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Unifacisa vs Flamengo Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 19 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Projected 82-79
Projected total 160.2
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game75.1
Vs
60%
40%
■ UNIF 60%■ FLAM 40%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
2.9/10
🧊 Cold
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game73.4
BrazilNBB· Arena UNIFACISA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Unifacisa v Flamengo
19 Nov 2026
UNIF v FLAM
upcoming
08 Jan 2026
UNIF89
FLAM88
01 Nov 2024
UNIF77
FLAM87
31 Mar 2024
UNIF82
FLAM90
02 Feb 2023
UNIF78
FLAM80
27 Mar 2022
UNIF74
FLAM60
28 Jan 2021
UNIF79
FLAM81
06 Nov 2019
UNIF79
FLAM80
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Unifacisa hosts Flamengo on 19 November 2026 in the NBB, with the model favouring the home side at 60% versus 40% for the visitors. Both clubs are 5-2 this season, each averaging 79.4 and 80.9 points scored and 75.1 and 73.4 points allowed respectively, and sit 5th and 4th in the league; Unifacisa is undefeated at home with a 4-0 record, 83.0 points per game and 69.2 allowed, while Flamengo has a perfect 2-0 road record, 85.5 points per game and 76.5 allowed. In the last five outings Unifacisa won three and lost two, highlighted by a 84-79 home win over Corinthians Paulista and a 71-63 victory over Paulistano, whereas Flamengo won four of five, including an 80-66 away win over Pato and a 91-87 away win over Brasilia, but fell 73-84 at home to Franca. Historically, Flamengo leads 8-2 in ten meetings, though Unifacisa last claimed a 89-88 win on 8 January 2026. The model projects an 82-79 score for a 160.2 total, with a 5% chance of overtime; the home team is expected to cover the line with a 60% probability. The game will hinge on how Unifacisa's strong home defence counters Flamengo's potent away offence.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Unifacisa win
59.8%fair 1.67
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo win
40.2%fair 2.49
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:33 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UnifacisaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnifacisa
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
79-69
79
69
+10
72avg 78
H24/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
73-76
73
76
-3
70avg 78
H26/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
71-81
71
81
-10
59avg 78
A29/04
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
96-70
96
70
+26
98avg 78
H17/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
W
81-65
81
65
+16
86avg 78
H19/10
NBB
Mogi
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
67avg 78
A26/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
97-83
97
83
+14
100avg 78
A28/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
W
71-63
71
63
+8
no box
H04/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
H06/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
57-88
57
88
-31
no box
A11/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
25-13
20-13
17-22
19-19
19-15
20-21
15-21
19-19
15-24
15-15
22-23
21-20
20-21
26-17
29-12
19-19
23-11
19-15
20-20
20-19
22-17
15-25
13-17
26-16
23-27
23-17
25-23
22-19
18-16
20-15
11-13
20-20
19-18
24-16
21-25
17-24
11-20
11-23
18-21
153.1Avg total
77.9Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.475.1154.6+4.371%
Season at home (4)83.069.2152.2+13.8100%
Season away (3)74.783.0157.7-8.333%
Last 10 (10)77.975.2153.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)75.878.2154.0-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.181.5158.6-4.450%
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.881.8159.6-3.925%
vs Weaker (10)85.672.5158.1+13.1100%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 77
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
96-88
96
88
+8
84avg 77
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-72
69
72
-3
60avg 77
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
81-82
81
82
-1
78avg 77
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 77
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
77-59
77
59
+18
no box
H30/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
83-65
83
65
+18
35avg 77
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A04/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H10/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
26-24
23-31
17-23
23-23
26-19
25-27
22-19
12-21
22-22
19-14
16-15
19-20
17-23
22-18
23-21
22-14
27-22
20-21
12-14
17-15
18-12
28-9
14-23
19-19
20-13
18-21
26-12
33-25
26-21
14-27
18-14
24-18
16-19
24-13
16-16
17-19
21-28
12-17
23-20
159.3Avg total
82.1Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.973.4154.3+7.471%
Season at home (5)79.072.2151.2+6.860%
Season away (2)85.576.5162.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.177.2159.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)80.872.2153.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.287.2162.5-12.050%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.783.3166.0-0.733%
vs Weaker (17)88.877.1165.8+11.776%
This opponent (Unifacisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
68.8%
Under 152
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
57.1%
Under 157
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 162
Over 162
44.8%
Under 162
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Unifacisa total 76
Over 76
71.0%
Under 76
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Unifacisa total 80
Over 80
55.9%
Under 80
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Unifacisa total 84
Over 84
39.9%
Under 84
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flamengo total 73
Over 73
71.3%
Under 73
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flamengo total 77
Over 77
56.3%
Under 77
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Flamengo total 81
Over 81
40.5%
Under 81
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Unifacisa -3
UNIF -3
50.9%
FLAM +3
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
UNIF
No market prices yet.
FLAM
No market prices yet.
Spread Unifacisa 0
UNIF 0
59.8%
FLAM 0
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
UNIF
No market prices yet.
FLAM
No market prices yet.
Spread Unifacisa +3
UNIF +3
68.6%
FLAM -3
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
UNIF
No market prices yet.
FLAM
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
UnifacisaFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UnifacisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H24/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H26/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A29/04
NBB
Osasco
#16
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H17/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H19/10
NBB
Mogi
#2
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A26/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A28/10
NBB
Paulistano
#13
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H04/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H06/11
NBB
Minas
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A11/11
NBB
77.3Avg total
39.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.380.1+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.935.476.4+5.586%-
Last 30 away (16)40.742.783.4-2.044%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.877.3+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.278.8+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.540.680.1-1.162%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.340.879.2-2.542%-
vs Weaker (10)44.836.481.2+8.490%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H30/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A04/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H10/11
NBB
82.6Avg total
42.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.784.4+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.539.484.9+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)41.842.183.9-0.364%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.782.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.880.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.045.883.8-7.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.142.684.7-0.444%-
vs Weaker (17)46.038.584.5+7.582%-
This opponent (Unifacisa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Unifacisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unifacisa: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.522.2
56.2%
49.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.67.8
33.1%
31.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.413.1
75.3%
71.3%13.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.0
56.4%
49.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.6
32.6%
31.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.811.5
68.5%
71.3%11.5
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Unifacisa
LWWWLWWLLW
Flamengo
LWWWWWLLWL
#5
League position
#4
+6.4
Net rating
+8.7
95.6
Offensive rating
95.1
89.2
Defensive rating
86.5
53.7%
Effective FG%
52.7%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
15.9%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.1%
3-point %
32.6%
66.7%
Assist %
63.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 95.1Defence89.2 · 86.5Shooting53.7% · 52.7%3-point %33.1% · 32.6%Ball care15.9% · 14.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Unifacisa   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Unifacisa wins
8
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
08/01/26Unifacisa v Flamengo89-88
21/10/25Flamengo v Unifacisa80-70
15/02/25Flamengo v Unifacisa85-71
01/11/24Unifacisa v Flamengo77-87
31/03/24Unifacisa v Flamengo82-90
03/02/24Flamengo v Unifacisa83-77
23/12/23Flamengo v Unifacisa101-73
02/02/23Unifacisa v Flamengo78-80
27/10/22Flamengo v Unifacisa91-53
27/03/22Unifacisa v Flamengo74-60
Unifacisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AMinas57-88
06/11/26HCorinthians Paulista84-79
04/11/26HPaulistano71-63
28/10/26ASao Jose97-83
26/10/26AMogi70-78
19/10/26HPinheiros81-65
17/10/26HOsasco96-70
29/04/26ACorinthians Paulista71-81
26/04/26HCorinthians Paulista73-76
24/04/26HCorinthians Paulista79-69
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HFranca73-84
07/11/26APato80-66
04/11/26ABrasilia91-87
01/11/26HUniao Corinthians83-65
30/10/26HCaxias do Sul77-59
20/10/26HBotafogo81-71
18/10/26HBauru81-82
15/05/26ABrasilia69-72
13/05/26ABrasilia96-88
10/05/26HBrasilia90-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Unifacisa
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game79.483.074.7
Allowed / game75.169.283.0
Point differential+4.3+13.8-8.3
Avg total154.6152.2157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%60%100%
Points / game80.979.085.5
Allowed / game73.472.276.5
Point differential+7.4+6.8+9.0
Avg total154.3151.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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