UNC Asheville vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Dec 2021

Tip-off: 23:30

Final 65-58

31-24 34-34

Position#180

Record3-3

FormWLWLW

Points / game73.8

Allowed / game64.0

UNC Asheville 🏆

Citadel

Position#254

Record4-2

FormWLWLW

Points / game88.3

Allowed / game73.2

NCAA

Other2021-22

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNC Asheville winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Citadel winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNC Asheville USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Radford

#145

63-73

-10

H25/01

NCAA

Winthrop

80-84

-4

A29/01

NCAA

Winthrop

57-55

A29/01

NCAA

Longwood

#221

61-77

-16

H02/03

NCAA

UAB

#27

77-102

102

-25

A10/11

NCAA

Brevard College

#635

101-44

101

+57

H11/11

NCAA

Chattanooga Mocs

#30

45-75

-30

A14/11

NCAA

Tennessee Tech

#295

61-55

H18/11

NCAA

North Carolina

#41

53-72

-19

A24/11

NCAA

St. Andrews

#576

106-36

106

+70

H28/11

NCAA

27-39

36-34

31-38

49-46

26-25

31-30

33-43

28-34

36-44

41-58

45-21

56-23

18-35

27-40

34-24

27-31

24-37

29-35

70-13

36-23

137.7Avg total

70.4Scored

67.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	73.8	64.0	137.8	+9.8	50%
Season at home (3)	89.3	45.0	134.3	+44.3	100%
Season away (3)	58.3	83.0	141.3	-24.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	70.4	67.3	137.7	+3.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	56.4	129.6	+16.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	68.6	80.2	148.8	-11.6	20%
vs Similar (16)	68.4	74.2	142.6	-5.8	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	81.9	62.8	144.6	+19.1	88%

This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Citadel

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mercer

#106

52-88

-36

A23/02

NCAA

Furman

#98

63-72

-9

A25/02

NCAA

Western Carolina

#248

100-86

100

+14

H05/03

NCAA

NC Greensboro

#56

72-80

-8

A06/03

NCAA

Pittsburgh

#301

78-63

+15

A10/11

NCAA

Morris College

#550

108-67

108

+41

H12/11

NCAA

Presbyterian

#278

70-74 OT

-4

A16/11

NCAA

Carver Bible

#629

102-49

102

+53

H19/11

NCAA

Duke

#12

81-107

107

-26

A23/11

NCAA

South Carolina St

#227

91-79 OT

+12

A28/11

NCAA

28-46

24-42

32-31

31-41

32-39

68-47

39-45

33-35

43-31

35-32

48-24

60-43

32-29

25-28

57-19

45-30

42-52

39-55

32-33

45-44

158.2Avg total

81.7Scored

76.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	88.3	73.2	161.5	+15.2	67%
Season at home (2)	105.0	58.0	163.0	+47.0	100%
Season away (4)	80.0	80.8	160.8	-0.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	76.5	158.2	+5.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	75.2	165.6	+15.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	75.2	84.6	159.8	-9.4	20%
vs Similar (14)	76.9	84.9	161.9	-8.0	36%
vs Weaker (10)	89.9	65.5	155.4	+24.4	90%

This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

UNC AshevilleCitadel

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

UNC AshevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Radford

#145

27-39

-12

H25/01

NCAA

Winthrop

31-38

-7

A29/01

NCAA

Winthrop

26-25

A29/01

NCAA

Longwood

#221

33-43

-10

H02/03

NCAA

UAB

#27

36-44

-8

A10/11

NCAA

Brevard College

#635

45-21

+24

H11/11

NCAA

Chattanooga Mocs

#30

18-35

-17

A14/11

NCAA

Tennessee Tech

#295

34-24

+10

H18/11

NCAA

North Carolina

#41

24-37

-13

A24/11

NCAA

St. Andrews

#576

70-13

+57

H28/11

NCAA

66.3Avg total

34.4Scored

31.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.9	33.9	68.7	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.2	31.6	69.9	+6.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	31.9	35.8	67.8	-3.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	31.9	66.3	+2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	26.0	64.2	+12.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	30.6	35.6	66.2	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar (16)	30.8	37.4	68.1	-6.6	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	44.5	27.4	71.9	+17.1	88%	-

This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mercer

#106

28-46

-18

A23/02

NCAA

Furman

#98

32-31

A25/02

NCAA

Western Carolina

#248

32-39

-7

H05/03

NCAA

NC Greensboro

#56

39-45

-6

A06/03

NCAA

Pittsburgh

#301

43-31

+12

A10/11

NCAA

Morris College

#550

48-24

+24

H12/11

NCAA

Presbyterian

#278

32-29

A16/11

NCAA

Carver Bible

#629

57-19

+38

H19/11

NCAA

Duke

#12

42-52

-10

A23/11

NCAA

South Carolina St

#227

32-33

-1

A28/11

NCAA

73.4Avg total

38.5Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	36.5	76.1	+3.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.9	33.7	75.6	+8.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	39.6	76.7	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	34.9	73.4	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	31.4	73.6	+10.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	36.4	42.4	78.8	-6.0	20%	-
vs Similar (14)	36.4	39.9	76.4	-3.5	21%	-
vs Weaker (10)	44.9	29.9	74.8	+15.0	80%	-

This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	36.5	73.5	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	32.1	70.6	+6.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	40.3	76.1	-4.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	35.4	71.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	30.4	65.4	+4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.0	44.6	82.6	-6.6	40%	-
vs Similar (16)	35.4	35.3	70.8	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	37.4	35.4	72.8	+2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	40.7	82.2	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.2	37.9	83.2	+7.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	43.9	81.0	-6.7	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	39.7	80.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	40.0	82.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	38.8	42.2	81.0	-3.4	40%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.6	43.6	82.2	-5.1	21%	-
vs Weaker (10)	45.0	35.6	80.6	+9.4	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

UNC Asheville wins

Citadel wins

No previous meetings.

UNC Ashevillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/11/21	H	St. Andrews	106-36
24/11/21	A	North Carolina	53-72
18/11/21	H	Tennessee Tech	61-55
14/11/21	A	Chattanooga Mocs	45-75
11/11/21	H	Brevard College	101-44
10/11/21	A	UAB	77-102
02/03/21	H	Longwood	61-77
29/01/21	A	Winthrop	57-55
29/01/21	A	Winthrop	80-84
25/01/21	H	Radford	63-73

Citadellast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/11/21	A	South Carolina St	91-79 OT
23/11/21	A	Duke	81-107
19/11/21	H	Carver Bible	102-49
16/11/21	A	Presbyterian	70-74 OT
12/11/21	H	Morris College	108-67
10/11/21	A	Pittsburgh	78-63
06/03/21	A	NC Greensboro	72-80
05/03/21	H	Western Carolina	100-86
25/02/21	A	Furman	63-72
23/02/21	A	Mercer	52-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNC Asheville

NCAA 2021-22

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	50%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	100%	0%
Points / game	73.8	89.3	58.3
Allowed / game	64.0	45.0	83.0
Point differential	+9.8	+44.3	-24.7
Avg total	137.8	134.3	141.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Citadel

NCAA 2021-22

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	67%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WLLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	2	4
Win %	67%	100%	50%
Points / game	88.3	105.0	80.0
Allowed / game	73.2	58.0	80.8
Point differential	+15.2	+47.0	-0.8
Avg total	161.5	163.0	160.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	67%	100%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	33%	0%	50%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big South conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Presbyterian	8	5	3	62%	61.4	69.6	-8.2
2	Gardner Webb	7	4	3	57%	77.0	67.9	+9.1
3	Longwood	8	4	4	50%	75.9	64.1	+11.8
4	UNC Asheville	6	3	3	50%	73.8	64.0	+9.8
5	Winthrop	6	3	3	50%	82.3	80.3	+2.0
6	Radford	8	4	4	50%	63.2	67.1	-3.9
7	High Point	7	3	4	43%	75.4	70.7	+4.7
8	USC Upstate	7	2	5	29%	69.6	69.3	+0.3
9	Charleston Southern	7	2	5	29%	77.9	83.9	-6.0

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Southern conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Chattanooga Mocs	7	6	1	86%	74.7	56.7	+18.0
2	Samford	7	6	1	86%	80.1	72.7	+7.4
3	NC Greensboro	9	7	2	78%	67.9	63.1	+4.8
4	Wofford	7	5	2	71%	81.7	65.4	+16.3
5	Furman	7	5	2	71%	85.0	74.4	+10.6
6	East Tennessee St	7	5	2	71%	68.1	66.4	+1.7
7	Citadel	6	4	2	67%	88.3	73.2	+15.2
8	VMI	8	4	4	50%	80.0	60.8	+19.2
9	Western Carolina	8	4	4	50%	76.6	76.2	+0.4
10	Mercer	7	3	4	43%	72.3	69.4	+2.9