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Duke vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 107-81
52-42 55-39
Position#12
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game58.0
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Position#254
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game63.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#94
L
73-80 OT
73
80
-7
H27/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
A03/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A06/03
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
86-51
86
51
+35
H09/03
NCAA
Louisville
#94
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A10/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H10/11
NCAA
Army
#211
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H13/11
NCAA
Campbell
#162
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H14/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#138
W
92-52
92
52
+40
H17/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#307
W
88-55
88
55
+33
H20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-36
39-29
34-31
30-33
26-42
47-49
41-27
45-24
30-29
40-27
39-35
40-36
38-25
44-31
33-29
34-27
47-27
45-25
35-27
53-28
143.6Avg total
78.7Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.658.0139.6+23.6100%
Season at home (5)81.658.0139.6+23.6100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.764.9143.6+13.870%
Last 5 (5)81.658.0139.6+23.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.068.5140.5+3.550%
vs Similar (14)74.171.6145.8+2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)81.466.9148.3+14.479%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#102
L
67-81
67
81
-14
A18/02
NCAA
VMI
#170
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#106
L
52-88
52
88
-36
A23/02
NCAA
Furman
#98
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A25/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
W
100-86
100
86
+14
H05/03
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A06/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A10/11
NCAA
Morris College
#550
W
108-67
108
67
+41
H12/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#278
L
70-74 OT
70
74
-4
A16/11
NCAA
Carver Bible
#629
W
102-49
102
49
+53
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-39
38-42
32-30
43-44
28-46
24-42
32-31
31-41
32-39
68-47
39-45
33-35
43-31
35-32
48-24
60-43
32-29
25-28
57-19
45-30
152.1Avg total
78.7Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.563.2152.8+26.275%
Season at home (2)105.058.0163.0+47.0100%
Season away (2)74.068.5142.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)78.773.4152.1+5.350%
Last 5 (5)86.066.6152.6+19.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)74.281.8156.0-7.620%
vs Similar (13)75.885.4161.2-9.531%
vs Weaker (11)89.865.4155.2+24.591%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +10.8+10.82nd half: +1.8+1.8
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +4.1+4.11st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +10.8+10.82nd half: +1.8+1.8
DukeCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#94
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H27/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A03/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#105
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A06/03
NCAA
Boston College
#332
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H09/03
NCAA
Louisville
#94
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A10/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/11
NCAA
Army
#211
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H13/11
NCAA
Campbell
#162
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H14/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#138
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H17/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#307
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/11
NCAA
65.7Avg total
34.9Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.333.170.4+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (20)38.532.671.1+5.975%-
Last 30 away (10)35.134.169.2+1.060%-
Last 10 (10)34.930.865.7+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)38.428.667.0+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.034.066.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (14)35.634.169.7+1.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)39.832.071.8+7.886%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#102
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A18/02
NCAA
VMI
#170
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H20/02
NCAA
Mercer
#106
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A23/02
NCAA
Furman
#98
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A25/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#248
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H05/03
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#56
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A06/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A10/11
NCAA
Morris College
#550
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H12/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#278
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A16/11
NCAA
Carver Bible
#629
W
57-19
57
19
+38
H19/11
NCAA
70.5Avg total
37.2Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.536.475.9+3.247%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.733.575.2+8.253%-
Last 30 away (13)36.740.176.8-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)37.233.370.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.829.673.4+14.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)34.442.276.6-7.820%-
vs Similar (13)36.840.577.2-3.723%-
vs Weaker (11)44.430.074.4+14.482%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duke wins
0
Citadel wins
No previous meetings.
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/21HLafayette88-55
17/11/21HGardner Webb92-52
14/11/21HCampbell67-56
13/11/21HArmy82-56
10/11/21HKentucky79-71
10/03/21ALouisville70-56
09/03/21HBoston College86-51
06/03/21ANorth Carolina73-91
03/03/21AGeorgia Tech77-81 OT
27/02/21HLouisville73-80 OT
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/21HCarver Bible102-49
16/11/21APresbyterian70-74 OT
12/11/21HMorris College108-67
10/11/21APittsburgh78-63
06/03/21ANC Greensboro72-80
05/03/21HWestern Carolina100-86
25/02/21AFurman63-72
23/02/21AMercer52-88
20/02/21HVMI75-74
18/02/21AWofford67-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games55-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.681.6-
Allowed / game58.058.0-
Point differential+23.6+23.6-
Avg total139.6139.6-
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%80%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Citadel
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game89.5105.074.0
Allowed / game63.258.068.5
Point differential+26.2+47.0+5.5
Avg total152.8163.0142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia Tech550100%76.248.2+28.0
2 Duke550100%81.658.0+23.6
3 Wake Forest440100%86.564.0+22.5
4 Notre Dame220100%69.056.5+12.5
5 Florida State54180%74.659.6+15.0
6 Georgia Tech54180%78.867.6+11.2
7 NC State54180%75.468.0+7.4
8 Miami (FL)43175%80.071.8+8.2
9 Louisville43175%73.566.8+6.8
10 Syracuse32167%85.774.3+11.3
11 Clemson64267%72.062.2+9.8
12 Virginia53260%62.258.4+3.8
13 North Carolina53260%85.483.8+1.6
14 Stanford53260%66.469.2-2.8
15 SMU Mustangs63350%77.868.8+9.0
16 Boston College63350%67.562.0+5.5
17 Pittsburgh42250%61.065.5-4.5
18 California52340%65.870.6-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs440100%68.856.2+12.5
2 Wofford54180%86.061.6+24.4
3 Citadel43175%89.563.2+26.2
4 Samford43175%79.575.2+4.2
5 NC Greensboro64267%67.265.8+1.3
6 Furman53260%86.874.8+12.0
7 VMI42250%88.560.2+28.2
8 East Tennessee St42250%62.866.0-3.2
9 Western Carolina63350%75.379.3-4.0
10 Mercer41325%70.571.8-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke5255107
Citadel423981
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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