PythiaBasketballBETA
NBB· Arena UNIFACISA
Unifacisa hosts Botafogo on 17 November 2026 in the NBB, with the Pythia model designating Unifacisa as the clear favourite at 89% due to their 5-2 record, 79.4 points scored and 75.1 allowed per game, and a fifth-place league position, while Botafogo sits 13th with a 2-3 record, 80.0 points scored and 83.0 allowed per game; Unifacisa's undefeated 4-0 home slate, averaging 83.0 points and conceding 69.2, contrasts with Botafogo's 1-2 road record and 78.7 points scored, 82.0 allowed; the last five games for Unifacisa include a 84-79 win over Corinthians Paulista and a 71-63 victory over Paulistano, whereas Botafogo's recent results feature a 77-76 win over Brasilia and a 84-82 win over Caxias do Sul; head-to-head history shows Unifacisa winning all eight encounters, most recently 77-68 on 13 January 2026; the model projects a 88-74 score, 161.8 total points, and an 89% chance of a home win, with a 2% overtime probability.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 79.4 | 75.1 | 154.6 | +4.3 | 71% |
| Season at home (4) | 83.0 | 69.2 | 152.2 | +13.8 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 74.7 | 83.0 | 157.7 | -8.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.9 | 75.2 | 153.1 | +2.7 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.8 | 78.2 | 154.0 | -2.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 78.1 | 82.0 | 160.1 | -3.9 | 57% |
| vs Similar (13) | 77.2 | 81.5 | 158.7 | -4.2 | 23% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 85.6 | 72.5 | 158.1 | +13.1 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 80.0 | 83.0 | 163.0 | -3.0 | 40% |
| Season at home (2) | 82.0 | 84.5 | 166.5 | -2.5 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 78.7 | 82.0 | 160.7 | -3.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.0 | 88.6 | 168.6 | -8.6 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.0 | 83.0 | 163.0 | -3.0 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (21) | 74.2 | 84.3 | 158.6 | -10.1 | 24% |
| vs Similar (7) | 80.0 | 86.7 | 166.7 | -6.7 | 43% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 86.0 | 85.5 | 171.5 | +0.5 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.8 | 39.3 | 80.1 | +1.5 | 63% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 40.9 | 35.4 | 76.4 | +5.5 | 86% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 40.7 | 42.7 | 83.4 | -2.0 | 44% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.5 | 37.8 | 77.3 | +1.7 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.6 | 39.2 | 78.8 | +0.4 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 39.1 | 41.3 | 80.4 | -2.1 | 57% | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 38.6 | 40.5 | 79.1 | -1.8 | 46% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 44.8 | 36.4 | 81.2 | +8.4 | 90% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.0 | 42.3 | 82.3 | -2.3 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.3 | 42.1 | 83.4 | -0.7 | 47% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.7 | 42.5 | 81.2 | -3.9 | 27% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.5 | 44.7 | 87.2 | -2.2 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.4 | 41.4 | 81.8 | -1.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (21) | 39.3 | 41.9 | 81.2 | -2.6 | 38% | - |
| vs Similar (7) | 41.6 | 44.4 | 86.0 | -2.9 | 29% | - |
| vs Weaker (2) | 42.0 | 39.0 | 81.0 | +3.0 | 50% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.5 | 22.2 | 49.8% | 44.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.6 | 7.8 | 31.6% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.4 | 13.1 | 71.3% | 13.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.3 | 21.7 | 49.8% | 43.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.7 | 8.1 | 31.6% | 24.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 16.9 | 11.7 | 71.3% | 11.7 |
Unifacisa
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13/01/26 | Unifacisa v Botafogo | 77-68 |
| 26/10/25 | Botafogo v Unifacisa | 72-85 |
| 16/01/25 | Botafogo v Unifacisa | 71-83 |
| 30/10/24 | Unifacisa v Botafogo | 90-74 |
| 16/02/24 | Unifacisa v Botafogo | 96-66 |
| 20/12/23 | Botafogo v Unifacisa | 87-104 |
| 30/01/20 | Botafogo v Unifacisa | 76-81 |
| 04/11/19 | Unifacisa v Botafogo | 72-64 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Minas | 57-88 |
| 06/11/26 | H | Corinthians Paulista | 84-79 |
| 04/11/26 | H | Paulistano | 71-63 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Sao Jose | 97-83 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Mogi | 70-78 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Pinheiros | 81-65 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Osasco | 96-70 |
| 29/04/26 | A | Corinthians Paulista | 71-81 |
| 26/04/26 | H | Corinthians Paulista | 73-76 |
| 24/04/26 | H | Corinthians Paulista | 79-69 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWL | 71% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 71% | 100% | 33% |
| Points / game | 79.4 | 83.0 | 74.7 |
| Allowed / game | 75.1 | 69.2 | 83.0 |
| Point differential | +4.3 | +13.8 | -8.3 |
| Avg total | 154.6 | 152.2 | 157.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLW | 40% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Points / game | 80.0 | 82.0 | 78.7 |
| Allowed / game | 83.0 | 84.5 | 82.0 |
| Point differential | -3.0 | -2.5 | -3.3 |
| Avg total | 163.0 | 166.5 | 160.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 100% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minas | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 86.3 | 65.7 | +20.6 |
| 2 |  Mogi | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 81.5 | 73.7 | +7.8 |
| 3 |  Pinheiros | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 84.4 | 72.3 | +12.1 |
| 4 |  Flamengo | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 80.9 | 73.4 | +7.4 |
| 5 | Unifacisa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 79.4 | 75.1 | +4.3 |
| 6 |  Franca | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 78.3 | 73.3 | +5.0 |
| 7 |  Brasilia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 80.6 | 79.8 | +0.9 |
| 8 |  Cruzeiro | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 76.2 | 78.8 | -2.7 |
| 9 |  Paulistano | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 70.3 | 73.0 | -2.7 |
| 10 |  Uniao Corinthians | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 73.2 | 76.8 | -3.7 |
| 11 |  Bauru | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.7 | 77.7 | -1.0 |
| 12 |  Corinthians Paulista | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 79.4 | 77.6 | +1.8 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 80.0 | 83.0 | -3.0 |
| 14 |  Sao Jose | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 80.5 | 84.5 | -4.0 |
| 15 |  Osasco | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 79.5 | 86.0 | -6.5 |
| 16 |  Pato | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 73.3 | 84.7 | -11.3 |
| 17 |  Cearense | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 66.0 | 84.8 | -18.8 |
| 18 |  Caxias do Sul | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 62.7 | 79.7 | -17.0 |
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