On 11 November 2026 the NBB will feature Minas against Unifacisa, with Minas the clear favourite as the model rates them 78% to win, reflecting their perfect 6-0 season record, 86.0 points per game and 67.2 points allowed per game, the best in the league and a league position of 1; Unifacisa, meanwhile, sits 3rd with a 5-1 record, 83.2 points per game and 73.0 allowed. Minas has been flawless at home, 2-0 with 93.0 points per game and 63.0 allowed, and has won its last five games, including a 100-61 home victory over Brasilia, a 87-76 win over Franca and a 77-64 win away at Bauru. Unifacisa has gone 4-1 in its last five, with recent wins over Corinthians Paulista 84-79, Paulistano 71-63 and Sao Jose 97-83, but has a road record of 1-1, 83.5 points per game and 80.5 allowed. Historically Minas leads the head-to-head 6-4, though Unifacisa last beat Minas 80-77 on 12 April 2026. Pythia projects a 85-76 score, 161.8 total points, a home line of -9.5 with a 48% chance of covering, an over line of 162.0 with a 49% probability, and a 4% chance of overtime. The game will be decided by Minas' dominant defence, which has kept opponents to 67.2 points per game all season.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 86.0 | 67.2 | 153.2 | +18.8 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 93.0 | 63.0 | 156.0 | +30.0 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 82.5 | 69.2 | 151.8 | +13.2 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.1 | 78.9 | 167.0 | +9.2 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.6 | 67.4 | 155.0 | +20.2 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 97.0 | 100.7 | 197.7 | -3.7 | 33% |
| vs Similar (8) | 89.8 | 94.8 | 184.5 | -5.0 | 38% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (19) | 91.0 | 76.9 | 167.9 | +14.1 | 89% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 83.2 | 73.0 | 156.2 | +10.2 | 83% |
| Season at home (4) | 83.0 | 69.2 | 152.2 | +13.8 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 83.5 | 80.5 | 164.0 | +3.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.0 | 75.2 | 155.2 | +4.8 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.6 | 73.6 | 154.2 | +7.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 82.8 | 83.9 | 166.6 | -1.1 | 50% |
| vs Similar (11) | 77.3 | 82.0 | 159.3 | -4.7 | 18% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 85.5 | 73.1 | 158.5 | +12.4 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 46.2 | 43.0 | 89.2 | +3.2 | 53% | 77% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 46.6 | 42.1 | 88.6 | +4.5 | 57% | 71% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 45.8 | 43.8 | 89.6 | +2.0 | 50% | 81% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.1 | 40.2 | 84.3 | +3.9 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.8 | 35.4 | 77.2 | +6.4 | 80% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 42.7 | 51.3 | 94.0 | -8.7 | 0% | 100% |
| vs Similar (8) | 46.8 | 49.5 | 96.2 | -2.8 | 12% | 100% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (19) | 46.5 | 38.9 | 85.4 | +7.5 | 79% | 63% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 80 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.5 | 39.3 | 80.8 | +2.3 | 67% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 41.5 | 35.9 | 77.5 | +5.6 | 87% | 27% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.5 | 42.6 | 84.1 | -1.1 | 47% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.1 | 38.3 | 78.4 | +1.8 | 70% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.4 | 36.4 | 78.8 | +6.0 | 100% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (8) | 42.2 | 40.5 | 82.8 | +1.8 | 75% | 50% |
| vs Similar (11) | 38.3 | 41.1 | 79.4 | -2.8 | 36% | 45% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 44.3 | 36.5 | 80.8 | +7.7 | 91% | 45% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minas over 73.5 | 88.0% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Won |
| Minas over 72.5 | 89.9% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Minas over 78.5 | 75.3% | 1.35 | 1.38 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Minas over 76.5 | 81.1% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Minas over 74.5 | 86.0% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Won |
| Minas over 79.5 | 72.1% | 1.41 | 1.44 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Minas -1.5 | 76.3% | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Minas -2 | 75.4% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Minas over 77.5 | 78.3% | 1.24 | 1.24 | - | - | - | - | +7.6pp | Won |
| Minas -3 | 71.9% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Minas -1 | 78.0% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Minas over 66.5 | 96.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Minas (regulation) | 76.2% | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Minas -2.5 | 72.7% | 1.38 | 1.42 | 1.42 | 1.29 | - | - | +7.1pp | Won |
| Minas +1.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | 1.28 | 1.23 | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Minas over 68.5 | 95.2% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Minas +2.5 | 83.0% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +6.9pp | Won |
| Minas over 70.5 | 92.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Minas +12.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Minas +16.5 | 98.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Minas +11.5 | 95.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Minas +17.5 | 98.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Minas +7.5 | 91.6% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +6.1pp | Won |
| Minas win | 78.4% | 1.30 | 1.36 | 1.32 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.30 | +5.9pp | Won |
| Minas +6.5 | 90.2% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Over 152 | 72.6% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +5.6pp | Lost |
| Over 153 | 70.4% | 1.43 | 1.43 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Lost |
| Over 152.5 | 71.0% | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Lost |
| Over 151.5 | 73.1% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Lost |
| Over 134.5 | 95.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 85.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Over 149.5 | 77.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +4.7pp | Lost |
| Overtime: no | 96.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Unifacisa over 62.5 | 91.3% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Lost |
| Over 139.5 | 91.3% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Unifacisa +16.5 | 75.1% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Lost |
| Unifacisa over 64.5 | 87.8% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | Lost |
| Unifacisa over 66.5 | 83.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Lost |
| Unifacisa +23.5 | 89.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Lost |
| Unifacisa over 63.5 | 89.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +3.6pp | Lost |
| Unifacisa over 65.5 | 85.7% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +3.4pp | Lost |
| Unifacisa over 70.5 | 71.5% | 1.33 | 1.35 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Lost |
| Unifacisa over 68.5 | 77.9% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Lost |
| Unifacisa +22.5 | 88.2% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Lost |
| Unifacisa under 90.5 | 91.0% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
| Unifacisa +18.5 | 80.2% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Lost |
| Unifacisa under 86.5 | 83.5% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Under 184.5 | 91.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Unifacisa under 85.5 | 81.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Unifacisa +17.5 | 77.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Lost |
| Unifacisa under 88.5 | 87.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Minas under 94.5 | 81.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Unifacisa +16 | 74.3% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Lost |
| Unifacisa under 84.5 | 78.5% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Unifacisa under 82.5 | 72.6% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Minas under 93.5 | 79.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Minas under 92.5 | 76.2% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +0.0pp | Won |
| Unifacisa +15.5 | 72.2% | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.27 | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Lost |
| Unifacisa +15 | 71.4% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | -0.1pp | Lost |
| Under 179.5 | 85.9% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Won |
| Under 174.5 | 78.3% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -1.2pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.3 | 20.9 | 49.8% | 41.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.2 | 10.1 | 31.6% | 30.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 23.3 | 17.4 | 71.3% | 17.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.5 | 22.2 | 49.8% | 44.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.6 | 7.8 | 31.6% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.4 | 13.1 | 71.3% | 13.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 | Minas v Unifacisa | 77-80 |
| 29/12/25 | Unifacisa v Minas | 102-107 OT |
| 03/03/25 | Unifacisa v Minas | 77-79 |
| 11/11/24 | Minas v Unifacisa | 78-76 |
| 22/03/24 | Unifacisa v Minas | 98-96 |
| 30/01/24 | Minas v Unifacisa | 86-91 |
| 29/11/23 | Minas v Unifacisa | 85-82 |
| 06/04/23 | Unifacisa v Minas | 79-69 |
| 06/01/23 | Minas v Unifacisa | 88-87 |
| 07/05/22 | Minas v Unifacisa | 75-63 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | A | Bauru | 77-64 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Franca | 87-76 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Brasilia | 100-61 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Pato | 86-65 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Uniao Corinthians | 88-71 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Caxias do Sul | 78-66 |
| 12/05/26 | H | Corinthians Paulista | 81-92 |
| 09/05/26 | A | Corinthians Paulista | 97-103 |
| 07/05/26 | A | Corinthians Paulista | 97-91 |
| 04/05/26 | H | Corinthians Paulista | 90-100 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/26 | H | Corinthians Paulista | 84-79 |
| 04/11/26 | H | Paulistano | 71-63 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Sao Jose | 97-83 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Mogi | 70-78 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Pinheiros | 81-65 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Osasco | 96-70 |
| 29/04/26 | A | Corinthians Paulista | 71-81 |
| 26/04/26 | H | Corinthians Paulista | 73-76 |
| 24/04/26 | H | Corinthians Paulista | 79-69 |
| 21/04/26 | A | Corinthians Paulista | 78-88 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WWWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 86.0 | 93.0 | 82.5 |
| Allowed / game | 67.2 | 63.0 | 69.2 |
| Point differential | +18.8 | +30.0 | +13.2 |
| Avg total | 153.2 | 156.0 | 151.8 |
| Over 159.5 | 33% | 50% | 25% |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 83% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Win % | 83% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 83.2 | 83.0 | 83.5 |
| Allowed / game | 73.0 | 69.2 | 80.5 |
| Point differential | +10.2 | +13.8 | +3.0 |
| Avg total | 156.2 | 152.2 | 164.0 |
| Over 159.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 86.0 | 67.2 | +18.8 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 83.2 | 73.0 | +10.2 | |
| 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 81.5 | 73.7 | +7.8 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 84.4 | 72.3 | +12.1 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 80.9 | 73.4 | +7.4 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 78.3 | 73.3 | +5.0 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 80.6 | 79.8 | +0.9 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 76.2 | 78.8 | -2.7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 70.3 | 73.0 | -2.7 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 73.2 | 76.8 | -3.7 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.7 | 77.7 | -1.0 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 79.4 | 77.6 | +1.8 | |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 80.0 | 83.0 | -3.0 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 80.5 | 84.5 | -4.0 | |
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 79.5 | 86.0 | -6.5 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 73.3 | 84.7 | -11.3 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 66.0 | 84.8 | -18.8 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 62.7 | 79.7 | -17.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 20 | 23 | 21 | 88 | |
| 17 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 57 |
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