
10-13
25-26
24-21
21-26
23-19
27-12
24-26
30-17
27-26
21-18
22-27
174.3Avg total
89.8Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.584.0172.5+4.564%
Season at home (6)84.787.0171.7-2.350%
Season away (5)93.080.4173.4+12.680%
Last 10 (10)89.884.5174.3+5.370%
Last 5 (5)90.677.2167.8+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.093.7180.7-6.767%
vs Similar (16)92.188.2180.2+3.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.277.8167.0+11.482%
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
UmeaBoras
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UmeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A25/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H09/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A17/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A19/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H27/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A31/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A13/11
Basketligan
83.9Avg total
41.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.385.1-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.644.987.4-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)39.243.883.0-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.083.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.082.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.945.485.2-5.525%-
vs Similar (5)38.846.685.4-7.820%-
vs Weaker (5)46.237.884.0+8.4100%-
This opponent (Boras) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BorasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hogsbo
#10
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A29/09
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A02/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H09/10
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A13/10
Basketligan
Umea
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H17/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H23/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A02/11
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H06/11
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/11
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H13/11
Basketligan
86.9Avg total
44.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.443.188.5+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.043.490.4+3.667%-
Last 30 away (15)43.742.986.6+0.933%-
Last 10 (10)44.742.286.9+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.882.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.341.385.7+3.067%-
vs Similar (16)44.045.489.4-1.431%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)47.640.387.9+7.473%-
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Umeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.1
53.0%
52.7%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.2
24.1%
33.9%15.6
🏀 Free throws22.414.5
64.7%
74.1%14.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Borastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boras: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.7
50.2%
52.7%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.711.9
36.4%
33.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws22.217.5
78.8%
74.1%17.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Umea
WLLLWLLLLL
Boras
WWWWLWWLWL
#9
League position
#5
-10.2
Net rating
+2.8
83.0
Offensive rating
100.4
93.3
Defensive rating
97.6
47.4%
Effective FG%
52.3%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
18.1%
Turnover %
13.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
24.1%
3-point %
36.4%
52.7%
Assist %
59.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence83.0 · 100.4Defence93.3 · 97.6Shooting47.4% · 52.3%3-point %24.1% · 36.4%Ball care18.1% · 13.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Umea   ■ Boras
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Umea wins
10
Boras wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Boras v Umea86-78
23/01/26Boras v Umea93-65
18/01/26Umea v Boras81-96
23/09/25Umea v Boras73-106
24/01/25Boras v Umea98-71
03/12/24Umea v Boras69-81
08/10/24Umea v Boras84-85
16/02/24Boras v Umea115-83
08/01/24Umea v Boras76-110
30/11/23Boras v Umea90-70
Umealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AUppsala89-78
06/11/26HSloga Uppsala95-100
31/10/26AKoping Stars77-90
27/10/26HBC Lulea93-96 OT
23/10/26AUppsala71-53
19/10/26ANassjo78-88
17/10/26ABoras78-86
09/10/26HJamtland69-93
29/09/26HSodertalje64-78
25/09/26ANorrkoping75-108
Boraslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HKoping Stars100-88
09/11/26ASloga Uppsala95-83
06/11/26HSodertalje81-76
02/11/26AUppsala92-51
23/10/26HNorrkoping85-88
17/10/26HUmea86-78
13/10/26AJamtland99-92
09/10/26HBC Lulea81-113
02/10/26AKoping Stars89-80
29/09/26AHogsbo90-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Umea
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW20%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game78.980.278.0
Allowed / game87.091.883.8
Point differential-8.1-11.5-5.8
Avg total165.9172.0161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %10%25%0%
Boras
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW64%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%50%80%
Points / game88.584.793.0
Allowed / game84.087.080.4
Point differential+4.5-2.3+12.6
Avg total172.5171.7173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%17%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea119282%96.281.6+14.5
2 Sodertalje119282%86.574.9+11.5
3 Jamtland119282%92.382.1+10.2
4 Norrkoping117464%91.584.1+7.5
5 Boras117464%88.584.0+4.5
6 Koping Stars114736%86.688.9-2.3
7 Nassjo114736%79.584.8-5.3
8 Uppsala114736%75.287.5-12.4
9 Umea102820%78.987.0-8.1
10 Hogsbo102820%80.990.6-9.7
11 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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