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Citadel vs Western Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 100-86
32-39 68-47
Position#172
Record12-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game78.0
Citadel 🏆
USA
vs
Position#248
Record11-15
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game78.0
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Citadel v Western Carolina
10 Jan 2026
CITA79
WEST77
25 Jan 2025
CITA78
WEST80
03 Jan 2024
CITA71
WEST80
14 Jan 2023
CITA65
WEST61
26 Jan 2022
CITA68
WEST66
05 Mar 2021
CITA100
WEST86
06 Feb 2021
CITA74
WEST63
04 Jan 2020
CITA82
WEST86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#171
L
84-112
84
112
-28
A30/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
L
66-85
66
85
-19
H04/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H06/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#171
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H11/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A13/02
NCAA
Wofford
#102
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A18/02
NCAA
VMI
#170
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#106
L
52-88
52
88
-36
A23/02
NCAA
Furman
#98
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-50
41-62
35-30
40-46
35-35
31-50
35-30
39-33
31-33
48-38
34-36
32-34
29-39
38-42
32-30
43-44
28-46
24-42
32-31
31-41
149.3Avg total
70.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.378.0158.3+2.352%
Season at home (14)83.872.0155.8+11.879%
Season away (9)74.987.2162.1-12.311%
Last 10 (10)70.179.2149.3-9.130%
Last 5 (5)64.677.0141.6-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.584.2154.7-13.710%
vs Similar (11)76.786.9163.6-10.236%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.666.1151.7+19.478%
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#172
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H01/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H04/02
NCAA
Citadel
#172
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A06/02
NCAA
VMI
#170
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H11/02
NCAA
Furman
#98
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A13/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
A18/02
NCAA
Wofford
#102
L
56-80
56
80
-24
H20/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
L
56-77
56
77
-21
H22/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A25/02
NCAA
Mercer
#106
W
85-61
85
61
+24
H27/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
46-40
28-28
39-46
30-35
33-39
27-28
47-44
31-55
39-33
44-39
31-36
27-50
29-30
28-40
28-37
40-36
41-44
45-30
40-31
147.9Avg total
70.9Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.178.0153.2-2.942%
Season at home (13)73.571.7145.2+1.854%
Season away (13)76.784.4161.1-7.731%
Last 10 (10)70.977.0147.9-6.140%
Last 5 (5)71.877.4149.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)71.379.0150.3-7.725%
vs Similar (6)79.275.5154.7+3.767%
vs Weaker (3)93.770.3164.0+23.3100%
This opponent (Citadel) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: -6.5-6.52nd half: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: -6.5-6.52nd half: -0.7-0.7
CitadelWestern Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#171
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A30/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H04/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H06/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#171
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H11/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A13/02
NCAA
Wofford
#102
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A18/02
NCAA
VMI
#170
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#106
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A23/02
NCAA
Furman
#98
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A25/02
NCAA
69.4Avg total
33.4Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.037.374.3-0.337%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.735.173.8+3.647%-
Last 30 away (13)34.740.274.8-5.523%-
Last 10 (10)33.436.069.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)31.036.467.4-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.939.570.4-8.610%-
vs Similar (11)37.041.178.1-4.118%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.730.273.9+13.489%-
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#172
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H01/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H04/02
NCAA
Citadel
#172
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A06/02
NCAA
VMI
#170
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Furman
#98
L
31-55
31
55
-24
A13/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#61
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A18/02
NCAA
Wofford
#102
L
27-50
27
50
-23
H20/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H22/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Mercer
#106
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H27/02
NCAA
70.6Avg total
33.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.936.571.4-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.434.468.7+0.043%-
Last 30 away (16)35.438.473.8-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)33.037.670.6-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.075.8-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.537.671.1-4.235%-
vs Similar (6)34.833.067.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker (3)41.733.775.3+8.067%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Citadel wins
3
Western Carolina wins
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/21AFurman63-72
23/02/21AMercer52-88
20/02/21HVMI75-74
18/02/21AWofford67-81
13/02/21AChattanooga Mocs66-70
11/02/21HEast Tennessee St79-71
06/02/21HWestern Carolina74-63
04/02/21HNC Greensboro66-85
01/02/21AWestern Carolina75-76
30/01/21AEast Tennessee St84-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/21HMercer85-61
25/02/21ANC Greensboro81-80
22/02/21HNC Greensboro56-77
20/02/21HWofford56-80
18/02/21AChattanooga Mocs81-89 OT
13/02/21AFurman70-88
11/02/21HVMI74-72
06/02/21ACitadel63-74
04/02/21HChattanooga Mocs67-74
01/02/21HCitadel76-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL52%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %52%79%11%
Points / game80.383.874.9
Allowed / game78.072.087.2
Point differential+2.3+11.8-12.3
Avg total158.3155.8162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Carolina
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW42%
HomeLWLLW54%
AwayLLLLW31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%54%31%
Points / game75.173.576.7
Allowed / game78.071.784.4
Point differential-2.9+1.8-7.7
Avg total153.2145.2161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %19%8%31%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs2518772%73.469.5+3.9
2 NC Greensboro2618869%73.467.6+5.8
3 Furman2416867%79.268.0+11.2
4 Wofford2315865%74.968.0+6.9
5 Mercer25151060%77.773.4+4.3
6 VMI23121152%80.575.4+5.1
7 East Tennessee St23121152%69.966.3+3.7
8 Citadel23121152%80.378.0+2.3
9 Western Carolina26111542%75.178.0-2.9
10 Samford1861233%77.879.1-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel3268100
Western Carolina394786
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