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UNC Asheville vs Appalachian State Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 15 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Postponed
Position#86
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game96.0
vs
Position#157
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game72.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UNC Asheville v Appalachian State
30 Nov 2025
UNC 67
APPA55
14 Nov 2024
UNC v APPA
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNC Asheville win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNC AshevilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#232
W
71-69
71
69
+2
H14/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H17/02
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H24/02
NCAA
Radford
#220
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A02/03
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
60-55
60
55
+5
H08/03
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
W
83-72 OT
83
72
+11
H09/03
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
59-85
59
85
-26
H10/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
54-110
54
110
-56
A05/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-46
42-23
47-23
39-32
35-29
40-51
40-30
37-48
43-32
28-30
29-20
31-35
31-34
40-37
24-42
35-43
29-50
25-60
34-42
42-40
146.0Avg total
71.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)65.096.0161.0-31.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)65.096.0161.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)71.274.8146.0-3.650%
Last 5 (5)66.480.8147.2-14.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.878.8154.5-3.050%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.479.0152.4-5.650%
vs Weaker (11)77.567.5145.0+10.182%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#353
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A23/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A24/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H28/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H01/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
H09/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H10/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A21/03
NIT
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
63-77
63
77
-14
H04/11
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
108-54
108
54
+54
H07/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
56-87
56
87
-31
A10/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-29
0-0
46-38
0-0
23-29
0-0
42-29
0-0
51-26
0-0
38-38
0-0
43-29
0-0
37-28
0-0
41-31
0-0
35-45
0-0
29-39
0-0
36-28
0-0
27-36
0-0
49-51
0-0
31-32
0-0
32-45
0-0
55-27
0-0
53-27
0-0
20-36
0-0
36-51
146.7Avg total
76.9Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.772.7148.3+3.033%
Season at home (2)85.565.5151.0+20.050%
Season away (1)56.087.0143.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)76.969.8146.7+7.160%
Last 5 (5)73.674.4148.0-0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.087.0143.0-31.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)67.067.6134.6-0.660%
vs Weaker (22)80.768.2148.9+12.586%
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: +2.4+2.4
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: +2.4+2.4
UNC AshevilleAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNC AshevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#232
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H14/02
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H17/02
NCAA
Longwood
#129
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H24/02
NCAA
Radford
#220
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A02/03
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H08/03
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#195
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H09/03
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H10/03
NCAA
Alabama
#34
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A05/11
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A10/11
NCAA
68.9Avg total
34.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.471.3+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.132.170.2+5.971%-
Last 30 away (16)35.936.472.2-0.544%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.868.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)29.437.667.0-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.534.071.5+3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.137.772.9-2.643%-
vs Weaker (11)38.331.669.9+6.673%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Old Dominion
#353
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A23/02
NCAA
Marshall
#289
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A24/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#353
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H28/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H01/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#341
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H09/03
NCAA
Arkansas State
#186
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H10/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#10
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A21/03
NIT
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H04/11
NCAA
St. Andrews
#627
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H07/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#43
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A10/11
NCAA
67.0Avg total
35.6Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.132.168.2+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.432.672.1+6.867%-
Last 30 away (12)31.231.262.4-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)35.631.467.0+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)32.434.066.4-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)20.036.056.0-16.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)31.227.859.0+3.480%-
vs Weaker (22)37.433.370.6+4.159%-
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UNC Asheville wins
0
Appalachian State wins
DateGameScore
22/12/23Appalachian State v UNC Asheville63-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24AOhio76-82
05/11/24AAlabama54-110
10/03/24HLongwood59-85
09/03/24HGardner Webb83-72 OT
08/03/24HCharleston Southern60-55
02/03/24ARadford71-62
24/02/24HGardner Webb77-78
22/02/24ALongwood75-80
17/02/24HCharleston Southern86-55
14/02/24HPresbyterian71-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24AWisconsin56-87
07/11/24HSt. Andrews108-54
04/11/24HMiami (Ohio)63-77
21/03/24AWake Forest76-87
10/03/24HArkansas State65-67
09/03/24HGeorgia Southern85-80 OT
01/03/24HArkansas State80-57
28/02/24HOld Dominion89-64
24/02/24AMarshall65-58
23/02/24AOld Dominion82-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNC Asheville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game65.0-65.0
Allowed / game96.0-96.0
Point differential-31.0--31.0
Avg total161.0-161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game75.785.556.0
Allowed / game72.765.587.0
Point differential+3.0+20.0-31.0
Avg total148.3151.0143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point330100%83.060.7+22.3
2 Longwood330100%79.765.3+14.3
3 Winthrop32167%86.363.3+23.0
4 Radford32167%77.382.7-5.3
5 Presbyterian42250%85.570.5+15.0
6 Charleston Southern31233%79.377.0+2.3
7 Gardner Webb31233%72.081.7-9.7
8 USC Upstate41325%80.886.2-5.5
9 UNC Asheville2020%65.096.0-31.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State32167%79.060.7+18.3
2 James Madison32167%85.771.0+14.7
3 Marshall32167%82.370.0+12.3
4 Southern Miss32167%88.377.0+11.3
5 Georgia Southern32167%81.075.3+5.7
6 Arkansas State32167%79.775.3+4.3
7 Troy32167%70.366.7+3.7
8 Appalachian State31233%75.772.7+3.0
9 South Alabama31233%64.767.3-2.7
10 Coastal Carolina31233%63.067.0-4.0
11 Louisiana Lafayette31233%64.375.3-11.0
12 Georgia State31233%68.079.7-11.7
13 Louisiana Monroe41325%71.275.5-4.2
14 Old Dominion3030%67.090.7-23.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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