Umea vs Sodertalje Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 14:04

Final 63-76

14-16 18-15 12-18 19-27

Position#11

Record4-22

FormLLLLL

Points / game71.8

Allowed / game83.3

Umea

Sodertalje 🏆

Position#1

Record24-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game69.3

BasketliganRound 26

Other2015-16

Meetings · Umea v Sodertalje

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Umea winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sodertalje winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Umea

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Uppsala

62-74

-12

A12/01

Basketligan

Jamtland

84-77

H15/01

Basketligan

Norrkoping

67-75

-8

H19/01

Basketligan

Nassjo

63-85

-22

A22/01

Basketligan

Malbas

75-83

-8

H02/02

Basketligan

Sundsvall

62-76

-14

A05/02

Basketligan

Norrkoping

58-83

-25

A07/02

Basketligan

Uppsala

58-88

-30

A19/02

Basketligan

Orebro

#10

82-86

-4

H23/02

Basketligan

Nassjo

74-86

-12

A26/02

Basketligan

15-14

14-19

18-22

15-19

19-17

19-27

20-14

26-19

14-17

22-16

12-23

19-19

10-23

20-30

14-19

19-13

22-13

20-28

22-23

11-19

12-20

11-22

25-24

14-10

9-19

14-19

15-23

20-22

23-25

11-23

4-26

20-14

21-27

25-19

16-27

20-13

15-22

12-18

19-28

28-18

149.8Avg total

68.5Scored

81.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	71.8	83.3	155.1	-11.5	15%
Season at home (12)	75.9	83.3	159.2	-7.4	25%
Season away (14)	68.3	83.3	151.6	-15.0	7%
Last 10 (10)	68.5	81.3	149.8	-12.8	10%
Last 5 (5)	66.8	83.8	150.6	-17.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	69.3	83.3	152.6	-14.1	15%
vs Similar (3)	83.3	87.0	170.3	-3.7	0%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sodertalje Sweden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Norrkoping

66-64

A22/01

Basketligan

Orebro

#10

83-76

H24/01

Basketligan

HydroTruck Radom

#26

77-81

-4

A27/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Nassjo

76-66

+10

A31/01

Basketligan

Gaziantep

#17

78-71

H03/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Sundsvall

86-72

+14

H07/02

Basketligan

Uppsala

75-56

+19

H16/02

Basketligan

Boras

96-79

+17

H20/02

Basketligan

Jamtland

106-83

106

+23

A23/02

Basketligan

Norrkoping

77-66

+11

H26/02

Basketligan

21-21

15-16

11-13

19-14

22-16

8-22

24-17

29-21

20-20

19-25

22-21

16-15

27-20

14-17

23-14

12-15

21-20

14-20

22-15

21-16

21-22

24-12

18-21

23-17

24-10

22-8

13-14

16-24

23-17

32-18

19-21

22-23

31-16

34-20

19-25

22-22

23-12

15-16

15-25

24-13

153.4Avg total

82.0Scored

71.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	81.5	69.3	150.8	+12.3	92%
Season at home (14)	83.6	68.9	152.6	+14.7	100%
Season away (12)	79.1	69.7	148.8	+9.4	83%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	71.4	153.4	+10.6	90%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	71.2	159.2	+16.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	72.2	79.1	151.4	-6.9	38%
vs Similar (2)	81.5	79.5	161.0	+2.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	81.2	71.3	152.5	+9.8	90%

This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

UmeaSodertalje

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	20.6	38.6	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.3	21.4	37.8	-5.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	19.7	35.7	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.6	38.6	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	17.6	20.4	38.1	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.7	22.3	43.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	16.9	38.1	+4.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	16.7	37.6	+4.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	17.0	38.6	+4.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	17.4	40.7	+5.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	15.4	39.8	+9.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.9	18.8	37.6	+0.1	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.2	15.8	38.0	+6.4	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	22.8	39.9	-5.7	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	21.9	41.5	-2.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	14.9	23.6	38.5	-8.6	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	22.1	38.9	-5.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	20.2	34.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	16.7	23.0	39.7	-6.3	15%	-
vs Similar (3)	20.3	21.0	41.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.4	19.7	38.1	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.4	37.1	+2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	14.8	40.2	+10.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.6	20.2	39.9	-0.6	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.1	50%	-

UmeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Uppsala

29-33

-4

A12/01

Basketligan

Jamtland

38-44

-6

H15/01

Basketligan

Norrkoping

36-33

H19/01

Basketligan

Nassjo

30-53

-23

A22/01

Basketligan

Malbas

42-41

H02/02

Basketligan

Sundsvall

23-42

-19

A05/02

Basketligan

Norrkoping

23-38

-15

A07/02

Basketligan

Uppsala

34-48

-14

A19/02

Basketligan

Orebro

#10

46-46

H23/02

Basketligan

Nassjo

27-40

-13

A26/02

Basketligan

74.6Avg total

32.8Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.0	43.4	78.5	-8.4	13%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	41.6	81.0	-2.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	31.2	45.0	76.2	-13.8	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.8	41.8	74.6	-9.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	42.8	73.4	-12.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	34.4	43.4	77.8	-9.1	15%	-
vs Similar (3)	41.0	43.3	84.3	-2.3	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SodertaljeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Norrkoping

36-37

-1

A22/01

Basketligan

Orebro

#10

30-38

-8

H24/01

Basketligan

HydroTruck Radom

#26

39-45

-6

A27/01

FIBA Europe Cup

Nassjo

41-37

A31/01

Basketligan

Gaziantep

#17

35-40

-5

H03/02

FIBA Europe Cup

Sundsvall

45-34

+11

H07/02

Basketligan

Uppsala

46-18

+28

H16/02

Basketligan

Boras

55-35

+20

H20/02

Basketligan

Jamtland

65-36

+29

A23/02

Basketligan

Norrkoping

38-28

+10

H26/02

Basketligan

77.8Avg total

43.0Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	36.1	77.2	+4.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.3	35.5	77.8	+6.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.9	36.7	76.6	+3.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	34.8	77.8	+8.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.8	30.2	80.0	+19.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.5	39.0	77.5	-0.5	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	41.5	42.0	83.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	42.0	34.4	76.4	+7.6	75%	-

This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	21.8	38.7	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.5	22.5	40.0	-5.0	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.3	21.2	37.6	-4.9	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	22.9	39.4	-6.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	25.6	41.4	-9.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	16.8	21.7	38.5	-5.0	19%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.7	22.7	40.3	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	18.4	37.4	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	18.4	35.6	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.6	37.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	21.2	38.0	-4.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.9	20.4	36.2	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.8	35%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	19.1	36.9	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	17.9	37.4	+1.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.6	35.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	15.4	35.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	18.1	18.1	36.3	-0.0	52%	-
vs Similar (3)	24.7	21.0	45.7	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.4	39.2	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	19.1	36.7	-1.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.9	19.8	37.6	-1.9	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	19.0	36.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.7	19.4	40.0	+1.3	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	40.3	75.9	-4.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.4	41.6	76.9	-6.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.9	39.1	75.0	-3.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	39.5	75.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	41.0	77.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)	34.9	39.9	74.8	-5.0	37%	-
vs Similar (3)	42.3	43.7	86.0	-1.3	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	37.8	75.6	-0.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	38.2	79.4	+2.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.8	37.5	72.3	-2.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	36.6	75.6	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	41.0	79.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	33.8	40.1	73.9	-6.4	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	40.0	37.5	77.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	39.1	37.0	76.1	+2.2	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Umea wins

Sodertalje wins

Date	Game	Score
08/01/16	Sodertalje v Umea	93-74
09/10/15	Umea v Sodertalje	58-82
13/02/15	Umea v Sodertalje	72-103
11/02/15	Umea v Sodertalje	59-96
11/10/14	Sodertalje v Umea	76-69

Umealast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/02/16	A	Nassjo	74-86
23/02/16	H	Orebro	82-86
19/02/16	A	Uppsala	58-88
07/02/16	A	Norrkoping	58-83
05/02/16	A	Sundsvall	62-76
02/02/16	H	Malbas	75-83
22/01/16	A	Nassjo	63-85
19/01/16	H	Norrkoping	67-75
15/01/16	H	Jamtland	84-77
12/01/16	A	Uppsala	62-74

Sodertaljelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/02/16	H	Norrkoping	77-66
23/02/16	A	Jamtland	106-83
20/02/16	H	Boras	96-79
16/02/16	H	Uppsala	75-56
07/02/16	H	Sundsvall	86-72
03/02/16	H	Gaziantep	78-71
31/01/16	A	Nassjo	76-66
27/01/16	A	HydroTruck Radom	77-81
24/01/16	H	Orebro	83-76
22/01/16	A	Norrkoping	66-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Umea

Basketligan 2015-16

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	15%
Home	WWLLL	25%
Away	LLLLL	7%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	15%	25%	7%
Points / game	71.8	75.9	68.3
Allowed / game	83.3	83.3	83.3
Point differential	-11.5	-7.4	-15.0
Avg total	155.1	159.2	151.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (6)	25% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sodertalje

Basketligan 2015-16

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	92%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	92%	100%	83%
Points / game	81.5	83.6	79.1
Allowed / game	69.3	68.9	69.7
Point differential	+12.3	+14.7	+9.4
Avg total	150.8	152.6	148.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	73%	79%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sodertalje	26	24	2	92%	81.5	69.3	+12.3
2	BC Lulea	28	20	8	71%	89.7	79.7	+10.0
3	Norrkoping	27	19	8	70%	76.7	71.6	+5.1
4	Boras	27	16	11	59%	89.6	84.6	+5.0
5	Nassjo	27	14	13	52%	75.6	75.1	+0.5
6	Sundsvall	27	14	13	52%	83.3	83.0	+0.3
7	Uppsala	28	12	16	43%	78.0	75.8	+2.2
8	Malbas	28	12	16	43%	74.4	79.7	-5.4
9	Jamtland	27	8	19	30%	80.6	87.7	-7.1
10	Orebro	27	6	21	22%	78.5	90.1	-11.7
11	Umea	26	4	22	15%	71.8	83.3	-11.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Umea	14	18	12	19	63
Sodertalje	16	15	18	27	76

← all games of the day

Umea vs Sodertalje Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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