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Umea vs Sodertalje Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 22 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:04
Scheduled
Position#9
Record2-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
6.6/10
Above normal
Position#2
Record9-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game74.9
SwedenBasketligan· Umea Energi Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Umea v Sodertalje
22 Jan 2027
UMEA v SOD
upcoming
29 Sep 2026
UMEA64
SOD78
20 Dec 2025
UMEA65
SOD81
15 Oct 2024
UMEA67
SOD74
19 Mar 2024
UMEA85
SOD91
24 Oct 2023
UMEA69
SOD85
23 Sep 2022
UMEA95
SOD85
15 Feb 2022
UMEA82
SOD86
09 Nov 2021
UMEA86
SOD93
26 Apr 2021
UMEA81
SOD99
30 Mar 2021
UMEA68
SOD93
01 Dec 2020
UMEA90
SOD96
11 Jan 2020
UMEA82
SOD89
23 Nov 2019
UMEA70
SOD87
28 Mar 2019
UMEA72
SOD87
12 Feb 2019
UMEA94
SOD100
04 Nov 2018
UMEA73
SOD83
05 Apr 2018
UMEA73
SOD76
27 Mar 2018
UMEA72
SOD98
10 Nov 2017
UMEA97
SOD78
07 Feb 2017
UMEA59
SOD102
28 Dec 2016
UMEA55
SOD85
28 Feb 2016
UMEA63
SOD76
09 Oct 2015
UMEA58
SOD82
13 Feb 2015
UMEA72
SOD103
11 Feb 2015
UMEA59
SOD96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Umea win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sodertalje win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UmeaSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUmea
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
75-108
75
108
-33
59avg 69
A25/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
L
64-78
64
78
-14
51avg 69
H29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
L
69-93
69
93
-24
58avg 69
H09/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 69
A17/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
78-88
78
88
-10
72avg 69
A19/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
71-53
71
53
+18
66avg 69
A23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
93-96 OT
93
96
-3
85avg 69
H27/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
62avg 69
A31/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
L
95-100
95
100
-5
no box
H06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
15-25
21-27
21-27
18-22
24-12
9-24
13-20
23-21
20-22
19-27
7-23
23-26
21-21
16-11
18-28
25-27
17-20
19-21
17-20
19-8
16-17
16-10
20-18
25-21
20-20
23-24
13-16
18-25
15-25
29-17
15-23
36-16
21-33
23-25
15-26
26-14
19-16
24-22
20-26
165.9Avg total
78.9Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.987.0165.9-8.120%
Season at home (4)80.291.8172.0-11.50%
Season away (6)78.083.8161.8-5.833%
Last 10 (10)78.987.0165.9-8.120%
Last 5 (5)85.083.4168.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)78.494.0172.4-15.65%
vs Similar (5)80.286.8167.0-6.620%
vs Weaker (5)87.479.4166.8+8.060%
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SodertaljeSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSodertalje
Date
Competition
Umea
#9
W
78-64
78
64
+14
68avg 78
A29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
W
91-76
91
76
+15
82avg 78
H03/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
94-85
94
85
+9
87avg 78
A09/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
93-85
93
85
+8
74avg 78
H13/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 78
H16/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
74avg 78
A23/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
104-57
104
57
+47
108avg 78
H27/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A06/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
91-69
91
69
+22
no box
H10/11
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
A13/11
Basketligan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
12-24
24-9
20-13
15-11
22-11
24-15
30-39
21-17
31-19
19-25
23-24
29-19
26-17
12-26
26-23
26-21
20-22
22-17
17-22
19-16
16-20
23-19
21-21
19-21
30-10
30-8
25-18
16-22
13-10
26-25
21-24
16-23
28-16
19-13
28-17
20-20
18-16
13-22
20-24
161.9Avg total
86.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.574.9161.4+11.582%
Season at home (6)92.272.7164.8+19.5100%
Season away (5)79.677.6157.2+2.060%
Last 10 (10)86.275.7161.9+10.580%
Last 5 (5)84.273.0157.2+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.889.8169.7-10.017%
vs Similar (8)76.278.0154.2-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.872.1159.9+15.888%
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
UmeaSodertalje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UmeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norrkoping
#4
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A25/09
Basketligan
Sodertalje
#2
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H09/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A17/10
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A19/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A23/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H27/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A31/10
Basketligan
Sloga Uppsala
#11
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H06/11
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A13/11
Basketligan
83.9Avg total
41.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.844.385.1-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.644.987.4-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)39.243.883.0-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.083.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.082.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.945.485.2-5.525%-
vs Similar (5)38.846.685.4-7.820%-
vs Weaker (5)46.237.884.0+8.4100%-
This opponent (Sodertalje) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SodertaljeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Umea
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A29/09
Basketligan
Jamtland
#3
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H03/10
Basketligan
Norrkoping
#4
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A09/10
Basketligan
Hogsbo
#10
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H13/10
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H16/10
Basketligan
Koping Stars
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A23/10
Basketligan
Uppsala
#8
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H27/10
Basketligan
Boras
#5
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A06/11
Basketligan
Nassjo
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H10/11
Basketligan
BC Lulea
#1
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A13/11
Basketligan
77.2Avg total
41.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.981.2+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.837.682.4+7.279%-
Last 30 away (16)40.040.180.1-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.935.377.2+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)39.034.873.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.248.890.0-7.717%-
vs Similar (8)39.437.877.1+1.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.135.879.9+8.275%-
This opponent (Umea) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Umeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Umea: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.1
53.0%
52.7%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.2
24.1%
33.9%15.6
🏀 Free throws22.414.5
64.7%
74.1%14.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sodertaljetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sodertalje: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.222.6
57.7%
52.7%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.3
35.2%
33.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.114.0
77.3%
74.1%14.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Umea
WLLLWLLLLL
Sodertalje
LWLWWWWWWW
#9
League position
#2
-10.2
Net rating
+11.7
83.0
Offensive rating
102.2
93.3
Defensive rating
90.5
47.4%
Effective FG%
55.7%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.1%
Turnover %
12.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
24.1%
3-point %
35.2%
52.7%
Assist %
48.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence83.0 · 102.2Defence93.3 · 90.5Shooting47.4% · 55.7%3-point %24.1% · 35.2%Ball care18.1% · 12.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Umea   ■ Sodertalje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Umea wins
8
Sodertalje wins
DateGameScore
29/09/26Umea v Sodertalje64-78
20/12/25Umea v Sodertalje65-81
12/12/25Sodertalje v Umea94-68
17/10/25Sodertalje v Umea68-72
03/03/25Sodertalje v Umea101-78
10/01/25Sodertalje v Umea79-59
15/10/24Umea v Sodertalje67-74
19/03/24Umea v Sodertalje85-91
25/01/24Sodertalje v Umea113-80
16/12/23Sodertalje v Umea78-79
Umealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AUppsala89-78
06/11/26HSloga Uppsala95-100
31/10/26AKoping Stars77-90
27/10/26HBC Lulea93-96 OT
23/10/26AUppsala71-53
19/10/26ANassjo78-88
17/10/26ABoras78-86
09/10/26HJamtland69-93
29/09/26HSodertalje64-78
25/09/26ANorrkoping75-108
Sodertaljelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ABC Lulea71-82
10/11/26HNassjo91-69
06/11/26ABoras76-81
27/10/26HUppsala104-57
23/10/26AKoping Stars79-76
16/10/26HBC Lulea85-82
13/10/26HHogsbo93-85
09/10/26ANorrkoping94-85
03/10/26HJamtland91-76
29/09/26AUmea78-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Umea
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW20%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game78.980.278.0
Allowed / game87.091.883.8
Point differential-8.1-11.5-5.8
Avg total165.9172.0161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %10%25%0%
Sodertalje
Basketligan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game86.592.279.6
Allowed / game74.972.777.6
Point differential+11.5+19.5+2.0
Avg total161.4164.8157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Lulea119282%96.281.6+14.5
2 Sodertalje119282%86.574.9+11.5
3 Jamtland119282%92.382.1+10.2
4 Norrkoping117464%91.584.1+7.5
5 Boras117464%88.584.0+4.5
6 Koping Stars114736%86.688.9-2.3
7 Nassjo114736%79.584.8-5.3
8 Uppsala114736%75.287.5-12.4
9 Umea102820%78.987.0-8.1
10 Hogsbo102820%80.990.6-9.7
11 Sloga Uppsala102820%80.794.0-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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